2021 Week 14 · Thu, Dec 9, 2021 · U.S. Bank Stadium

Pittsburgh Steelers

Minnesota VikingsWinner

MIN -3.5 ✓O 45 ✓DomeVikings closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 8.

Minnesota Vikings 36–28. Biggest swing: Q1 5:36, PIT +10% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 5:36PIT — MIN PIT ball · 4th & 12MIN 53%

(5:36) 9-C.Boswell 49 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 5:36PIT +10% win prob(5:36) 9-C.Boswell 49 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin.
Q1 · 11:47PIT +9% win prob(11:47) 1-G.Joseph 53 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-3-J.Berry.
Q4 · 12:17MIN +7% win prob(12:17) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep middle to 13-J.Washington for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 8:13MIN +6% win prob(8:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger scrambles up the middle to MIN 34 for 5 yards (90-S.Richardson). PENALTY on MIN-24-M.Alexander, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at MIN 34.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Steelers	Vikings
Offensive plays	70	67
Total yards	377	458 (edge)
Yards per play	5.4	6.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.08	0.00 (edge)
Success rate	44% (edge)	43%
Dropback rate	67%	48%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.08 (edge)	-0.25
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.07	0.24 (edge)
Third downs	4/13	5/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	7	10 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	20	21 (edge)
Sacks taken	5	0 (edge)
Turnovers	2	2

Vikings won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.00 expected points added per play vs -0.08.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PIT

Ben RoethlisbergerQB

28/40, 308 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

-7.9 expected points added · +2.6% completion over expected

Passing · MIN

Kirk CousinsQB

14/31, 216 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

-9.7 expected points added · -18.5% completion over expected

Rushing · MIN

Dalvin CookRB

27 att, 205 yds, 2 TD

7.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PIT

Najee HarrisRB

20 att, 94 yds, 1 TD

-0.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PIT

Chase ClaypoolWR

8/9 for 93 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · 2.5 expected points added

Receiving · MIN

K.J. OsbornWR

3/9 for 83 yds, 1 TD

29% of team targets · -4.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	MIN	MIN 25	8	45	3:17	Turnover on downs
2	PIT	PIT 43	11	36	6:11	Turnover on downs
3	MIN	MIN 39	6	61	2:01	Touchdown
4	PIT	PIT 25	5	8	1:46	Fumble
5	MIN	MIN 43	7	37	2:02	Turnover on downs
6	PIT	PIT 25	5	-6	1:42	Punt
7	MIN	MIN 22	6	88	3:06	Touchdown
8	PIT	PIT 19	5	-4	2:16	Punt
9	MIN	MIN 40	13	60	5:19	Touchdown
10	PIT	PIT 25	7	9	0:45	Punt
11	MIN	MIN 12	4	9	0:51	Punt
12	PIT	PIT 33	2	23	0:44	End of half
13	PIT	PIT 12	5	-4	2:35	Punt
14	MIN	PIT 34	7	10	2:49	Turnover on downs
15	PIT	PIT 15	4	27	1:14	Interception
16	MIN	PIT 30	6	18	2:07	Turnover on downs
17	PIT	PIT 25	12	65	4:04	Touchdown
18	MIN	MIN 25	2	0	0:08	Interception
19	PIT	MIN 42	8	30	2:14	Touchdown
20	MIN	MIN 25	5	3	1:32	Punt
21	PIT	PIT 31	4	69	1:06	Touchdown
22	MIN	MIN 25	5	75	1:20	Touchdown
23	PIT	PIT 25	5	7	1:55	Punt
24	MIN	MIN 39	6	22	3:58	Interception
25	PIT	MIN 21	3	23	0:44	Touchdown
26	MIN	MIN 25	8	30	1:58	Punt
27	PIT	PIT 4	12	94	2:16	End of game

0 of 27 drives ended in points. Longest march: Steelers gained 94 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a end of game.

Full stat lines

Box score

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ben Roethlisberger	28/40	308	3	1	5	-7.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Najee Harris	20	94	4.7	1	-0.8
Diontae Johnson	1	7	7.0	0	0.4
Ben Roethlisberger	1	5	5.0	0	3.9
Chase Claypool	1	2	2.0	0	-0.2
Benny Snell	1	-2	-2.0	0	-1.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Chase Claypool	8	9	93	0	23%	2.5
Diontae Johnson	5	10	76	0	26%	-6.1
James Washington	4	6	65	1	15%	5.8
Pat Freiermuth	2	3	32	1	8%	-0.4
Ray-Ray McCloud	6	8	32	0	21%	-2.1
Najee Harris	3	3	10	1	8%	1.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Joe Schobert	4	3	0	0
Devin Bush	2	5	0	2
Minkah Fitzpatrick	3	3	0	1
Cameron Heyward	2	3	0	0
Terrell Edmunds	4	1	0	1
Taco Charlton	2	2	0	0
Ahkello Witherspoon	4	0	2	3
Cameron Sutton	4	0	0	1
Chris Wormley	1	1	0	0
Montravius Adams	1	1	0	0

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kirk Cousins	14/31	216	2	2	0	-9.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Dalvin Cook	27	205	7.6	2	7.7
Alexander Mattison	6	27	4.5	0	-0.6
Kirk Cousins	2	14	7.0	0	3.8
Justin Jefferson	1	-4	-4.0	0	-1.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
K.J. Osborn	3	9	83	1	29%	-4.6
Justin Jefferson	7	15	79	1	48%	-7.8
Tyler Conklin	2	2	20	0	6%	1.1
Dalvin Cook	1	3	17	0	10%	0.7
Christopher Herndon	1	1	17	0	3%	1.4
Alexander Mattison	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Eric Kendricks	2	6	1.0	0	0
Anthony Barr	3	5	0.0	0	0
Xavier Woods	5	2	0.0	0	1
Bashaud Breeland	6	1	0.0	1	1
Mackensie Alexander	1	4	0.0	0	0
Patrick Peterson	3	2	0.0	0	0
Harrison Smith	3	1	1.0	0	1
Armon Watts	1	2	1.0	0	0
Kris Boyd	3	0	0.0	0	0
Michael Pierce	1	1	1.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: MIN -3.5
Closing total: 45
PIT moneyline: +157
MIN moneyline: -175

Vikings closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 8.

Total closed 45; the game landed 64 — over by 19.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Clete Blakeman
Rest: PIT 4 days · MIN 4 days
Coaches: Mike Tomlin vs Mike Zimmer