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2021 Week 9 · Thu, Nov 4, 2021 · Lucas Oil Stadium
30
45
Indianapolis Colts 45–30. Biggest swing: Q1 3:37, IND +6% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(3:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-M.White pass deep left to 8-E.Moore for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Jets | Colts |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 75 | 60 |
| Total yards | 487 | 533 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 6.5 | 8.9 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.20 | 0.44 (edge) |
| Success rate | 47% | 55% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 76% | 55% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.40 | 0.46 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.41 | 0.42 (edge) |
| Third downs | 8/14 (edge) | 5/10 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 | 12 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 29 (edge) | 26 |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 (edge) |
Colts won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.44 expected points added per play vs 0.20.
Who moved the needle
Passing · NYJ
27/41, 317 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
14.4 expected points added · -3.0% completion over expected
Passing · IND
22/30, 272 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
15.9 expected points added · +7.6% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | NYJ 10 | 8 | 27 | 3:17 | Punt | |
| 2 | IND | IND 12 | 9 | 83 | 4:48 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 10 | 75 | 3:23 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | IND | IND 24 | 11 | 76 | 5:08 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 6 | 21 | 2:21 | Fumble | |
| 6 | IND | NYJ 46 | 10 | 46 | 6:04 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 9 | 65 | 3:13 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | IND | IND 25 | 11 | 75 | 1:34 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:12 | End of half | |
| 10 | IND | IND 16 | 10 | 83 | 5:30 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | NYJ | NYJ 1 | 4 | 7 | 1:30 | Punt | |
| 12 | IND | NYJ 40 | 4 | 37 | 1:06 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 5 | 5 | 0:42 | Punt | |
| 14 | IND | IND 22 | 2 | 78 | 0:10 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 8 | 75 | 3:02 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | IND | IND 18 | 5 | 1 | 1:49 | Punt | |
| 17 | NYJ | NYJ 34 | 12 | 66 | 5:03 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | IND | IND 25 | 8 | 54 | 3:07 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | NYJ | NYJ 20 | 15 | 70 | 4:26 | Touchdown | |
| 20 | IND | NYJ 48 | 5 | 0 | 0:26 | Punt | |
| 21 | NYJ | NYJ 10 | 12 | 76 | 2:24 | Interception | |
| 22 | IND | IND 11 | 1 | 0 | 0:45 | End of game |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Colts gained 83 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Johnson | 27/41 | 317 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14.4 |
| Mike White | 7/11 | 95 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Carter | 13 | 49 | 3.8 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Ty Johnson | 4 | 21 | 5.3 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Josh Johnson | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Moore | 7 | 8 | 84 | 2 | 15% | 7.1 |
| Keelan Cole | 5 | 8 | 66 | 0 | 15% | 0.2 |
| Ty Johnson | 2 | 3 | 40 | 1 | 6% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashtyn Davis | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quinnen Williams | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| C.J. Mosley | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandin Echols |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Wentz | 22/30 | 272 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 19 | 172 | 9.1 | 2 |
Closing number vs result
Colts closed -10.5 and covered, winning by 15.
Total closed 46; the game landed 75 — over by 29.0.
Conditions and crew
| 4.0 |
| Jeff Smith | 3 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 8% | 5.4 |
| Jamison Crowder | 5 | 7 | 38 | 0 | 13% | 3.7 |
| Tyler Kroft | 2 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 6% | 2.3 |
| Michael Carter | 1 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 4% | 1.1 |
| Ryan Griffin | 4 | 7 | 28 | 1 | 13% | 2.9 |
| Denzel Mims | 1 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 10% | -2.3 |
| Trevon Wesco | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 4% | 0.5 |
| Braxton Berrios | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 6% | -1.1 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Marcus Maye | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quincy Williams | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Franklin-Myers | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shaq Lawson | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Folorunso Fatukasi | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keelan Cole | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5.4 |
| Nyheim Miller-Hines | 6 | 74 | 12.3 | 1 | 3.6 |
| Carson Wentz | 4 | 13 | 3.3 | 0 | 1.5 |
| Sam Ehlinger | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Pittman | 5 | 6 | 64 | 1 | 21% | 8.7 |
| Zach Pascal | 4 | 7 | 58 | 0 | 24% | 0.8 |
| Nyheim Miller-Hines | 4 | 6 | 34 | 0 | 21% | 0.8 |
| Jonathan Taylor | 2 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 7% | 1.9 |
| Mo Alie-Cox | 1 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 3% | 1.6 |
| Kylen Granson | 1 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 3% | 2.6 |
| Ashton Dulin | 2 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 7% | 1.9 |
| Dezmon Patmon | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3% | 0.2 |
| Danny Pinter | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3% | 0.6 |
| Jack Doyle | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7% | -0.8 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Okereke | 7 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kenny Moore | 8 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Shaquille Leonard | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rock Ya-Sin | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| George Odum | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Rodgers | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| DeForest Buckner | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Andrew Sendejo | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Rhodes | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Taylor Stallworth | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 |
