2021 Week 8 · Mon, Nov 1, 2021 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

New York Giants

Kansas City ChiefsWinner

KC -10.5 no coverU 53 ✓Chiefs closed -10.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Kansas City Chiefs 20–17 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 14:57, KC +16% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 14:57NYG — KC NYG ball · 3rd & 4KC 72%

(14:57) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short right to 88-E.Engram for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 14:57KC +16% win prob(14:57) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short right to 88-E.Engram for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 4:22KC +13% win prob(4:22) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to KC 38 for 14 yards (23-L.Ryan). PENALTY on NYG-48-T.Crowder, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at KC 38.
Q1 · 7:43NYG +11% win prob(7:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short left intended for 86-D.Slayton INTERCEPTED by 50-W.Gay at NYG 26. 50-W.Gay to NYG 13 for 13 yards (28-D.Booker).
Q4 · 9:39NYG +10% win prob(9:39) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes sacked at NYG 17 for -5 yards (99-L.Williams). FUMBLES (99-L.Williams) [95-Q.Roche], recovered by KC-65-T.Smith at NYG 18.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Giants	Chiefs
Offensive plays	55	76
Total yards	301	369 (edge)
Yards per play	5.5 (edge)	4.9
Expected points added / play	-0.06	0.01 (edge)
Success rate	40%	49% (edge)
Dropback rate	69%	68%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.02 (edge)	-0.02
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.14	0.09 (edge)
Third downs	4/12	5/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	13	27 (edge)
Sacks taken	3	2 (edge)
Turnovers	1 (edge)	2

Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.01 expected points added per play vs -0.06.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · KC

Patrick MahomesQB

29/48, 275 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

2.7 expected points added · -0.8% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

22/32, 222 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-1.7 expected points added · -1.7% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Devontae BookerRB

15 att, 60 yds, 0 TD

-0.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · KC

Darrel WilliamsRB

13 att, 49 yds, 0 TD

-0.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · KC

Tyreek HillWR

12/18 for 94 yds, 1 TD

42% of team targets · 6.5 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

John RossWR

2/3 for 72 yds, 0 TD

9% of team targets · 5.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	KC	KC 25	14	70	6:43	Interception
2	NYG	NYG 20	2	2	0:40	Interception
3	KC	NYG 13	5	13	1:25	Touchdown
4	NYG	NYG 25	5	5	1:22	Punt
5	KC	KC 25	7	10	1:34	Punt
6	NYG	NYG 15	10	85	4:02	Touchdown
7	KC	KC 25	5	2	0:54	Punt
8	NYG	NYG 15	4	2	0:57	Punt
9	KC	KC 32	12	68	5:46	Touchdown
10	NYG	NYG 9	9	73	3:52	Turnover on downs
11	KC	KC 25	6	17	1:09	Punt
12	NYG	NYG 26	5	25	1:36	End of half
13	NYG	NYG 25	5	9	2:20	Punt
14	KC	KC 8	7	31	3:02	Punt
15	NYG	NYG 18	5	29	2:05	Punt
16	KC	KC 19	8	61	4:06	Fumble
17	NYG	NYG 43	9	47	3:34	Touchdown
18	KC	KC 25	15	52	6:00	Turnover on downs
19	NYG	NYG 18	10	34	4:12	Punt
20	KC	KC 29	9	45	3:34	Turnover on downs
21	NYG	NYG 25	5	-10	0:42	Turnover on downs
22	KC	NYG 15	1	0	0:25	End of game

0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 85 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	22/32	222	2	1	3	-1.7
Kadarius Toney	1/1	19	0	0	0	1.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Devontae Booker	15	60	4.0	0	-0.9
Daniel Jones	5	12	2.4	0	-1.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
John Ross	2	3	72	0	9%	5.9
Devontae Booker	5	6	65	0	18%	2.1
Kadarius Toney	4	5	26	0	15%	-1.2
Sterling Shepard	4	7	25	0	21%	-3.7
Elijhaa Penny	1	1	16	0	3%	0.2
Evan Engram	3	4	15	1	12%	2.9
Kyle Rudolph	2	3	12	1	9%	2.3
Collin Johnson	2	2	10	0	6%	0.3
Darius Slayton	0	2	0	0	6%	-5.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Adoree' Jackson	7	4	0.0	0	1
Logan Ryan	7	2	0.0	0	0
Tae Crowder	3	4	0.0	0	0
Xavier McKinney	3	4	0.0	0	0
Reggie Ragland	3	2	0.0	0	0
Leonard Williams	1	4	1.0	0	0
Dexter Lawrence	1	3	0.0	0	0
James Bradberry	3	1	0.0	0	1
Quincy Roche	1	2	0.0	0	0
Julian Love	1	1	0.0	1	1

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Patrick Mahomes	29/48	275	1	1	2	2.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Darrel Williams	13	49	3.8	0	-0.3
Derrick Gore	11	48	4.4	1	2.4
Patrick Mahomes	3	10	3.3	0	-2.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tyreek Hill	12	18	94	1	42%	6.5
Mecole Hardman	5	7	63	0	16%	2.8
Darrel Williams	6	6	61	0	14%	3.6
Travis Kelce	4	6	27	0	14%	-5.3
Demarcus Robinson	1	1	18	0	2%	1.2
Byron Pringle	1	2	12	0	5%	0.5
Josh Gordon	0	1	0	0	2%	-4.7
Blake Bell	0	2	0	0	5%	-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Nick Bolton	3	7	0.0	0	0
Willie Gay	4	4	0.0	1	1
L'Jarius Sneed	5	2	0.0	0	0
Charvarius Ward	4	1	0.0	0	0
Tyrann Mathieu	1	4	0.0	0	0
Ben Niemann	1	2	0.0	0	0
Derrick Nnadi	1	2	1.0	0	0
Juan Thornhill	1	2	0.0	0	0
Frank Clark	1	2	1.0	0	0
Chris Jones	2	0	1.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: KC -10.5
Closing total: 53
NYG moneyline: +425
KC moneyline: -530

Chiefs closed -10.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 53; the game landed 37 — under by 16.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 39°F, wind 4 mph
Referee: Jerome Boger
Rest: NYG 8 days · KC 8 days
Coaches: Joe Judge vs Andy Reid