2021 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 5, 2021 · MetLife Stadium

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

New York Jets

PHI -5 ✓O 44 ✓Eagles closed -5 and covered, winning by 15.

Philadelphia Eagles 33–18. Biggest swing: Q2 9:26, NYJ +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 9:26PHI — NYJ NYJ ball · 4th & 1PHI 66%

(9:26) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short right to 86-R.Griffin for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 9:26NYJ +12% win prob(9:26) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short right to 86-R.Griffin for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 3:06PHI +8% win prob(3:06) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson sacked at NYJ 22 for -10 yards (94-J.Sweat).
Q2 · 4:36NYJ +8% win prob(4:36) (Shotgun) 14-K.Gainwell left guard for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 15:00NYJ +8% win prob4-J.Elliott kicks 65 yards from PHI 35 to NYJ 0. 10-B.Berrios to PHI 21 for 79 yards (22-M.Epps).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Jets
Offensive plays	68	56
Total yards	418 (edge)	282
Yards per play	6.1 (edge)	5.0
Expected points added / play	0.23 (edge)	0.01
Success rate	49% (edge)	43%
Dropback rate	41%	71%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.53 (edge)	0.03
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.02 (edge)	-0.04
Third downs	6/13 (edge)	3/9
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	7 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	22 (edge)	21
Sacks taken	2	2
Turnovers	0 (edge)	1

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.23 expected points added per play vs 0.01.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Gardner MinshewQB

20/25, 242 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

14.2 expected points added · +21.2% completion over expected

Passing · NYJ

Zach WilsonQB

23/38, 226 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

1.0 expected points added · -3.4% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Miles SandersRB

24 att, 120 yds, 0 TD

0.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYJ

Tevin ColemanRB

11 att, 58 yds, 0 TD

-1.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

Dallas GoedertTE

6/6 for 105 yds, 2 TD

27% of team targets · 10.5 expected points added

Receiving · NYJ

Elijah MooreWR

6/12 for 77 yds, 1 TD

33% of team targets · 1.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYJ	PHI 21	7	21	2:18	Touchdown
2	PHI	PHI 25	8	75	3:17	Touchdown
3	NYJ	NYJ 32	13	63	6:07	Touchdown
4	PHI	PHI 31	10	69	4:06	Touchdown
5	NYJ	NYJ 25	11	75	4:50	Touchdown
6	PHI	PHI 6	10	79	4:52	Touchdown
7	NYJ	NYJ 25	5	-3	2:20	Punt
8	PHI	NYJ 47	10	39	1:51	Turnover on downs
9	NYJ	NYJ 25	2	0	0:19	End of half
10	PHI	PHI 16	15	44	8:22	Turnover on downs
11	NYJ	NYJ 30	5	3	1:10	Punt
12	PHI	PHI 34	13	36	6:13	Turnover on downs
13	NYJ	NYJ 25	7	32	1:13	Interception
14	PHI	PHI 24	6	48	3:20	Turnover on downs
15	NYJ	NYJ 25	12	48	4:19	Turnover on downs
16	PHI	PHI 37	8	28	3:35	Punt
17	NYJ	NYJ 19	8	43	1:48	End of game

0 of 17 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 79 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Gardner Minshew	20/25	242	2	0	2	14.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Miles Sanders	24	120	5.0	0	0.5
Kenneth Gainwell	12	54	4.5	1	1.9
Gardner Minshew	4	11	2.8	0	-0.5
Jalen Reagor	1	0	0.0	0	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Dallas Goedert	6	6	105	2	27%	10.5
Quez Watkins	3	3	60	0	14%	7.7
Kenneth Gainwell	5	5	33	0	23%	0.9
Miles Sanders	3	3	22	0	14%	0.8
DeVonta Smith	2	4	15	0	18%	-2.2
Jalen Reagor	1	1	7	0	5%	0.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
T.J. Edwards	5	5	0.0	0	0
Alex Singleton	2	4	0.0	0	0
Marcus Epps	3	2	0.0	1	1
Darius Slay	4	1	0.0	0	1
Avonte Maddox	2	2	0.0	0	0
Josh Sweat	1	2	1.5	0	0
Genard Avery	1	2	0.0	0	0
Rodney McLeod	1	2	0.0	0	0
Fletcher Cox	1	2	0.0	0	0
Javon Hargrave	0	2	0.5	0	0

New York Jets

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Zach Wilson	23/38	226	2	1	2	1.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Tevin Coleman	11	58	5.3	0	-1.2
Elijah Moore	1	9	9.0	0	0.7
Austin Walter	1	2	2.0	0	-0.4
Ty Johnson	1	1	1.0	0	-0.2
Zach Wilson	3	0	0.0	1	0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Elijah Moore	6	12	77	1	33%	1.9
Jamison Crowder	4	6	62	0	17%	1.5
Tevin Coleman	3	4	19	0	11%	0.7
Ryan Griffin	2	2	15	1	6%	3.1
Corey Davis	2	3	15	0	8%	1.5
Ty Johnson	2	4	14	0	11%	-2.8
Braxton Berrios	1	1	11	0	3%	-0.6
Austin Walter	2	2	9	0	6%	-0.1
Denzel Mims	1	1	4	0	3%	-0.1
Kenny Yeboah	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Quincy Williams	7	6	0.0	0
C.J. Mosley	9	4	0.0	0
Elijah Riley	6	1	1.0	0
Quinnen Williams	4	2	0.0	0
Bryce Hall	5	1	0.0	1
Javelin Guidry	1	3	0.0	0
Folorunso Fatukasi	2	2	0.0	0
Ashtyn Davis	2	1	0.0	1
Jarrad Davis	2	1	0.0	0
Nathan Shepherd	2	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -5
Closing total: 44
PHI moneyline: -199
NYJ moneyline: +177

Eagles closed -5 and covered, winning by 15.

Total closed 44; the game landed 51 — over by 7.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 45°F, wind 0 mph
Referee: Clay Martin
Rest: PHI 7 days · NYJ 7 days
Coaches: Nick Sirianni vs Robert Saleh