2021 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 17, 2021 · MetLife Stadium

Los Angeles RamsWinner

New York Giants

LA -7.5 ✓U 49.5 ✓Rams closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 27.

Los Angeles Rams 38–11 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 1:28, LA +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 1:28LA — NYG LA ball · 3rd & 4LA 75%

(1:28) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at NYG 42 for -7 yards (99-L.Williams).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 1:28LA +9% win prob(1:28) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at NYG 42 for -7 yards (99-L.Williams).
Q2 · 10:34NYG +7% win prob(10:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 2-R.Woods for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 7:03LA +6% win prob(7:03) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at NYG 48 for -10 yards (sack split by 97-D.Lawrence and 99-L.Williams).
Q1 · 2:23LA +6% win prob(2:23) 8-D.Jones up the middle to NYG 41 for no gain (51-T.Reeder).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Rams	Giants
Offensive plays	65	74
Total yards	366 (edge)	263
Yards per play	5.6 (edge)	3.6
Expected points added / play	0.17 (edge)	-0.26
Success rate	49% (edge)	38%
Dropback rate	52%	77%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.44 (edge)	-0.23
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.14 (edge)	-0.39
Third downs	2/11	4/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6 (edge)	1
First downs gained on snaps	21 (edge)	20
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	4
Turnovers	2 (edge)	4

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.17 expected points added per play vs -0.26.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

22/28, 251 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT

18.6 expected points added · +11.7% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

29/51, 242 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT

-14.7 expected points added · -9.6% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Darrell HendersonRB

21 att, 78 yds, 1 TD

-2.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LA

Sony MichelRB

9 att, 42 yds, 0 TD

-1.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Cooper KuppWR

9/12 for 130 yds, 2 TD

40% of team targets · 9.4 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Sterling ShepardWR

10/14 for 76 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · 2.8 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYG	NYG 19	15	68	5:39	Turnover on downs
2	LA	LA 15	9	37	3:06	Punt
3	NYG	NYG 10	10	31	3:58	Turnover on downs
4	LA	NYG 41	4	-1	1:35	Punt
5	NYG	NYG 8	4	9	2:09	Punt
6	LA	LA 34	7	81	3:05	Touchdown
7	NYG	NYG 25	4	-8	1:05	Fumble
8	LA	NYG 12	5	12	1:17	Touchdown
9	NYG	NYG 25	5	-1	1:06	Punt
10	LA	LA 26	4	7	1:21	Punt
11	NYG	NYG 15	2	2	0:46	Interception
12	LA	NYG 14	5	14	1:17	Touchdown
13	NYG	NYG 25	7	15	1:22	Punt
14	LA	LA 27	7	73	1:41	Touchdown
15	NYG	NYG 39	2	0	0:16	Interception
16	LA	LA 37	2	4	0:17	Interception
17	LA	LA 19	14	73	9:15	Turnover on downs
18	NYG	NYG 21	9	40	3:47	Interception
19	LA	NYG 49	10	49	5:03	Touchdown
20	NYG	NYG 22	5	-9	1:14	Punt
21	LA	LA 35	3	2	0:53	Interception
22	NYG	NYG 47	13	55	3:27	Touchdown
23	LA	LA 25	8	15	3:00	Punt
24	NYG	NYG 18	10	61	2:49	Turnover on downs
25	LA	LA 21	1	0	0:32	End of game

0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 81 scrimmage yards over 7 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matthew Stafford	22/28	251	4	1	2	18.6
John Wolford	0/2	0	0	1	0	-3.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Darrell Henderson	21	78	3.7	1	-2.0
Sony Michel	9	42	4.7	0	-1.3
Matthew Stafford	2	12	6.0	0	0.1
John Wolford	2	-1	-0.5	0	-1.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Cooper Kupp	9	12	130	2	40%	9.4
Tyler Higbee	5	5	36	0	17%	3.9
Robert Woods	2	5	31	1	17%	1.9
Darrell Henderson	2	3	29	1	10%	3.1
Van Jefferson	3	4	19	0	13%	1.7
DeSean Jackson	1	1	6	0	3%	0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Jordan Fuller	8	3	0	0
Jalen Ramsey	5	1	0	0
Troy Reeder	3	2	0	0
Taylor Rapp	1	4	2	2
Robert Rochell	4	1	1	1
Ernest Jones	3	2	0	0
Kenny Young	4	1	0	0
Donte Deayon	4	0	0	0
Sebastian Joseph	1	2	0	0
Jamir Jones	1	1	0	0

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	29/51	242	0	3	4	-14.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Devontae Booker	12	41	3.4	0	-4.4
Elijhaa Penny	3	15	5.0	1	1.1
Daniel Jones	3	4	1.3	0	-1.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Sterling Shepard	10	14	76	29%	2.8
Dante Pettis	5	11	48	23%	-4.1
Kadarius Toney	3	3	36	6%	4.4
Devontae Booker	4	4	28	8%	-0.3
Evan Engram	3	5	24	10%	-3.3
Collin Johnson	2	5	21	10%	-1.0
Kyle Rudolph	1	2	8	4%	0.7
Elijhaa Penny	1	2	1	4%	-0.9
John Ross	0	2	0	4%	-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Tae Crowder	7	3	0.0	0	0
Jabrill Peppers	5	4	0.0	0	0
Dexter Lawrence	2	5	0.5	0	0
Logan Ryan	4	2	0.0	0	1
Leonard Williams	2	4	1.5	0	0
Reggie Ragland	3	3	0.0	0	1
Xavier McKinney	3	0	0.0	2	2
James Bradberry	2	1	0.0	0	2
Sterling Shepard	2	0	0.0	0	0
Adoree' Jackson	1	1	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -7.5
Closing total: 49.5
LA moneyline: -328
NYG moneyline: +280

Rams closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 27.

Total closed 49.5; the game landed 49 — under by 0.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 61°F, wind 13 mph
Referee: Alex Kemp
Rest: LA 10 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches: Sean McVay vs Joe Judge