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2021 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 31, 2021 · FirstEnergy Stadium
15
10
Pittsburgh Steelers 15–10. Biggest swing: Q4 6:14, PIT +25% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(6:14) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 80-J.Landry to PIT 21 for 11 yards (93-J.Schobert). FUMBLES (93-J.Schobert), RECOVERED by PIT-90-T.Watt at PIT 20.
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Steelers | Browns |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 70 | 58 |
| Total yards | 370 (edge) | 306 |
| Yards per play | 5.3 (edge) | 5.3 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.06 (edge) | -0.10 |
| Success rate | 39% | 41% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 56% | 62% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.07 (edge) | -0.03 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.05 (edge) | -0.23 |
| Third downs | 4/13 (edge) | 3/10 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 7 | 7 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 23 (edge) | 18 |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 4 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 1 |
Steelers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.06 expected points added per play vs -0.10.
Who moved the needle
Passing · PIT
22/34, 266 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
5.7 expected points added · -1.9% completion over expected
Passing · CLE
20/31, 225 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
2.9 expected points added · -3.0% completion over expected
Receiving · PIT
6/13 for 98 yds, 0 TD
37% of team targets · -0.5 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLE | CLE 25 | 14 | 63 | 6:51 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | PIT | PIT 25 | 9 | 27 | 3:50 | Punt | |
| 3 | CLE | CLE 15 | 8 | 50 | 4:25 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | PIT | PIT 40 | 10 | 57 | 5:36 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | CLE | CLE 25 | 5 | 0 | 0:48 | Punt | |
| 6 | PIT | PIT 23 | 4 | 0 | 1:14 | Punt | |
| 7 | CLE | CLE 22 | 4 | -5 | 1:09 | Punt | |
| 8 | PIT | PIT 37 | 12 | 53 | 4:29 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | CLE | CLE 10 | 6 | 24 | 1:17 | Punt | |
| 10 | PIT | PIT 35 | 1 | 0 | 0:21 | End of half | |
| 11 | PIT | PIT 27 | 5 | 5 | 1:05 | Punt | |
| 12 | CLE | CLE 14 | 9 | 81 | 4:19 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | PIT | PIT 22 | 14 | 78 | 5:57 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | CLE | CLE 40 | 5 | 9 | 1:57 | Punt | |
| 15 | PIT | PIT 17 | 14 | 88 | 5:38 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | CLE | CLE 20 | 9 | 59 | 5:00 | Fumble | |
| 17 | PIT | PIT 20 | 4 | 8 | 1:42 | Punt | |
| 18 | CLE | CLE 39 | 8 | 25 | 2:29 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | PIT | PIT 26 | 6 | 54 | 1:53 | Turnover on downs |
0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Steelers gained 88 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Roethlisberger | 22/34 | 266 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5.7 |
| Chris Boswell | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Najee Harris | 26 | 91 | 3.5 | 1 | 3.2 |
| Chase Claypool | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Ray-Ray McCloud | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Anthony McFarland | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Ben Roethlisberger |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diontae Johnson | 6 | 13 | 98 | 0 | 37% | -0.5 |
| Chase Claypool | 4 | 5 | 45 | 0 | 14% | 1.4 |
| Pat Freiermuth | 4 | 7 | 44 | 1 | 20% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Schobert | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| T.J. Watt | 4 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Terrell Edmunds | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Devin Bush |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield | 20/31 | 225 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | 16 | 61 | 3.8 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Browns closed -5.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 43; the game landed 25 — under by 18.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0.0 |
| Kalen Ballage | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 4.4 |
| Zach Gentry | 3 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 14% | -1.0 |
| Najee Harris | 3 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 9% | 1.8 |
| Benny Snell | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3% | -0.3 |
| James Washington | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3% | -0.3 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Minkah Fitzpatrick | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Alex Highsmith | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Heyward | 3 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Arthur Maulet | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Sutton | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Wormley | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -5.3 |
| D'Ernest Johnson | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Baker Mayfield | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 1.0 |
| Jarvis Landry | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Demetric Felton | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Landry | 5 | 10 | 65 | 0 | 32% | -4.2 |
| David Njoku | 3 | 3 | 39 | 0 | 10% | 2.1 |
| Harrison Bryant | 2 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 6% | 2.8 |
| Rashard Higgins | 2 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 13% | 0.4 |
| Austin Hooper | 4 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 19% | 0.2 |
| Demetric Felton | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 3% | 1.1 |
| Nick Chubb | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3% | 0.4 |
| D'Ernest Johnson | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 10% | -1.0 |
| Odell Beckham | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3% | 0.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Walker | 2 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mack Wilson | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ronnie Harrison | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malcolm Smith | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Myles Garrett | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Johnson | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Greedy Williams | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Grant Delpit | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Troy Hill | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malik McDowell | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
