2021 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 7, 2021 · SoFi Stadium

Tennessee TitansWinner

Los Angeles Rams

LA -7 upsetU 53.5 ✓DomeRams closed -7 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Tennessee Titans 28–16. Biggest swing: Q2 12:16, TEN +18% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 12:16TEN — LA LA ball · 1st & 10LA 57%

(12:16) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 2-R.Woods INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Byard at LA 24. 31-K.Byard for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 12:16TEN +18% win prob(12:16) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 2-R.Woods INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Byard at LA 24. 31-K.Byard for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 12:36TEN +14% win prob(12:36) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle INTERCEPTED by 51-D.Long [98-J.Simmons] at LA 8. 51-D.Long to LA 2 for 6 yards (63-A.Corbett).
Q4 · 6:44TEN +7% win prob(6:44) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short left to 12-V.Jefferson [48-B.Dupree].
Q2 · 10:27TEN +6% win prob(10:27) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at LA 19 for -10 yards (98-J.Simmons).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Titans	Rams
Offensive plays	55	74
Total yards	195	347 (edge)
Yards per play	3.5	4.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.08 (edge)	-0.24
Success rate	42% (edge)	41%
Dropback rate	55%	74%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.14 (edge)	-0.33
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.00	0.02 (edge)
Third downs	4/12 (edge)	4/15
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	2	6 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	13	21 (edge)
Sacks taken	3 (edge)	5
Turnovers	1 (edge)	2

Rams outgained Titans 347–195 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

31/48, 294 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-20.0 expected points added · -7.2% completion over expected

Passing · TEN

Ryan TannehillQB

19/27, 143 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-4.2 expected points added · +0.4% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Darrell HendersonRB

11 att, 55 yds, 0 TD

-1.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · TEN

D'Onta ForemanRB

5 att, 29 yds, 0 TD

1.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Robert WoodsWR

7/10 for 98 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · -3.0 expected points added

Receiving · LA

Cooper KuppWR

11/13 for 95 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · 5.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LA	LA 25	9	18	4:33	Punt
2	TEN	TEN 20	4	19	1:54	Interception
3	LA	LA 35	10	49	4:47	Turnover on downs
4	TEN	TEN 25	5	5	2:02	Punt
5	LA	LA 29	5	5	1:29	Punt
6	TEN	TEN 35	4	4	1:12	Punt
7	LA	LA 4	3	9	1:38	Interception
8	TEN	LA 2	2	2	0:04	Touchdown
9	LA	LA 21	2	0	0:11	Defensive touchdown
10	LA	LA 13	6	6	2:21	Punt
11	TEN	TEN 36	15	44	7:39	Touchdown
12	LA	LA 20	6	7	0:56	Punt
13	TEN	TEN 28	6	20	1:14	End of half
14	TEN	TEN 25	8	28	2:30	Punt
15	LA	LA 12	11	89	4:15	Turnover on downs
16	TEN	TEN 20	5	14	2:41	Punt
17	LA	LA 29	11	35	5:39	Turnover on downs
18	TEN	TEN 23	10	30	4:20	Punt
19	LA	LA 17	8	53	3:56	Turnover on downs
20	TEN	TEN 41	8	29	3:39	Touchdown
21	LA	LA 25	16	76	2:36	Touchdown
22	TEN	LA 49	2	0	0:24	End of game

0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 89 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a turnover on downs.

Full stat lines

Box score

Tennessee Titans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ryan Tannehill	19/27	143	1	1	3	-4.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
D'Onta Foreman	5	29	5.8	0	1.0
Jeremy McNichols	7	24	3.4	0	-1.5
Adrian Peterson	10	21	2.1	1	-1.8
Ryan Tannehill	2	3	1.5	1	4.0
Logan Woodside	1	-1	-1.0	0	-1.6
Marcus Johnson	1	-7	-7.0	0	-1.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
A.J. Brown	5	11	42	0	42%	-4.8
Julio Jones	4	4	35	0	15%	3.1
Geoff Swaim	4	4	29	1	15%	3.0
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	1	1	14	0	4%	1.7
Jeremy McNichols	3	3	11	0	12%	-2.5
Anthony Firkser	1	1	7	0	4%	0.4
Adrian Peterson	1	1	5	0	4%	-0.0
Chester Rogers	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Amani Hooker	8	4	0.0	0	0
Elijah Molden	6	2	0.0	0	0
Jayon Brown	7	0	0.0	0	0
David Long Jr.	2	4	0.0	1	2
Jeffery Simmons	3	3	3.0	0	0
Chris Jackson	4	2	0.0	0	1
Janoris Jenkins	1	4	0.0	0	1
Harold Landry	2	2	0.5	0	0
Kevin Byard	0	3	0.0	1	1
Denico Autry	2	1	1.5	0	2

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matthew Stafford	31/48	294	1	2	5	-20.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Darrell Henderson	11	55	5.0	-1.4
Sony Michel	7	20	2.9	1.9
Matthew Stafford	2	13	6.5	1.7
Robert Woods	1	6	6.0	-0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Robert Woods	7	10	98	0	21%	-3.0
Cooper Kupp	11	13	95	0	28%	5.0
Tyler Higbee	5	10	51	0	21%	-2.2
Van Jefferson	3	7	41	0	15%	-2.3
Sony Michel	2	3	6	1	6%	0.0
Darrell Henderson	3	4	3	0	9%	-3.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jordan Fuller	3	4	0.0	0	1
Leonard Floyd	3	2	1.0	0	0
A'Shawn Robinson	4	1	0.0	0	0
Taylor Rapp	4	0	0.0	0	0
Ernest Jones	3	1	0.0	0	0
Darious Williams	3	0	0.0	0	0
Greg Gaines	2	1	0.5	0	0
Aaron Donald	1	2	1.0	0	0
Donte Deayon	3	0	0.0	0	0
Jalen Ramsey	3	0	0.0	1	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -7
Closing total: 53.5
TEN moneyline: +296
LA moneyline: -350

Rams closed -7 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 53.5; the game landed 44 — under by 9.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Brad Rogers
Rest: TEN 7 days · LA 7 days
Coaches: Mike Vrabel vs Sean McVay