2021 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 7, 2021 · Lincoln Financial Field
Los Angeles ChargersWinner
27
Philadelphia Eagles
24
Los Angeles Chargers 27–24 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 2:48, PHI +20% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(2:48) 30-A.Ekeler up the middle to PHI 37 for 2 yards (58-G.Avery).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 2:48PHI +20% win prob(2:48) 30-A.Ekeler up the middle to PHI 37 for 2 yards (58-G.Avery).
- Q4 · 1:45PHI +14% win prob(1:45) 10-J.Herbert up the middle to PHI 27 for 1 yard (93-M.Williams).
- Q4 · 15:00PHI +13% win prob(15:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 13-K.Allen to PHI 32 for 18 yards (28-A.Harris).
- Q4 · 6:16PHI +13% win prob(6:16) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 6-D.Smith for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Chargers | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 65 | 57 |
| Total yards | 447 (edge) | 331 |
| Yards per play | 6.9 (edge) | 5.8 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.29 (edge) | 0.22 |
| Success rate | 52% (edge) | 51% |
| Dropback rate | 63% | 42% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.56 (edge) | 0.45 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.17 | 0.06 (edge) |
| Third downs | 5/10 | 8/12 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 | 9 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 27 (edge) | 20 |
| Sacks taken | 0 (edge) | 1 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.29 expected points added per play vs 0.22.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · LAC
32/38, 356 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
22.9 expected points added · +16.8% completion over expected
Passing · PHI
11/17, 162 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
5.6 expected points added · +9.6% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | PHI 27 | 8 | 23 | 2:21 | Punt | |
| 2 | LAC | LAC 1 | 15 | 98 | 6:56 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | PHI | PHI 1 | 4 | 3 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 4 | LAC | PHI 38 | 7 | 38 | 3:19 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | PHI | PHI 25 | 12 | 75 | 4:30 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | LAC | LAC 24 | 8 | 45 | 3:55 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | PHI | PHI 26 | 16 | 68 | 7:04 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | LAC | LAC 19 | 2 | 11 | 0:21 | End of half | |
| 9 | LAC | LAC 31 | 10 | 57 | 4:27 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | PHI | PHI 25 | 5 | -1 | 1:53 | Punt | |
| 11 | LAC | LAC 34 | 5 | 66 | 1:56 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | PHI | PHI 15 | 12 | 85 | 3:34 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | LAC | LAC 39 | 12 | 63 | 6:38 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | PHI | PHI 22 | 12 | 78 | 5:25 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | LAC | LAC 25 | 16 | 69 | 6:05 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | PHI | — | 1 | 0 | 0:02 | End of game |
0 of 16 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 98 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a turnover on downs.
Full stat lines
Box score
Los Angeles Chargers
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert | 32/38 | 356 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22.9 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Ekeler | 17 | 59 | 3.5 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Justin Herbert | 5 | 14 | 2.8 | 1 | 1.9 |
| Andre Roberts | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Joshua Kelley | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Larry Rountree | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.2 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Allen | 12 | 13 | 104 | 0 | 35% | 3.0 |
| Mike Williams | 2 | 5 | 58 | 0 | 14% | 1.6 |
| Jared Cook | 4 | 4 | 48 | 0 | 11% | 5.4 |
| Stephen Anderson | 4 | 4 | 39 | 1 | 11% | 4.3 |
| Donald Parham | 3 | 3 | 39 | 1 | 8% | 5.0 |
| Austin Ekeler | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 8% | 0.5 |
| Josh Palmer | 2 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 5% | 1.1 |
| Jalen Guyton | 1 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 5% | 1.8 |
| Joshua Kelley | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3% | -0.2 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drue Tranquill | 4 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Linval Joseph | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyzir White | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nasir Adderley | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Derwin James | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jerry Tillery | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Covington | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Harris | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joey Bosa | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Smith | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Philadelphia Eagles
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | 11/17 | 162 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5.6 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Howard | 17 | 71 | 4.2 | 1 | 1.1 |
| Jalen Hurts | 10 | 62 | 6.2 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Boston Scott | 10 | 40 | 4.0 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.8 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeVonta Smith | 5 | 6 | 116 | 1 | 38% | 10.0 |
| Dallas Goedert | 3 | 6 | 43 | 0 | 38% | 0.8 |
| Quez Watkins | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 19% | -0.8 |
| Jalen Reagor | 1 | 1 | -6 | 0 | 6% | -1.2 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Edwards | 5 | 9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rodney McLeod | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Davion Taylor | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Singleton | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andre Chachere | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zech McPhearson | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Steven Nelson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Javon Hargrave | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Genard Avery | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Epps | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- LAC -1
- Closing total
- 49.5
- LAC moneyline
- -106
- PHI moneyline
- -104
Chargers closed -1 and covered, winning by 3.
Total closed 49.5; the game landed 51 — over by 1.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Lincoln Financial Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 54°F, wind 11 mph
- Referee
- Jerome Boger
- Rest
- LAC 7 days · PHI 7 days
- Coaches
- Brandon Staley vs Nick Sirianni