2021 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 31, 2021 · Ford Field

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

Detroit Lions

PHI -3 ✓O 48.5 ✓DomeEagles closed -3 and covered, winning by 38.

Philadelphia Eagles 44–6 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 8:41, PHI +7% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 8:41PHI — DET DET ball · 4th & 6PHI 59%

(8:41) 4-A.Seibert 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 8:41PHI +7% win prob(8:41) 4-A.Seibert 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Q1 · 3:14DET +4% win prob(3:14) (Shotgun) 35-B.Scott right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 6:02DET +4% win prob(6:02) 18-J.Reagor left end pushed ob at DET 25 for 10 yards (24-A.Oruwariye).
Q1 · 13:06PHI +4% win prob(13:06) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short right to 88-T.Hockenson (22-M.Epps).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Lions
Offensive plays	61	59
Total yards	351 (edge)	228
Yards per play	5.8 (edge)	3.9
Expected points added / play	0.23 (edge)	-0.41
Success rate	51% (edge)	36%
Dropback rate	31%	71%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.41 (edge)	-0.51
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.15 (edge)	-0.16
Third downs	5/10 (edge)	5/14
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	1
First downs gained on snaps	25 (edge)	15
Sacks taken	0 (edge)	6
Turnovers	0 (edge)	1

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.23 expected points added per play vs -0.41.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

25/34, 222 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-11.5 expected points added · +7.9% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

9/14, 103 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

2.1 expected points added · -1.6% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

7 att, 71 yds, 0 TD

7.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Boston ScottRB

12 att, 60 yds, 2 TD

2.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DET

T.J. HockensonTE

10/11 for 89 yds, 0 TD

34% of team targets · 3.7 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

Dallas GoedertTE

6/7 for 72 yds, 0 TD

44% of team targets · 2.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DET	DET 34	6	23	2:06	Punt
2	PHI	PHI 4	4	5	0:59	Punt
3	DET	PHI 45	6	16	3:19	Turnover on downs
4	PHI	PHI 37	11	61	5:25	Touchdown
5	DET	DET 30	5	-12	2:08	Punt
6	PHI	PHI 39	7	31	3:13	Turnover on downs
7	DET	DET 25	11	15	5:09	Punt
8	PHI	PHI 19	9	81	4:50	Touchdown
9	DET	DET 25	13	49	2:43	Turnover on downs
10	PHI	PHI 26	1	0	0:08	End of half
11	PHI	PHI 10	13	85	5:58	Touchdown
12	DET	DET 25	6	43	3:02	Turnover on downs
13	PHI	PHI 43	10	53	4:40	Touchdown
14	DET	DET 25	2	8	0:11	Defensive touchdown
15	DET	DET 25	5	6	1:54	Turnover on downs
16	PHI	DET 31	7	9	4:22	Turnover on downs
17	DET	DET 33	13	67	2:39	Touchdown
18	PHI	DET 49	10	26	5:25	Turnover on downs
19	DET	DET 21	5	13	1:49	End of game

0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 85 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	9/14	103	0	0	0	2.1
Gardner Minshew	2/2	11	0	0	0	-0.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jalen Hurts	7	71	10.1	0	7.8
Boston Scott	12	60	5.0	2	2.7
Jordan Howard	12	57	4.8	2	4.7
Kenneth Gainwell	13	27	2.1	0	-4.4
Jalen Reagor	2	21	10.5	0	2.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Dallas Goedert	6	7	72	44%	2.0
Quez Watkins	2	2	18	13%	1.2
DeVonta Smith	1	3	15	19%	1.2
Jack Stoll	1	1	9	6%	-0.3
Boston Scott	0	1	0	6%	-0.9
Jalen Reagor	1	2	0	13%	-1.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
T.J. Edwards	7	5	0.0	0
Marcus Epps	6	2	0.0	1
Davion Taylor	3	2	0.0	0
Avonte Maddox	3	1	0.0	0
Josh Sweat	3	1	2.0	0
Milton Williams	4	0	1.0	0
Shaun Bradley	3	0	0.0	1
Genard Avery	1	1	0.0	0
Marlon Tuipulotu	1	1	0.0	0
Rodney McLeod	1	1	0.0	1

Detroit Lions

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	25/34	222	0	0	5	-11.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
D'Andre Swift	12	27	2.3	0	-4.3
Godwin Igwebuike	3	18	6.0	0	-0.1
Jermar Jefferson	2	6	3.0	1	1.8
David Blough	1	6	6.0	0	0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
T.J. Hockenson	10	11	89	34%	3.7
Amon-Ra St. Brown	3	5	46	16%	-0.3
Godwin Igwebuike	3	3	40	9%	2.5
D'Andre Swift	5	5	24	16%	-9.9
Jermar Jefferson	4	4	23	13%	0.6
KhaDarel Hodge	0	2	0	6%	-1.8
Tom Kennedy	0	1	0	3%	-0.4
Kalif Raymond	0	1	0	3%	-2.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast
Tracy Walker III	3	4
Austin Bryant	3	3
Dean Marlowe	4	2
Derrick Barnes	2	3
Charles Harris	2	3
Alex Anzalone	3	1
Levi Onwuzurike	3	1
Jalen Reeves-Maybin	2	2
Amani Oruwariye	3	0
Michael Brockers	1	2

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -3
Closing total: 48.5
PHI moneyline: -168
DET moneyline: +151

Eagles closed -3 and covered, winning by 38.

Total closed 48.5; the game landed 50 — over by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Ford Field
Roof / surface: dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Tony Corrente
Rest: PHI 7 days · DET 7 days
Coaches: Nick Sirianni vs Dan Campbell