2021 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 28, 2021 · MetLife Stadium

Philadelphia Eagles

New York GiantsWinner

PHI -4 upsetU 45.5 ✓Eagles closed -4 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

New York Giants 13–7. Biggest swing: Q4 1:41, PHI +21% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 1:41PHI — NYG PHI ball · 1st & 10NYG 75%

(1:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 35-B.Scott right guard to NYG 45 for 4 yards (97-D.Lawrence). FUMBLES (97-D.Lawrence), RECOVERED by NYG-20-J.Love at NYG 37.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 1:41PHI +21% win prob(1:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 35-B.Scott right guard to NYG 45 for 4 yards (97-D.Lawrence). FUMBLES (97-D.Lawrence), RECOVERED by NYG-20-J.Love at NYG 37.
Q4 · 0:25PHI +15% win prob(:25) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass incomplete deep middle to 18-J.Reagor.
Q1 · 1:15PHI +14% win prob(1:15) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short middle intended for 16-Q.Watkins INTERCEPTED by 30-D.Holmes at NYG 5. 30-D.Holmes to NYG 20 for 15 yards (16-Q.Watkins; 68-J.Mailata).
Q2 · 0:08PHI +13% win prob(:08) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right intended for 35-B.Scott INTERCEPTED by 48-T.Crowder at NYG 0. 48-T.Crowder to NYG 9 for 9 yards (6-D.Smith). FUMBLES (6-D.Smith), ball out of bounds at PHI 13.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Giants
Offensive plays	64	57
Total yards	332 (edge)	265
Yards per play	5.2 (edge)	4.6
Expected points added / play	-0.19	-0.05 (edge)
Success rate	45% (edge)	42%
Dropback rate	52%	58%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.53	0.11 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.17 (edge)	-0.29
Third downs	4/11 (edge)	3/12
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	19 (edge)	16
Sacks taken	1	1
Turnovers	4	0 (edge)

Eagles outgained Giants 332–265 but lost the turnover battle 4–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

19/30, 202 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

3.6 expected points added · -3.1% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

14/31, 129 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT

-17.6 expected points added · -14.3% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

8 att, 77 yds, 0 TD

4.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Boston ScottRB

15 att, 64 yds, 1 TD

-1.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Kenny GolladayWR

3/7 for 50 yds, 0 TD

24% of team targets · 0.5 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Darius SlaytonWR

3/4 for 40 yds, 0 TD

14% of team targets · 1.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYG	NYG 22	5	5	1:19	Punt
2	PHI	PHI 31	4	0	1:34	Punt
3	NYG	NYG 36	11	47	5:23	Turnover on downs
4	PHI	PHI 26	11	54	5:39	Interception
5	NYG	NYG 20	8	47	4:18	Turnover on downs
6	PHI	PHI 41	4	0	1:02	Punt
7	NYG	NYG 13	8	57	4:33	Punt
8	PHI	PHI 7	15	106	6:12	Interception
9	PHI	PHI 25	6	35	2:12	Turnover on downs
10	NYG	NYG 41	11	55	5:58	Touchdown
11	PHI	PHI 17	2	0	0:48	Interception
12	NYG	NYG 46	4	-14	1:29	Punt
13	PHI	PHI 34	11	66	4:38	Touchdown
14	NYG	NYG 25	5	1	1:02	Punt
15	PHI	PHI 35	7	14	3:37	Punt
16	NYG	NYG 9	12	75	7:22	Turnover on downs
17	PHI	PHI 30	5	25	1:20	Fumble
18	NYG	NYG 37	4	-8	0:23	Punt
19	PHI	PHI 41	8	32	0:56	Turnover on downs
20	NYG	NYG 28	1	0	0:15	End of game

0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 106 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a interception.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	14/31	129	0	3	1	-17.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jalen Hurts	8	77	9.6	0	4.7
Boston Scott	15	64	4.3	1	-1.9
Miles Sanders	9	64	7.1	0	2.6
Quez Watkins	1	3	3.0	0	-0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Kenneth Gainwell	3	4	32	14%	0.2
Jalen Reagor	2	7	31	24%	-5.2
Quez Watkins	2	5	23	17%	-3.4
DeVonta Smith	2	4	22	14%	1.0
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside	1	1	13	3%	1.2
Boston Scott	2	3	8	10%	-4.7
Miles Sanders	1	1	0	3%	-0.9
Greg Ward	0	1	0	3%	-0.6
Dallas Goedert	1	3	0	10%	-2.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Alex Singleton	6	4	0.0	1
T.J. Edwards	3	4	0.0	0
Avonte Maddox	6	0	0.0	1
Steven Nelson	4	2	0.0	1
Derek Barnett	3	1	0.0	0
Javon Hargrave	2	1	1.0	0
Rodney McLeod	3	0	0.0	0
Genard Avery	1	1	0.0	0
Fletcher Cox	2	0	0.0	0
Anthony Harris	2	0	0.0	0

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	19/30	202	1	0	1	3.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Saquon Barkley	13	40	3.1	-5.0
Daniel Jones	9	30	3.3	0.7
Devontae Booker	3	10	3.3	-0.5
Pharoh Cooper	1	3	3.0	-0.2
Darius Slayton	1	-13	-13.0	-1.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Kenny Golladay	3	7	50	0	24%	0.5
Darius Slayton	3	4	40	0	14%	1.4
Evan Engram	3	6	37	0	21%	-0.6
John Ross	2	2	28	0	7%	3.0
Devontae Booker	1	1	17	0	3%	2.4
Saquon Barkley	4	5	13	0	17%	-1.6
Chris Myarick	2	2	11	1	7%	1.5
Pharoh Cooper	1	2	6	0	7%	-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Xavier McKinney	4	4	0.0	1	2
Julian Love	2	4	0.5	0	1
J.R. Reed	2	4	0.0	0	0
Reggie Ragland	3	2	0.0	0	0
Aaron Robinson	3	2	0.0	0	2
Tae Crowder	3	2	0.0	1	1
Azeez Ojulari	2	3	0.0	0	0
Leonard Williams	2	2	0.0	0	0
Austin Johnson	1	3	0.5	0	0
Benardrick McKinney	1	2	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -4
Closing total: 45.5
PHI moneyline: -192
NYG moneyline: +171

Eagles closed -4 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 20 — under by 25.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 39°F, wind 4 mph
Referee: Ron Torbert
Rest: PHI 7 days · NYG 6 days
Coaches: Nick Sirianni vs Joe Judge

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.