2021 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 5, 2021 · Hard Rock Stadium

New York Giants

Miami DolphinsWinner

MIA -6.5 ✓U 40 ✓Dolphins closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 11.

Miami Dolphins 20–9. Biggest swing: Q2 0:31, MIA +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 0:31NYG — MIA MIA ball · 2nd & 5MIA 78%

(:31) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 86-M.Hollins for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 0:31MIA +9% win prob(:31) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 86-M.Hollins for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 1:31NYG +7% win prob(1:31) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa sacked at MIA 2 for -6 yards (95-Q.Roche). MIA-32-P.Laird was injured during the play. He is Out.
Q2 · 6:19MIA +6% win prob(6:19) (Shotgun) 2-M.Glennon pass deep left to 88-E.Engram to NYG 42 for 16 yards (27-J.Coleman).
Q2 · 9:17MIA +5% win prob(9:17) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 11-D.Parker pushed ob at NYG 34 for 6 yards (24-J.Bradberry).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Giants	Dolphins
Offensive plays	62	67
Total yards	250	298 (edge)
Yards per play	4.0	4.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.16	-0.03 (edge)
Success rate	32%	43% (edge)
Dropback rate	73%	66%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.28	0.08 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.13 (edge)	-0.25
Third downs	6/16	6/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5 (edge)	2
First downs gained on snaps	16	18 (edge)
Sacks taken	3	2 (edge)
Turnovers	1	0 (edge)

Dolphins won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.03 expected points added per play vs -0.16.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · MIA

Tua TagovailoaQB

30/41, 244 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

4.1 expected points added · +4.3% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Mike GlennonQB

23/44, 187 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-12.7 expected points added · -4.3% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

11 att, 55 yds, 0 TD

3.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · MIA

Myles GaskinRB

15 att, 44 yds, 0 TD

-3.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · MIA

Jaylen WaddleWR

9/11 for 90 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 5.0 expected points added

Receiving · MIA

DeVante ParkerWR

5/5 for 62 yds, 0 TD

12% of team targets · 5.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYG	NYG 25	8	28	4:17	Punt
2	MIA	MIA 11	9	29	3:45	Punt
3	NYG	NYG 7	7	45	4:13	Interception
4	MIA	MIA 3	4	-1	1:56	Punt
5	NYG	MIA 37	7	16	2:37	Turnover on downs
6	MIA	MIA 23	12	47	6:05	Turnover on downs
7	NYG	NYG 25	8	23	2:49	Punt
8	MIA	MIA 11	15	84	3:52	Touchdown
9	NYG	NYG 25	2	7	0:26	End of half
10	MIA	MIA 25	5	6	1:00	Punt
11	NYG	NYG 15	10	69	3:31	Turnover on downs
12	MIA	MIA 18	5	8	2:05	Punt
13	NYG	NYG 35	4	0	1:02	Punt
14	MIA	MIA 27	4	-9	1:25	Punt
15	NYG	NYG 46	4	8	1:03	Punt
16	MIA	MIA 20	5	19	1:21	Punt
17	NYG	NYG 15	7	5	3:42	Punt
18	MIA	MIA 39	8	61	3:45	Touchdown
19	NYG	NYG 25	5	-8	0:55	Punt
20	MIA	NYG 38	4	4	1:29	Turnover on downs
21	NYG	NYG 42	10	25	3:43	Turnover on downs
22	MIA	MIA 25	11	50	3:48	Turnover on downs
23	NYG	NYG 25	7	32	1:02	Turnover on downs
24	MIA	MIA 46	1	0	0:09	End of game

0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Dolphins gained 84 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Mike Glennon	23/44	187	0	1	3	-12.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Saquon Barkley	11	55	5.0	0	3.3
Devontae Booker	6	36	6.0	0	-1.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Evan Engram	4	5	61	13%	5.4
Kenny Golladay	3	5	37	13%	2.9
Pharoh Cooper	2	3	21	8%	0.6
Saquon Barkley	6	9	19	24%	-4.1
Devontae Booker	4	4	18	11%	-0.7
Kyle Rudolph	2	4	18	11%	-2.9
Darius Slayton	2	7	13	18%	-5.3
John Ross	0	1	0	3%	-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Tae Crowder	5	3	0.0	0
Logan Ryan	3	5	0.0	0
Aaron Robinson	3	3	0.0	1
Reggie Ragland	5	1	0.0	0
Xavier McKinney	3	2	0.0	0
Quincy Roche	2	3	1.0	0
Austin Johnson	2	3	0.0	0
Azeez Ojulari	3	1	1.0	0
Dexter Lawrence	2	1	0.0	0
Jarren Williams	3	0	0.0	0

Miami Dolphins

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Tua Tagovailoa	30/41	244	2	0	2	4.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Myles Gaskin	15	44	2.9	-3.3
Salvon Ahmed	8	23	2.9	-2.5
Tua Tagovailoa	2	1	0.5	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Jaylen Waddle	9	11	90	0	27%	5.0
DeVante Parker	5	5	62	0	12%	5.3
Mike Gesicki	7	11	46	0	27%	-3.1
Albert Wilson	4	8	26	0	20%	-3.2
Hunter Long	1	1	8	0	2%	0.4
Myles Gaskin	2	2	5	0	5%	-0.5
Mack Hollins	1	1	5	1	2%	2.3
Isaiah Ford	1	1	2	1	2%	1.9
Durham Smythe	0	1	0	0	2%	-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Andrew Van Ginkel	4	1	0.0	1
Nik Needham	4	1	0.0	0
Jevon Holland	0	5	0.0	2
Eric Rowe	3	2	0.0	0
Christian Wilkins	1	3	0.0	0
Byron Jones	4	0	0.0	0
Duke Riley	2	1	0.0	0
Jaelan Phillips	3	0	2.0	0
Zach Sieler	1	1	0.0	0
Raekwon Davis	1	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: MIA -6.5
Closing total: 40
NYG moneyline: +253
MIA moneyline: -293

Dolphins closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 11.

Total closed 40; the game landed 29 — under by 11.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 80°F, wind 11 mph
Referee: Brad Allen
Rest: NYG 7 days · MIA 7 days
Coaches: Joe Judge vs Brian Flores