2021 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 19, 2021 · Heinz Field

Tennessee Titans

Pittsburgh SteelersWinner

PIT -1 ✓U 44 ✓32°FSteelers closed -1 and covered, winning by 6.

Pittsburgh Steelers 19–13. Biggest swing: Q4 0:46, TEN +34% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:46TEN — PIT TEN ball · 4th & 7PIT 64%

(:46) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine to PIT 10 for 6 yards (23-J.Haden). Official measurement. The Replay Official reviewed the short of the line to gain ruling, and the play was Uphel

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:46TEN +34% win prob(:46) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine to PIT 10 for 6 yards (23-J.Haden). Official measurement. The Replay Official reviewed the short of the line to gain ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
Q4 · 6:41TEN +24% win prob(6:41) 17-R.Tannehill FUMBLES (Aborted) at TEN 36, RECOVERED by PIT-90-T.Watt at TEN 35.
Q4 · 9:24TEN +23% win prob(9:24) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left intended for 40-D.Hilliard INTERCEPTED by 93-J.Schobert (98-T.Charlton) at PIT 46. 93-J.Schobert to TEN 31 for 23 yards (40-D.Hilliard; 17-R.Tannehill).
Q3 · 0:57TEN +16% win prob(:57) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 81-R.McMath to TEN 45 for 3 yards (20-C.Sutton). FUMBLES (20-C.Sutton), RECOVERED by PIT-23-J.Haden at TEN 41. 23-J.Haden to TEN 41 for no gain (81-R.McMath).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Titans	Steelers
Offensive plays	78	44
Total yards	318 (edge)	169
Yards per play	4.1 (edge)	3.8
Expected points added / play	-0.20 (edge)	-0.24
Success rate	45% (edge)	36%
Dropback rate	47%	64%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.43	-0.27 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.00 (edge)	-0.19
Third downs	9/18 (edge)	2/11
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5 (edge)	1
First downs gained on snaps	23 (edge)	9
Sacks taken	4	3 (edge)
Turnovers	5	1 (edge)

Titans outgained Steelers 318–169 but lost the turnover battle 5–1. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · TEN

Ryan TannehillQB

23/32, 153 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-8.6 expected points added · +5.2% completion over expected

Passing · PIT

Ben RoethlisbergerQB

16/25, 148 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-7.6 expected points added · -7.3% completion over expected

Rushing · TEN

D'Onta ForemanRB

22 att, 108 yds, 0 TD

3.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · TEN

Dontrell HilliardRB

9 att, 49 yds, 0 TD

0.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PIT

Diontae JohnsonWR

5/5 for 38 yds, 0 TD

20% of team targets · 0.4 expected points added

Receiving · PIT

Pat FreiermuthTE

4/4 for 37 yds, 0 TD

16% of team targets · 2.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PIT	PIT 25	6	18	1:37	Punt
2	TEN	TEN 30	4	2	2:07	Punt
3	PIT	PIT 35	4	4	1:06	Punt
4	TEN	PIT 25	7	25	2:29	Touchdown
5	PIT	PIT 25	5	-4	1:34	Punt
6	TEN	TEN 47	11	40	4:54	Turnover on downs
7	PIT	PIT 28	6	22	1:55	Punt
8	TEN	TEN 15	3	13	1:32	Fumble
9	PIT	TEN 36	5	23	2:11	Turnover on downs
10	TEN	TEN 22	20	79	10:17	Turnover on downs
11	PIT	PIT 22	5	40	0:18	Turnover on downs
12	TEN	TEN 25	7	24	3:34	Punt
13	PIT	PIT 23	4	-4	1:16	Punt
14	TEN	TEN 20	6	0	3:03	Punt
15	PIT	PIT 37	9	39	3:59	Touchdown
16	TEN	TEN 25	7	16	2:18	Fumble
17	PIT	TEN 41	7	22	2:26	Fumble
18	TEN	TEN 25	8	43	4:08	Interception
19	PIT	TEN 31	4	4	1:56	Turnover on downs
20	TEN	TEN 25	3	11	0:44	Fumble
21	PIT	TEN 35	4	5	2:07	Turnover on downs
22	TEN	TEN 25	14	65	4:02	Turnover on downs
23	PIT	PIT 10	1	0	0:27	End of game

0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Titans gained 79 scrimmage yards over 20 plays for a turnover on downs.

Full stat lines

Box score

Tennessee Titans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ryan Tannehill	23/32	153	0	1	4	-8.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
D'Onta Foreman	22	108	4.9	0	3.6
Dontrell Hilliard	9	49	5.4	0	0.7
Jeremy McNichols	6	26	4.3	0	-1.0
Ryan Tannehill	5	18	3.6	1	-3.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	4	7	32	22%	-2.6
Chester Rogers	4	4	30	13%	2.0
D'Onta Foreman	2	3	27	9%	2.0
Jeremy McNichols	3	3	25	9%	3.2
Anthony Firkser	2	2	19	6%	-1.0
Dontrell Hilliard	4	6	10	19%	-8.2
Geoff Swaim	1	2	5	6%	-1.0
Cody Hollister	1	2	5	6%	0.6
MyCole Pruitt	1	1	1	3%	-0.4
Julio Jones	0	1	0	3%	-0.4
Racey McMath	1	1	-1	3%	-4.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks
Zach Cunningham	3	2	0.0
Rashaan Evans	3	2	0.0
Elijah Molden	4	0	0.0
Kevin Byard	2	1	0.0
Kristian Fulton	3	0	0.0
Naquan Jones	2	1	1.0
Dylan Cole	2	0	0.0
Harold Landry	2	0	0.0
Kevin Strong	1	1	0.0
Amani Hooker	1	1	0.0

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ben Roethlisberger	16/25	148	0	0	3	-7.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Najee Harris	12	18	1.5	0	-4.7
Diontae Johnson	1	10	10.0	0	0.6
Chase Claypool	1	7	7.0	0	0.3
Ben Roethlisberger	3	0	0.0	1	0.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Diontae Johnson	5	5	38	20%	0.4
Pat Freiermuth	4	4	37	16%	2.6
James Washington	3	5	36	20%	0.6
Zach Gentry	1	1	17	4%	1.2
Chase Claypool	0	2	12	8%	-2.4
Najee Harris	2	5	8	20%	-4.2
Ray-Ray McCloud	1	3	0	12%	-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Minkah Fitzpatrick	9	2	0.0	0	0
Terrell Edmunds	7	3	0.0	0	0
Cameron Heyward	2	4	0.5	0	0
Arthur Maulet	5	0	0.0	0	0
T.J. Watt	4	1	1.5	0	0
Devin Bush	3	2	0.0	0	1
Joe Schobert	2	3	0.0	1	1
Robert Spillane	1	3	0.0	0	0
Chris Wormley	2	1	1.0	0	0
Cameron Sutton	2	1	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PIT -1
Closing total: 44
TEN moneyline: +109
PIT moneyline: -121

Steelers closed -1 and covered, winning by 6.

Total closed 44; the game landed 32 — under by 12.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Heinz Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 32°F, wind 11 mph
Referee: Brad Rogers
Rest: TEN 7 days · PIT 10 days
Coaches: Mike Vrabel vs Mike Tomlin