2021 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 14, 2021 · AT&T Stadium

Atlanta Falcons

Dallas CowboysWinner

DAL -8 ✓U 55 ✓DomeCowboys closed -8 and covered, winning by 40.

Dallas Cowboys 43–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 11:48, DAL +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 11:48ATL — DAL DAL ball · 3rd & 6DAL 79%

(11:48) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 11:48DAL +8% win prob(11:48) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 14:24DAL +8% win prob(14:24) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at ATL 33 for 37 yards (21-D.Harmon).
Q1 · 0:19DAL +4% win prob(:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb to ATL 12 for 21 yards (24-A.Terrell).
Q1 · 4:12ATL +4% win prob(4:12) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass incomplete short right to 14-R.Gage (26-J.Lewis).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Falcons	Cowboys
Offensive plays	53	70
Total yards	214	439 (edge)
Yards per play	4.0	6.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.46	0.19 (edge)
Success rate	32%	41% (edge)
Dropback rate	55%	51%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.78	0.68 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.08 (edge)	-0.34
Third downs	1/11	6/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	6 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	11	24 (edge)
Sacks taken	2	0 (edge)
Turnovers	3	1 (edge)

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.19 expected points added per play vs -0.46.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

24/31, 296 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

22.7 expected points added · +10.7% completion over expected

Passing · ATL

Matt RyanQB

9/21, 117 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-14.9 expected points added · -23.5% completion over expected

Rushing · ATL

Wayne GallmanRB

15 att, 55 yds, 0 TD

-2.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

11 att, 42 yds, 0 TD

-4.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

6/7 for 94 yds, 2 TD

21% of team targets · 11.7 expected points added

Receiving · ATL

Kyle PittsTE

4/7 for 60 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · -5.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DAL	DAL 27	10	73	3:18	Touchdown
2	ATL	ATL 25	9	58	3:18	Turnover on downs
3	DAL	DAL 25	5	2	1:36	Punt
4	ATL	ATL 32	7	36	2:43	Turnover on downs
5	DAL	DAL 32	13	63	5:41	Touchdown
6	ATL	ATL 25	5	5	1:28	Punt
7	DAL	DAL 32	9	68	3:49	Touchdown
8	ATL	ATL 25	5	-10	2:19	Punt
9	DAL	DAL 41	11	59	4:38	Touchdown
10	ATL	ATL 25	5	-8	0:33	Defensive touchdown
11	ATL	ATL 25	3	-4	0:37	End of half
12	ATL	ATL 25	5	8	1:03	Punt
13	DAL	DAL 1	4	4	1:29	Punt
14	ATL	ATL 25	7	46	2:43	Interception
15	DAL	DAL 30	6	62	3:12	Fumble
16	ATL	ATL 15	3	16	1:05	Interception
17	DAL	ATL 47	10	67	4:57	Touchdown
18	ATL	ATL 25	5	25	1:58	Interception
19	DAL	DAL 31	5	19	2:18	Punt
20	ATL	ATL 28	4	8	1:21	Punt
21	DAL	DAL 20	4	8	2:38	Punt
22	ATL	ATL 46	8	34	3:11	Turnover on downs
23	DAL	DAL 35	6	12	4:05	End of game

0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 73 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Atlanta Falcons

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matt Ryan	9/21	117	0	2	2	-14.9
Josh Rosen	1/6	14	0	1	0	-7.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Wayne Gallman	15	55	3.7	-2.1
Cordarrelle Patterson	4	25	6.3	0.6
Mike Davis	4	18	4.5	-0.0
Keith Smith	1	5	5.0	-0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Kyle Pitts	4	7	60	26%	-5.2
Olamide Zaccheaus	2	7	22	26%	-4.3
Wayne Gallman	1	2	21	7%	1.3
Cordarrelle Patterson	1	2	14	7%	-0.4
Frank Darby	1	3	14	11%	-2.7
Mike Davis	0	1	0	4%	-1.9
Tajae Sharpe	1	1	0	4%	-0.6
Christian Blake	0	1	0	4%	-0.7
Russell Gage	0	3	0	11%	-5.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Foyesade Oluokun	5	7	0
Erik Harris	4	3	1
A.J. Terrell	4	3	0
Fabian Moreau	5	1	0
Deion Jones	2	3	0
Duron Harmon	4	1	0
Grady Jarrett	2	3	0
Brandon Copeland	1	3	0
Richie Grant	3	0	0
Daren Bates	2	1	0

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	EPA
Dak Prescott	24/31	296	2	22.7
Cooper Rush	3/3	17	0	-1.1
Ezekiel Elliott	1/1	4	0	-0.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Tony Pollard	11	42	3.8	0	-4.6
Ezekiel Elliott	14	41	2.9	2	-4.6
Corey Clement	6	20	3.3	0	-3.3
CeeDee Lamb	1	12	12.0	0	1.1
Dak Prescott	2	5	2.5	1	3.6
Cooper Rush	3	-6	-2.0	0	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
CeeDee Lamb	6	7	94	2	21%	11.7
Tony Pollard	6	7	56	0	21%	1.2
Amari Cooper	4	4	51	0	12%	3.8
Michael Gallup	3	5	42	0	15%	4.2
Noah Brown	1	1	18	0	3%	1.0
Ezekiel Elliott	3	3	15	0	9%	-0.1
Sean McKeon	2	2	15	0	6%	-0.1
Dalton Schultz	1	2	14	0	6%	0.4
Malik Turner	1	1	7	0	3%	-0.3
Corey Clement	1	1	5	0	3%	-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jayron Kearse	1	5	0.0	0	1
Micah Parsons	5	0	1.0	0	0
Keanu Neal	1	4	0.0	0	0
Dorance Armstrong	3	0	1.0	0	0
Leighton Vander Esch	2	1	0.0	0	0
Donovan Wilson	1	2	0.0	0	0
Jourdan Lewis	2	1	0.0	1	3
Trysten Hill	1	1	0.0	0	0
Trevon Diggs	1	1	0.0	1	1
Chauncey Golston	0	2	0.0	0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DAL -8
Closing total: 55
ATL moneyline: +328
DAL moneyline: -392

Cowboys closed -8 and covered, winning by 40.

Total closed 55; the game landed 46 — under by 9.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Craig Wrolstad
Rest: ATL 7 days · DAL 7 days
Coaches: Arthur Smith vs Mike McCarthy