2021 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 21, 2021 · Allegiant Stadium

Cincinnati BengalsWinner

Las Vegas Raiders

CIN -1 ✓U 50.5 ✓DomeBengals closed -1 and covered, winning by 19.

Cincinnati Bengals 32–13 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 12:14, CIN +17% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 12:14CIN — LV CIN ball · 3rd & 6CIN 56%

(12:14) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow sacked at CIN 33 for -7 yards (91-Y.Ngakoue). FUMBLES (91-Y.Ngakoue) [91-Y.Ngakoue], RECOVERED by LV-32-D.Leavitt at CIN 39. 32-D.Leavitt to CIN 9 for 30 yards (85-T.Higgins).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 12:14CIN +17% win prob(12:14) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow sacked at CIN 33 for -7 yards (91-Y.Ngakoue). FUMBLES (91-Y.Ngakoue) [91-Y.Ngakoue], RECOVERED by LV-32-D.Leavitt at CIN 39. 32-D.Leavitt to CIN 9 for 30 yards (85-T.Higgins).
Q2 · 0:40LV +12% win prob(:40) 10-K.Huber punts 58 yards to LV 13, Center-46-C.Harris. 13-H.Renfrow to LV 24 for 11 yards (34-S.Perine).
Q2 · 6:47LV +10% win prob(6:47) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 83-T.Boyd to LV 34 for 14 yards (34-K.Wright).
Q2 · 0:49CIN +9% win prob(:49) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow sacked at CIN 29 for -10 yards (92-S.Thomas).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Bengals	Raiders
Offensive plays	70	47
Total yards	288 (edge)	278
Yards per play	4.1	5.9 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.02 (edge)	-0.28
Success rate	47% (edge)	47%
Dropback rate	50%	62%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.12 (edge)	-0.31
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.09 (edge)	-0.22
Third downs	8/16 (edge)	1/7
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6	6
First downs gained on snaps	20 (edge)	13
Sacks taken	3	2 (edge)
Turnovers	1 (edge)	2

Bengals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.02 expected points added per play vs -0.28.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LV

Derek CarrQB

19/27, 215 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-8.9 expected points added · +3.3% completion over expected

Passing · CIN

Joe BurrowQB

20/29, 148 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

2.8 expected points added · +1.9% completion over expected

Rushing · CIN

Joe MixonRB

30 att, 123 yds, 2 TD

-2.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LV

Josh JacobsRB

9 att, 37 yds, 0 TD

-1.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LV

Darren WallerTE

7/8 for 116 yds, 0 TD

32% of team targets · 0.6 expected points added

Receiving · CIN

Tyler BoydWR

6/8 for 49 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · 6.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CIN	CIN 25	7	14	3:00	Fumble
2	LV	CIN 9	4	1	1:23	Turnover on downs
3	CIN	CIN 25	8	24	3:01	Turnover on downs
4	LV	LV 15	8	41	3:41	Punt
5	CIN	CIN 7	7	19	4:05	Punt
6	LV	LV 39	8	32	3:44	Turnover on downs
7	CIN	CIN 28	14	56	6:51	Touchdown
8	LV	LV 25	6	28	2:11	Punt
9	CIN	CIN 20	7	9	1:36	Punt
10	LV	LV 24	2	5	0:28	End of half
11	LV	LV 11	7	20	3:22	Punt
12	CIN	CIN 15	9	34	5:34	Turnover on downs
13	LV	LV 25	6	16	2:24	Punt
14	CIN	CIN 21	10	46	5:23	Turnover on downs
15	LV	LV 25	5	75	1:35	Touchdown
16	CIN	CIN 38	14	57	6:39	Touchdown
17	LV	LV 18	3	7	0:20	Interception
18	CIN	LV 27	3	27	0:52	Touchdown
19	LV	LV 25	10	44	2:28	Fumble
20	CIN	LV 31	4	2	0:19	Turnover on downs
21	LV	LV 25	3	9	1:04	End of game

0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Raiders gained 75 scrimmage yards over 5 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Joe Burrow	20/29	148	1	0	3	2.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Joe Mixon	30	123	4.1	2	-2.0
Tyler Boyd	1	14	14.0	0	0.8
Joe Burrow	3	11	3.7	0	1.6
Ja'Marr Chase	2	8	4.0	0	-1.6
Samaje Perine	2	3	1.5	0	-0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tyler Boyd	6	8	49	0	29%	6.3
Ja'Marr Chase	3	6	32	1	21%	3.5
Samaje Perine	3	3	18	0	11%	1.9
Tee Higgins	2	3	15	0	11%	-0.0
Mike Thomas	1	1	12	0	4%	1.4
C.J. Uzomah	2	3	9	0	11%	0.2
Chris Evans	1	1	7	0	4%	0.5
Drew Sample	1	2	3	0	7%	-1.0
Stanley Morgan	1	1	3	0	4%	-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Vonn Bell	5	1	0.0	0	0
Sam Hubbard	3	2	1.0	0	0
Germaine Pratt	3	1	0.0	0	0
Logan Wilson	2	2	0.0	0	0
Chidobe Awuzie	4	0	0.0	0	0
Jessie Bates	4	0	0.0	0	0
Eli Apple	3	0	0.0	1	1
Michael Thomas	1	1	0.0	0	0
Mike Hilton	2	0	0.0	0	0
Trey Hendrickson	2	0	1.0	0	0

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Derek Carr	19/27	215	1	1	2	-8.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Josh Jacobs	9	37	4.1	-1.0
Kenyan Drake	5	23	4.6	-1.0
Hunter Renfrow	1	5	5.0	-0.0
DeSean Jackson	1	4	4.0	0.0
Peyton Barber	1	3	3.0	-0.1
Bryan Edwards	1	0	0.0	-1.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Darren Waller	7	8	116	0	32%	0.6
Hunter Renfrow	4	4	30	0	16%	2.5
Josh Jacobs	5	7	24	0	28%	-1.8
Zay Jones	1	2	20	0	8%	-0.2
Foster Moreau	1	2	19	1	8%	1.6
Kenyan Drake	1	2	6	0	8%	-1.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Denzel Perryman	9	3	0.0	2
Johnathan Abram	5	6	0.0	0
Cory Littleton	3	6	0.0	0
Brandon Facyson	4	3	0.0	3
Carl Nassib	4	0	0.0	0
Dallin Leavitt	1	3	0.0	0
Nate Hobbs	3	1	0.0	0
Yannick Ngakoue	2	1	1.0	0
Maxx Crosby	1	2	0.0	0
Casey Hayward	2	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CIN -1
Closing total: 50.5
CIN moneyline: -123
LV moneyline: +112

Bengals closed -1 and covered, winning by 19.

Total closed 50.5; the game landed 45 — under by 5.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Allegiant Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · grass
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Jerome Boger
Rest: CIN 14 days · LV 7 days
Coaches: Zac Taylor vs Rich Bisaccia