2021 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 26, 2021 · Lincoln Financial Field

New York Giants

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

PHI -11 ✓O 41 ✓Eagles closed -11 and covered, winning by 24.

Philadelphia Eagles 34–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q3 14:21, NYG +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q3 · 14:21NYG — PHI NYG ball · 2nd & 10PHI 69%

(14:21) (Shotgun) 17-J.Fromm pass deep middle intended for 19-K.Golladay INTERCEPTED by 23-R.McLeod at NYG 45. 23-R.McLeod to NYG 21 for 24 yards (78-A.Thomas).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q3 · 14:21NYG +14% win prob(14:21) (Shotgun) 17-J.Fromm pass deep middle intended for 19-K.Golladay INTERCEPTED by 23-R.McLeod at NYG 45. 23-R.McLeod to NYG 21 for 24 yards (78-A.Thomas).
Q1 · 12:24PHI +11% win prob(12:24) 9-R.Dixon punts 47 yards to PHI 19, Center-58-C.Kreiter. 18-J.Reagor to PHI 15 for -4 yards (47-C.Brown).
Q2 · 7:11NYG +9% win prob(7:11) 4-J.Elliott 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-8-A.Siposs.
Q2 · 4:46PHI +9% win prob(4:46) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 6-D.Smith to NYG 14 for 46 yards (20-J.Love).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Giants	Eagles
Offensive plays	73	60
Total yards	192	324 (edge)
Yards per play	2.6	5.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.36	0.02 (edge)
Success rate	33%	40% (edge)
Dropback rate	70%	50%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.39	0.04 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.28	0.00 (edge)
Third downs	8/20 (edge)	5/13
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	1	6 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	12	16 (edge)
Sacks taken	2	1 (edge)
Turnovers	2	0 (edge)

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.02 expected points added per play vs -0.36.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

17/29, 199 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

1.3 expected points added · -3.9% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Mike GlennonQB

17/27, 93 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-4.9 expected points added · -0.3% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Miles SandersRB

7 att, 45 yds, 0 TD

1.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Boston ScottRB

12 att, 41 yds, 1 TD

-1.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

DeVonta SmithWR

5/7 for 80 yds, 1 TD

25% of team targets · 7.0 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

Quez WatkinsWR

3/3 for 43 yds, 0 TD

11% of team targets · 0.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 23	5	6	1:10	Punt
2	NYG	NYG 37	4	-3	1:35	Punt
3	PHI	PHI 15	5	6	1:52	Punt
4	NYG	NYG 41	7	13	2:55	Punt
5	PHI	PHI 20	4	5	2:08	Punt
6	NYG	NYG 49	4	7	2:04	Punt
7	PHI	PHI 16	6	18	1:52	Punt
8	NYG	NYG 25	11	34	4:43	Turnover on downs
9	PHI	PHI 24	10	58	4:35	Turnover on downs
10	NYG	NYG 31	4	5	2:16	Punt
11	PHI	PHI 40	7	51	2:53	Turnover on downs
12	NYG	NYG 25	11	20	1:37	Punt
13	PHI	PHI 17	1	5	0:20	End of half
14	NYG	NYG 25	3	0	0:50	Interception
15	PHI	NYG 21	6	31	2:08	Touchdown
16	NYG	NYG 25	5	2	2:15	Punt
17	PHI	NYG 21	4	7	1:59	Turnover on downs
18	NYG	NYG 25	5	6	0:55	Punt
19	PHI	PHI 43	6	57	2:46	Touchdown
20	NYG	NYG 25	7	10	2:01	Punt
21	PHI	PHI 25	11	60	5:26	Touchdown
22	NYG	NYG 17	4	11	1:21	Defensive touchdown
23	NYG	NYG 25	19	60	6:29	Touchdown
24	PHI	50	8	20	1:59	Turnover on downs
25	NYG	NYG 30	6	27	1:51	End of game

0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 60 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Mike Glennon	17/27	93	1	1	0	-4.9
Jake Fromm	6/17	25	0	1	2	-15.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Saquon Barkley	15	32	2.1	-5.3
Devontae Booker	6	27	4.5	-0.5
Jake Fromm	3	12	4.0	0.1
Mike Glennon	2	11	5.5	-0.1
Elijhaa Penny	1	2	2.0	-0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Kadarius Toney	4	9	28	0	22%	-3.4
Kenny Golladay	3	8	22	0	20%	-6.0
Devontae Booker	4	4	19	0	10%	1.2
Elijhaa Penny	4	4	18	0	10%	-0.7
Evan Engram	4	5	17	1	12%	2.9
Darius Slayton	1	5	7	0	12%	-3.5
Chris Myarick	1	2	6	0	5%	-0.4
David Sills	1	1	5	0	2%	0.4
Kyle Rudolph	0	1	0	0	2%	-1.2
Pharoh Cooper	0	1	0	0	2%	-0.8
Saquon Barkley	1	1	-4	0	2%	-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Julian Love	7	0	0.0	0
Xavier McKinney	4	2	0.0	0
Logan Ryan	5	1	0.0	2
Jarren Williams	5	0	0.0	0
Tae Crowder	1	3	0.0	0
Leonard Williams	2	2	0.0	1
Lorenzo Carter	2	1	1.0	1
Steven Parker	2	0	0.0	1
David Moa	1	1	0.0	0
Azeez Ojulari	1	1	0.0	0

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	17/29	199	2	0	1	1.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Miles Sanders	7	45	6.4	0	1.2
Boston Scott	12	41	3.4	1	-1.8
Jordan Howard	9	37	4.1	0	-0.3
Jalen Hurts	2	7	3.5	0	1.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
DeVonta Smith	5	7	80	1	25%	7.0
Quez Watkins	3	3	43	0	11%	0.4
Dallas Goedert	2	4	28	0	14%	-0.2
Jordan Howard	2	4	19	0	14%	-0.3
Jalen Reagor	2	4	15	0	14%	-1.6
Kenneth Gainwell	1	1	6	0	4%	-0.4
Lane Johnson	1	1	5	1	4%	1.6
Miles Sanders	1	3	3	0	11%	-2.1
Tyree Jackson	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
T.J. Edwards	6	10	0.0	0	1
Alex Singleton	7	2	0.0	1	1
Anthony Harris	2	3	0.0	0	1
Derek Barnett	2	2	0.0	0	0
Josh Sweat	1	2	1.0	0	1
Marcus Epps	1	2	0.0	0	1
Jared Mayden	2	1	0.0	0	0
Steven Nelson	3	0	0.0	0	0
Avonte Maddox	1	1	0.0	0	0
Milton Williams	2	0	1.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -11
Closing total: 41
NYG moneyline: +416
PHI moneyline: -529

Eagles closed -11 and covered, winning by 24.

Total closed 41; the game landed 44 — over by 3.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 53°F, wind 9 mph
Referee: Land Clark
Rest: NYG 7 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches: Joe Judge vs Nick Sirianni

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.