2021 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 12, 2021 · SoFi Stadium

New York Giants

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

LAC -9.5 ✓O 44 ✓DomeChargers closed -9.5 and covered, winning by 16.

Los Angeles Chargers 37–21. Biggest swing: Q1 3:00, LAC +6% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 3:00NYG — LAC NYG ball · 3rd & 10LAC 91%

(3:00) (Shotgun) 2-M.Glennon pass deep left to 80-K.Rudolph to LAC 5 for 60 yards (43-M.Davis, 36-T.Marshall) [37-K.Hall].

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 3:00LAC +6% win prob(3:00) (Shotgun) 2-M.Glennon pass deep left to 80-K.Rudolph to LAC 5 for 60 yards (43-M.Davis, 36-T.Marshall) [37-K.Hall].
Q1 · 13:48LAC +6% win prob(13:48) 2-M.Glennon pass short right to 26-S.Barkley to NYG 42 for 15 yards (49-D.Tranquill).
Q1 · 1:35LAC +4% win prob(1:35) 2-M.Glennon pass short right to 39-E.Penny for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-J.Bosa].
Q2 · 13:43LAC +4% win prob(13:43) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 89-D.Parham to NYG 19 for 15 yards (29-X.McKinney; 33-A.Robinson).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Giants	Chargers
Offensive plays	66	68
Total yards	318	425 (edge)
Yards per play	4.8	6.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.07	0.22 (edge)
Success rate	47%	51% (edge)
Dropback rate	61%	51%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.31	0.47 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.29 (edge)	-0.04
Third downs	7/14	7/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	7 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	20	25 (edge)
Sacks taken	2	2
Turnovers	2	0 (edge)

Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.22 expected points added per play vs -0.07.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

23/31, 275 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

14.3 expected points added · +8.2% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Mike GlennonQB

17/36, 191 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-11.4 expected points added · -16.2% completion over expected

Rushing · LAC

Austin EkelerRB

12 att, 67 yds, 1 TD

1.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

16 att, 64 yds, 0 TD

1.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LAC

Jalen GuytonWR

3/3 for 87 yds, 1 TD

10% of team targets · 7.8 expected points added

Receiving · LAC

Josh PalmerWR

5/7 for 66 yds, 1 TD

23% of team targets · 4.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYG	NYG 15	8	35	2:35	Punt
2	LAC	LAC 20	5	22	2:07	Punt
3	NYG	NYG 10	4	4	1:01	Punt
4	LAC	LAC 40	10	60	4:33	Touchdown
5	NYG	NYG 25	9	75	3:15	Touchdown
6	LAC	LAC 40	11	55	4:22	Touchdown
7	NYG	NYG 20	5	7	1:27	Punt
8	LAC	LAC 22	12	73	6:25	Turnover on downs
9	NYG	NYG 25	5	8	2:11	Punt
10	LAC	LAC 4	4	4	0:24	Punt
11	NYG	LAC 41	4	-2	1:00	Punt
12	LAC	LAC 25	5	75	0:23	Touchdown
13	NYG	NYG 25	4	18	0:17	End of half
14	LAC	LAC 23	11	72	5:24	Turnover on downs
15	NYG	NYG 25	7	13	1:35	Turnover on downs
16	LAC	NYG 37	6	17	2:56	Turnover on downs
17	NYG	NYG 25	11	16	4:42	Fumble
18	LAC	NYG 41	12	41	5:55	Touchdown
19	NYG	NYG 25	12	70	4:55	Touchdown
20	LAC	NYG 45	5	6	1:04	Punt
21	NYG	NYG 37	8	50	2:11	Touchdown
22	NYG	50	5	24	0:31	Interception
23	LAC	LAC 21	2	0	0:47	End of game

0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 75 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Mike Glennon	17/36	191	2	1	2	-11.4
Riley Dixon	0/1	0	0	0	0	-2.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Saquon Barkley	16	64	4.0	0	1.8
Devontae Booker	8	56	7.0	0	3.8
Elijhaa Penny	1	8	8.0	0	1.9
Mike Glennon	1	7	7.0	1	1.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Kyle Rudolph	2	2	66	0	6%	6.2
Saquon Barkley	3	3	31	1	9%	2.5
Devontae Booker	4	5	28	0	15%	-1.4
Sterling Shepard	2	4	27	0	12%	-2.2
Kenny Golladay	2	8	15	0	24%	-6.0
Evan Engram	1	4	8	0	12%	-1.5
John Ross	1	1	7	0	3%	0.3
Pharoh Cooper	1	1	6	0	3%	0.1
Elijhaa Penny	1	1	3	1	3%	1.2
Keion Crossen	0	1	0	0	3%	-2.9
Chris Myarick	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.6
Darius Slayton	0	3	0	0	9%	-2.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks
Aaron Robinson	7	2	0.0
Tae Crowder	2	6	0.0
Logan Ryan	5	3	0.0
Dexter Lawrence	4	3	1.0
Austin Johnson	3	3	0.0
Julian Love	2	3	0.0
Danny Shelton	2	2	0.0
Reggie Ragland	1	3	0.0
Jarren Williams	1	2	0.0
Benardrick McKinney	3	0	0.0

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Justin Herbert	23/31	275	3	0	2	14.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Austin Ekeler	12	67	5.6	1	1.4
Justin Jackson	9	35	3.9	0	-0.4
Joshua Kelley	10	33	3.3	0	-3.1
Justin Herbert	4	19	4.8	0	2.8
Chase Daniel	2	-2	-1.0	0	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Jalen Guyton	3	3	87	1	10%	7.8
Josh Palmer	5	7	66	1	23%	4.3
Mike Williams	6	6	61	0	20%	4.3
Austin Ekeler	2	4	17	0	13%	0.0
Donald Parham	2	2	13	0	7%	0.8
Stephen Anderson	1	1	11	0	3%	1.4
Jared Cook	2	5	8	1	17%	0.1
Justin Jackson	1	1	7	0	3%	-0.9
Joshua Kelley	1	1	5	0	3%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Kyzir White	5	5	0.0	0
Nasir Adderley	4	3	0.0	1
Drue Tranquill	1	5	0.0	0
Amen Ogbongbemiga	4	2	0.0	0
Justin Jones	3	2	1.0	0
Linval Joseph	1	2	0.0	0
Joe Gaziano	2	1	0.0	0
Christian Covington	1	1	0.0	0
Michael Davis	1	0	0.0	4
Uchenna Nwosu	1	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LAC -9.5
Closing total: 44
NYG moneyline: +329
LAC moneyline: -395

Chargers closed -9.5 and covered, winning by 16.

Total closed 44; the game landed 58 — over by 14.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Tony Corrente
Rest: NYG 7 days · LAC 7 days
Coaches: Joe Judge vs Brandon Staley