2021 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 19, 2021 · MetLife Stadium

Dallas CowboysWinner

New York Giants

DAL -11.5 ✓U 43 ✓Cowboys closed -11.5 and covered, winning by 15.

Dallas Cowboys 21–6. Biggest swing: Q1 6:51, DAL +10% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 6:51DAL — NYG NYG ball · 3rd & 5DAL 78%

(6:51) (Shotgun) 2-M.Glennon pass short middle intended for 3-S.Shepard INTERCEPTED by 26-J.Lewis (90-D.Lawrence) [90-D.Lawrence] at NYG 31. 26-J.Lewis pushed ob at NYG 13 for 18 yards (28-D.Booker).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 6:51DAL +10% win prob(6:51) (Shotgun) 2-M.Glennon pass short middle intended for 3-S.Shepard INTERCEPTED by 26-J.Lewis (90-D.Lawrence) [90-D.Lawrence] at NYG 31. 26-J.Lewis pushed ob at NYG 13 for 18 yards (28-D.Booker).
Q1 · 14:55NYG +8% win prob(14:55) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 13-M.Gallup to DAL 23 for 9 yards (34-J.Williams).
Q3 · 13:48NYG +4% win prob(13:48) 28-D.Booker left end to DAL 35 for 31 yards (18-D.Kazee). PENALTY on DAL-18-D.Kazee, Horse Collar Tackle, 15 yards, enforced at DAL 35.
Q1 · 13:15DAL +4% win prob(13:15) 21-E.Elliott left end to DAL 36 for -1 yards (59-L.Carter).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cowboys	Giants
Offensive plays	68	61
Total yards	329 (edge)	302
Yards per play	4.8	5.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.03 (edge)	-0.31
Success rate	47% (edge)	36%
Dropback rate	59%	61%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.01 (edge)	-0.41
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.06 (edge)	-0.17
Third downs	8/14 (edge)	6/14
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	23 (edge)	13
Sacks taken	3	1 (edge)
Turnovers	1 (edge)	5

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.03 expected points added per play vs -0.31.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

28/37, 217 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

0.4 expected points added · +7.0% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Mike GlennonQB

13/24, 99 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT

-14.4 expected points added · -12.3% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

12 att, 74 yds, 0 TD

2.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Devontae BookerRB

8 att, 74 yds, 0 TD

3.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

Dalton SchultzTE

8/8 for 67 yds, 1 TD

22% of team targets · 5.0 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Kenny GolladayWR

3/8 for 53 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · -4.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DAL	DAL 14	12	45	5:18	Punt
2	NYG	NYG 9	6	20	3:02	Interception
3	DAL	NYG 13	3	13	0:09	Touchdown
4	NYG	NYG 25	12	58	5:54	Turnover on downs
5	DAL	DAL 34	11	58	5:07	Turnover on downs
6	NYG	NYG 24	6	18	2:14	Fumble
7	DAL	DAL 8	16	68	6:37	Turnover on downs
8	NYG	NYG 25	4	16	0:58	Fumble
9	DAL	NYG 46	6	37	0:41	Turnover on downs
10	NYG	NYG 25	9	46	2:55	Turnover on downs
11	DAL	DAL 25	11	31	4:07	Punt
12	NYG	NYG 8	6	21	3:33	Turnover on downs
13	DAL	NYG 29	6	29	2:28	Touchdown
14	NYG	NYG 25	6	19	2:04	Interception
15	DAL	DAL 25	5	17	2:58	Punt
16	NYG	NYG 8	6	25	3:23	Punt
17	DAL	DAL 25	1	0	0:09	Fumble
18	NYG	DAL 27	2	0	0:11	Interception
19	DAL	DAL 20	9	31	4:31	Punt
20	NYG	NYG 7	13	79	2:23	Turnover on downs
21	DAL	DAL 9	2	0	1:18	End of game

0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 79 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a turnover on downs.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Dak Prescott	28/37	217	1	0	3	0.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Tony Pollard	12	74	6.2	0	2.4
Ezekiel Elliott	16	52	3.3	1	-0.7
Dak Prescott	2	-1	-0.5	0	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Dalton Schultz	8	8	67	1	22%	5.0
CeeDee Lamb	6	9	50	0	24%	2.6
Michael Gallup	3	5	32	0	14%	0.6
Jeremy Sprinkle	2	2	21	0	5%	1.9
Ezekiel Elliott	3	4	20	0	11%	0.4
Tony Pollard	3	3	13	0	8%	0.7
Amari Cooper	2	5	8	0	14%	-2.6
Malik Turner	1	1	6	0	3%	-0.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Damontae Kazee	3	4	0.0	0	0
Keanu Neal	4	2	0.0	0	0
Jayron Kearse	4	2	0.0	0	0
Malik Hooker	4	1	0.0	1	1
Carlos Watkins	2	2	0.0	0	0
Neville Gallimore	1	3	0.5	0	0
Demarcus Lawrence	3	1	0.0	0	1
Anthony Brown	4	0	0.0	0	0
Trevon Diggs	1	1	0.0	1	2
Quinton Bohanna	1	1	0.0	0	0

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Mike Glennon	13/24	99	0	3	0	-14.4
Jake Fromm	6/12	82	0	0	1	-0.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Devontae Booker	8	74	9.3	3.8
Saquon Barkley	15	50	3.3	-4.1
Mike Glennon	1	0	0.0	-3.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Kenny Golladay	3	8	53	22%	-4.0
Evan Engram	4	5	33	14%	1.9
Saquon Barkley	4	8	24	22%	-1.9
Darius Slayton	2	3	23	8%	0.3
Collin Johnson	1	1	16	3%	1.1
Sterling Shepard	2	6	15	17%	-8.0
Kyle Rudolph	1	1	9	3%	1.1
Devontae Booker	2	2	8	6%	-1.0
Pharoh Cooper	0	2	0	6%	-4.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Julian Love	8	2	0.0	0
Tae Crowder	4	6	0.0	0
Jarren Williams	4	1	0.0	1
Logan Ryan	3	2	0.0	0
Lorenzo Carter	3	1	2.0	1
Azeez Ojulari	2	2	0.5	0
Jaylon Smith	3	1	0.0	0
Quincy Roche	0	3	0.5	0
Benardrick McKinney	1	2	0.0	0
Reggie Ragland	1	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DAL -11.5
Closing total: 43
DAL moneyline: -534
NYG moneyline: +428

Cowboys closed -11.5 and covered, winning by 15.

Total closed 43; the game landed 27 — under by 16.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 37°F, wind 8 mph
Referee: Jerome Boger
Rest: DAL 7 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches: Mike McCarthy vs Joe Judge

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.