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2021 Week 15 · Tue, Dec 21, 2021 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Philadelphia Eagles 27–17. Biggest swing: Q1 4:25, PHI +15% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(4:25) (Shotgun) 19-G.Gilbert pass deep left to 17-T.McLaurin to PHI 7 for 46 yards (2-D.Slay).
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Commanders | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 54 | 70 |
| Total yards | 237 | 519 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.4 | 7.4 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.13 | 0.12 (edge) |
| Success rate | 37% | 51% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 61% | 46% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.08 | 0.18 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.20 | 0.07 (edge) |
| Third downs | 6/13 | 7/13 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 10 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 | 24 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 3 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 2 |
Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.12 expected points added per play vs -0.13.
Who moved the needle
Passing · PHI
20/26, 296 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
6.0 expected points added · +11.3% completion over expected
Passing · WAS
20/31, 194 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
-2.8 expected points added · +0.8% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WAS | WAS 25 | 6 | 26 | 2:20 | Punt | |
| 2 | PHI | PHI 13 | 3 | 9 | 1:11 | Interception | |
| 3 | WAS | PHI 26 | 8 | 26 | 3:14 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | PHI | PHI 31 | 8 | 45 | 3:50 | Fumble | |
| 5 | WAS | WAS 47 | 5 | 49 | 1:38 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | PHI | PHI 29 | 9 | 50 | 4:32 | Punt | |
| 7 | WAS | WAS 20 | 4 | 8 | 1:45 | Punt | |
| 8 | PHI | PHI 23 | 8 | 75 | 3:23 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | WAS | WAS 25 | 5 | 8 | 1:48 | Punt | |
| 10 | PHI | PHI 23 | 12 | 82 | 4:50 | Touchdown | |
| 11 | WAS | WAS 30 | 6 | 12 | 1:29 | End of half | |
| 12 | PHI | PHI 25 | 8 | 75 | 2:34 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | WAS | WAS 25 | 5 | -1 | 0:55 | Punt | |
| 14 | PHI | PHI 31 | 6 | 28 | 2:56 | Punt | |
| 15 | WAS | WAS 10 | 6 | 9 | 2:24 | Punt | |
| 16 | PHI | PHI 37 | 10 | 44 | 5:53 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | WAS | WAS 31 | 9 | 61 | 3:34 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | PHI | PHI 20 | 10 | 80 | 3:58 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | WAS | WAS 25 | 13 | 26 | 5:17 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | PHI | PHI 49 | 7 | 31 | 2:10 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | WAS | WAS 20 | 1 | 13 | 0:19 | End of game |
0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 82 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Gilbert | 20/31 | 194 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Gibson | 15 | 26 | 1.7 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Jaret Patterson | 4 | 20 | 5.0 | 1 | -0.2 |
| DeAndre Carter | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Jonathan Williams | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | 2 | 4 | 51 | 0 | 13% | 0.9 |
| Antonio Gibson | 6 | 7 | 39 | 0 | 23% | 0.0 |
| John Bates | 1 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 3% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Reaves | 8 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamin Davis | 4 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cole Holcomb | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Landon Collins |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | 20/26 | 296 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Sanders | 18 | 131 | 7.3 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Eagles closed -10 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.
Total closed 39.5; the game landed 44 — over by 4.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 2.9 |
| Ricky Seals-Jones | 4 | 7 | 29 | 0 | 23% | -0.8 |
| Adam Humphries | 3 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 20% | -1.0 |
| Cam Sims | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 3% | 1.4 |
| DeAndre Carter | 2 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 10% | 0.0 |
| Dax Milne | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 3% | -1.8 |
| 4 |
| 3 |
| 0.0 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Jonathan Allen | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Casey Toohill | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Johnson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bobby McCain | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Ioannidis | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daron Payne | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5.4 |
| Jordan Howard | 15 | 69 | 4.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Jalen Hurts | 8 | 38 | 4.8 | 2 | 0.8 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Goedert | 7 | 9 | 135 | 0 | 35% | 5.8 |
| Jalen Reagor | 3 | 3 | 57 | 0 | 12% | 4.9 |
| DeVonta Smith | 3 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 19% | 0.1 |
| Greg Ward | 2 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 12% | 3.0 |
| Miles Sanders | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 8% | 0.5 |
| Quez Watkins | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 8% | 1.4 |
| Jack Stoll | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4% | 0.3 |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.5 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Singleton | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| T.J. Edwards | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Avonte Maddox | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Rodney McLeod | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darius Slay | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Marcus Epps | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tarron Jackson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fletcher Cox | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Steven Nelson | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Sweat | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
