2021 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 17, 2021 · Gillette Stadium

Dallas CowboysWinner

New England Patriots

DAL -3.5 ✓O 50.5 ✓Cowboys closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 6.

Dallas Cowboys 35–29. Biggest swing: Q4 2:36, DAL +45% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 2:36DAL — NE NE ball · 2nd & 15NE 60%

(2:36) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short middle intended for 84-K.Bourne INTERCEPTED by 7-T.Diggs at NE 42. 7-T.Diggs for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. DAL 7-Diggs now has a Int in 6 consecutive games to start the season, ties NFL

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 2:36DAL +45% win prob(2:36) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short middle intended for 84-K.Bourne INTERCEPTED by 7-T.Diggs at NE 42. 7-T.Diggs for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. DAL 7-Diggs now has a Int in 6 consecutive games to start the season, ties NFL record (Landry, Russell, Wilburn).
Q4 · 2:21NE +35% win prob(2:21) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass deep left to 84-K.Bourne for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
OT · 3:59NE +32% win prob(3:59) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 0:38DAL +30% win prob(:38) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 17-M.Turner. PENALTY on DAL-52-C.Williams, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at NE 40. Penalty on DAL-52-C.Williams, Offensive Holding, declined.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cowboys	Patriots
Offensive plays	83	49
Total yards	567 (edge)	341
Yards per play	6.8	7.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.16 (edge)	-0.01
Success rate	49% (edge)	49%
Dropback rate	64%	49%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.43 (edge)	-0.14
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.31	0.10 (edge)
Third downs	3/13	3/8 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	10 (edge)	7
First downs gained on snaps	31 (edge)	16
Sacks taken	0 (edge)	2
Turnovers	2	2

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.16 expected points added per play vs -0.01.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

36/51, 445 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

22.5 expected points added · +10.1% completion over expected

Passing · NE

Mac JonesQB

15/21, 229 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-3.2 expected points added · +6.9% completion over expected

Rushing · NE

Damien HarrisRB

18 att, 101 yds, 1 TD

2.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Ezekiel ElliottRB

17 att, 69 yds, 0 TD

-3.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

9/11 for 149 yds, 2 TD

22% of team targets · 12.3 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

Dalton SchultzTE

5/6 for 79 yds, 0 TD

12% of team targets · 5.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DAL	DAL 12	7	32	2:59	Turnover on downs
2	NE	DAL 34	4	34	1:41	Touchdown
3	DAL	DAL 25	9	75	3:37	Touchdown
4	NE	NE 25	6	60	1:53	Touchdown
5	DAL	DAL 25	14	79	7:02	Interception
6	NE	NE 25	4	28	2:43	Fumble
7	DAL	DAL 48	9	33	3:26	Turnover on downs
8	NE	NE 26	5	9	2:11	Punt
9	DAL	NE 17	7	16	2:58	Defensive touchdown
10	NE	NE 20	3	1	1:30	End of half
11	NE	NE 25	5	1	2:12	Punt
12	DAL	DAL 29	4	1	1:28	Punt
13	NE	NE 42	4	13	2:02	Punt
14	DAL	DAL 9	9	80	4:29	Touchdown
15	NE	NE 25	7	21	2:51	Punt
16	DAL	DAL 12	9	66	3:45	Turnover on downs
17	NE	NE 25	15	70	6:50	Touchdown
18	DAL	DAL 27	9	50	3:41	Turnover on downs
19	NE	NE 41	2	0	0:15	Defensive touchdown
20	NE	NE 25	3	77	0:16	Touchdown
21	DAL	DAL 29	10	55	1:51	Turnover on downs
22	NE	NE 25	2	6	0:20	Turnover on downs
23	NE	NE 25	7	21	2:07	Punt
24	DAL	DAL 20	7	80	4:01	Touchdown

0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 80 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Dak Prescott	36/51	445	3	1	0	22.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Ezekiel Elliott	17	69	4.1	-3.7
Tony Pollard	10	41	4.1	0.0
Dak Prescott	3	10	3.3	-5.9
CeeDee Lamb	1	2	2.0	0.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
CeeDee Lamb	9	11	149	2	22%	12.3
Dalton Schultz	5	6	79	0	12%	5.2
Amari Cooper	5	8	55	0	16%	3.4
Ezekiel Elliott	7	9	50	0	18%	0.6
Noah Brown	2	2	47	0	4%	4.5
Cedrick Wilson	4	7	42	0	14%	-0.1
Tony Pollard	3	3	22	0	6%	-0.4
Blake Jarwin	1	2	1	1	4%	-0.1
Malik Turner	0	1	0	0	2%	-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Micah Parsons	3	3	0.0	0	0
Tarell Basham	1	3	0.0	0	0
Jayron Kearse	3	1	0.0	0	0
Anthony Brown	2	2	0.0	0	0
Leighton Vander Esch	2	1	0.0	0	0
Trevon Diggs	3	0	0.0	1	1
Randy Gregory	3	0	2.0	0	0
Damontae Kazee	2	0	0.0	0	0
Malik Hooker	2	0	0.0	0	0
Jourdan Lewis	1	1	0.0	0	0

New England Patriots

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Mac Jones	15/21	229	2	1	2	-3.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Damien Harris	18	101	5.6	1	2.8
Rhamondre Stevenson	5	23	4.6	1	2.6
Nelson Agholor	1	1	1.0	0	-0.6
Brandon Bolden	1	-1	-1.0	0	-2.2
Mac Jones	2	-4	-2.0	0	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Kendrick Bourne	1	2	75	1	10%	-2.2
Jakobi Meyers	5	6	44	0	29%	2.0
Rhamondre Stevenson	3	3	39	0	14%	2.0
Nelson Agholor	1	4	27	0	19%	-1.0
Hunter Henry	2	2	25	1	10%	2.0
Jonnu Smith	1	2	9	0	10%	0.1
Damien Harris	1	1	7	0	5%	0.4
Brandon Bolden	1	1	3	0	5%	1.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Ja'Whaun Bentley	10	2	0	0
Jalen Mills	5	2	0	0
Matt Judon	4	2	0	0
Kyle Dugger	6	0	1	1
Devin McCourty	4	2	0	0
J.C. Jackson	4	1	0	4
Adrian Phillips	2	2	0	0
Deatrich Wise	3	1	0	0
Kyle Van Noy	3	0	0	0
Jonathan Jones	2	1	0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DAL -3.5
Closing total: 50.5
DAL moneyline: -189
NE moneyline: +169

Cowboys closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 6.

Total closed 50.5; the game landed 64 — over by 13.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Gillette Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 62°F, wind 11 mph
Referee: Brad Allen
Rest: DAL 7 days · NE 7 days
Coaches: Mike McCarthy vs Bill Belichick