2021 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 7, 2021 · MetLife Stadium

Las Vegas Raiders

New York GiantsWinner

LV -3 upsetU 47 ✓Raiders closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

New York Giants 23–16. Biggest swing: Q4 0:44, LV +23% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:44LV — NYG LV ball · 2nd & 10NYG 76%

(:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at NYG 20 for -7 yards (95-Q.Roche). FUMBLES (95-Q.Roche) [95-Q.Roche], RECOVERED by NYG-99-L.Williams at NYG 23. Penalty on LV-74-K.Miller, Offensive Holding, declined. Officially, a sack

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:44LV +23% win prob(:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at NYG 20 for -7 yards (95-Q.Roche). FUMBLES (95-Q.Roche) [95-Q.Roche], RECOVERED by NYG-99-L.Williams at NYG 23. Penalty on LV-74-K.Miller, Offensive Holding, declined. Officially, a sack for -10 yards.
Q3 · 13:38LV +22% win prob(13:38) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left intended for 13-H.Renfrow INTERCEPTED by 29-X.McKinney at LV 41. 29-X.McKinney for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 9:31LV +18% win prob(9:31) 2-D.Carlson 25 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Q4 · 5:19LV +13% win prob(5:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right intended for 7-Z.Jones INTERCEPTED by 29-X.McKinney at 50. 29-X.McKinney ran ob at 50 for no gain.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Raiders	Giants
Offensive plays	67	53
Total yards	403 (edge)	248
Yards per play	6.0 (edge)	4.7
Expected points added / play	-0.05 (edge)	-0.05
Success rate	55% (edge)	49%
Dropback rate	72%	49%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.16	-0.02 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.23 (edge)	-0.07
Third downs	4/12	6/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	10 (edge)	5
First downs gained on snaps	23 (edge)	14
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	3
Turnovers	3	1 (edge)

Raiders outgained Giants 403–248 but lost the turnover battle 3–1. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LV

Derek CarrQB

30/46, 296 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-7.3 expected points added · -3.2% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

15/20, 110 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-1.2 expected points added · +12.8% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Devontae BookerRB

21 att, 99 yds, 0 TD

-0.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LV

Josh JacobsRB

13 att, 76 yds, 0 TD

0.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LV

Darren WallerTE

7/11 for 92 yds, 0 TD

24% of team targets · 2.8 expected points added

Receiving · LV

Kenyan DrakeRB

6/8 for 70 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · 1.8 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYG	NYG 25	9	75	4:14	Touchdown
2	LV	LV 27	12	73	5:02	Touchdown
3	NYG	NYG 25	7	17	3:07	Punt
4	LV	LV 16	4	0	1:07	Punt
5	NYG	NYG 34	1	-2	0:07	Fumble
6	LV	NYG 30	6	24	1:35	Turnover on downs
7	NYG	NYG 18	10	21	5:24	Punt
8	LV	LV 13	4	3	0:46	Punt
9	NYG	NYG 40	9	48	5:14	Turnover on downs
10	LV	LV 30	11	61	3:18	Turnover on downs
11	NYG	—	1	0	0:06	End of half
12	LV	LV 32	4	3	1:32	Defensive touchdown
13	LV	LV 8	16	90	8:08	Turnover on downs
14	NYG	NYG 25	14	47	6:13	Turnover on downs
15	LV	LV 23	9	85	4:39	Turnover on downs
16	NYG	NYG 20	8	12	3:18	Punt
17	LV	LV 12	3	12	0:58	Interception
18	NYG	50	6	30	1:51	Turnover on downs
19	LV	LV 25	11	52	2:44	Fumble
20	NYG	NYG 23	1	0	0:37	End of game

0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Raiders gained 90 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a turnover on downs.

Full stat lines

Box score

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Derek Carr	30/46	296	1	2	1	-7.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Josh Jacobs	13	76	5.8	0.9
Kenyan Drake	4	30	7.5	1.0
Marcus Mariota	1	6	6.0	2.1
Derek Carr	2	5	2.5	0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Darren Waller	7	11	92	0	24%	2.8
Kenyan Drake	6	8	70	0	17%	1.8
Hunter Renfrow	7	9	49	1	20%	-2.6
Alec Ingold	3	3	28	0	7%	1.7
Zay Jones	1	4	20	0	9%	-2.7
Josh Jacobs	4	4	19	0	9%	-0.7
Jalen Richard	2	3	18	0	7%	-0.3
Bryan Edwards	0	4	0	0	9%	-3.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Denzel Perryman	6	3	0.0	1
Brandon Facyson	4	3	0.0	0
Johnathan Abram	5	2	0.0	0
K.J. Wright	4	2	0.0	0
Trevon Moehrig	3	2	0.0	0
Nate Hobbs	2	2	1.0	0
Cory Littleton	2	2	0.0	0
Yannick Ngakoue	2	0	2.0	0
Maxx Crosby	2	0	0.0	0
Johnathan Hankins	1	1	0.0	0

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	15/20	110	1	0	2	-1.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Devontae Booker	21	99	4.7	-0.0
Elijhaa Penny	5	35	7.0	0.1
Daniel Jones	4	17	4.3	1.5
Kadarius Toney	1	-2	-2.0	-2.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Evan Engram	3	3	38	1	17%	2.3
Kenny Golladay	2	3	28	0	17%	2.0
Devontae Booker	3	3	23	0	17%	2.4
Kyle Rudolph	4	5	20	0	28%	2.3
Kadarius Toney	1	1	9	0	6%	1.8
Darius Slayton	0	1	0	0	6%	-0.7
Elijhaa Penny	2	2	-8	0	11%	-2.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Tae Crowder	4	4	0.0	0	2
Logan Ryan	4	3	0.0	0	0
Xavier McKinney	3	3	0.0	2	2
Trent Harris	1	4	0.0	0	0
Dexter Lawrence	1	4	0.0	0	0
Darnay Holmes	3	2	0.0	0	0
Leonard Williams	2	3	0.0	0	1
Reggie Ragland	1	3	0.0	0	0
Adoree' Jackson	4	0	0.0	0	1
Quincy Roche	2	2	1.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LV -3
Closing total: 47
LV moneyline: -152
NYG moneyline: +137

Raiders closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 47; the game landed 39 — under by 8.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 54°F, wind 4 mph
Referee: Clay Martin
Rest: LV 14 days · NYG 6 days
Coaches: Rich Bisaccia vs Joe Judge