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2021 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 2, 2022 · M&T Bank Stadium
20
19
Los Angeles Rams 20–19 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 1:08, BAL +22% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(1:08) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 3-O.Beckham to BAL 07 for 5 yards (25-T.Young).
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Rams | Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 56 | 67 |
| Total yards | 374 (edge) | 327 |
| Yards per play | 6.7 (edge) | 4.9 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.09 (edge) | -0.03 |
| Success rate | 52% (edge) | 45% |
| Dropback rate | 66% | 55% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.16 (edge) | -0.10 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.05 | 0.05 (edge) |
| Third downs | 3/9 (edge) | 4/14 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 | 6 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 21 (edge) | 19 |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 5 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 2 (edge) |
Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.09 expected points added per play vs -0.03.
Who moved the needle
Passing · LA
26/35, 309 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT
6.0 expected points added · +3.9% completion over expected
Passing · BAL
20/32, 197 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
-3.9 expected points added · +0.7% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | BAL 25 | 9 | 35 | 4:27 | Punt | |
| 2 | LA | LA 4 | 11 | 68 | 4:57 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | BAL | BAL 46 | 4 | 4 | 2:05 | Punt | |
| 4 | LA | LA 8 | 3 | 8 | 1:33 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 5 | LA | LA 24 | 9 | 38 | 4:17 | Interception | |
| 6 | BAL | BAL 4 | 15 | 100 | 9:00 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | LA | LA 25 | 7 | 37 | 1:48 | Punt | |
| 8 | BAL | BAL 14 | 3 | 14 | 0:24 | Interception | |
| 9 | LA | BAL 29 | 4 | 29 | 0:34 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | BAL | BAL 21 | 10 | 51 | 0:53 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | LA | LA 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:02 | End of half | |
| 12 | LA | LA 25 | 8 | 55 | 3:55 | Fumble | |
| 13 | BAL | BAL 20 | 14 | 47 | 6:23 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | LA | LA 25 | 5 | 9 | 1:54 | Punt | |
| 15 | BAL | BAL 13 | 4 | 4 | 1:51 | Punt | |
| 16 | LA | LA 45 | 8 | 55 | 3:48 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | BAL | BAL 25 | 13 | 64 | 7:39 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | LA | LA 25 | 11 | 75 | 3:33 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | BAL | BAL 25 | 8 | 8 | 0:57 | Fumble |
0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 100 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a turnover on downs.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | 26/35 | 309 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sony Michel | 19 | 74 | 3.9 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Matthew Stafford | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Kupp | 6 | 7 | 95 | 1 | 20% | 8.3 |
| Tyler Higbee | 6 | 9 | 69 | 0 | 26% | -3.9 |
| Van Jefferson | 4 | 5 | 63 | 0 | 14% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Reeder | 5 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leonard Floyd | 3 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Darious Williams | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Taylor Rapp |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Huntley | 20/32 | 197 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonta Freeman | 14 | 76 | 5.4 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Rams closed -7, won by 1 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 47; the game landed 39 — under by 8.0.
Conditions and crew
| 5.7 |
| Odell Beckham | 5 | 7 | 39 | 1 | 20% | 0.5 |
| Sony Michel | 3 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 14% | 0.1 |
| Ben Skowronek | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 6% | 1.3 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Jordan Fuller | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| A'Shawn Robinson | 4 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Travin Howard | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Donald | 3 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Scott | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Von Miller | 4 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -2.2 |
| Tyler Huntley | 6 | 54 | 9.0 | 0 | 4.8 |
| Latavius Murray | 11 | 31 | 2.8 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Devin Duvernay | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Andrews | 6 | 6 | 89 | 0 | 21% | 6.0 |
| Rashod Bateman | 7 | 10 | 58 | 0 | 34% | 1.6 |
| Marquise Brown | 3 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 28% | -2.4 |
| Devin Duvernay | 2 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 10% | -1.7 |
| Nick Boyle | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3% | -0.6 |
| Devonta Freeman | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3% | -0.7 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavon Young | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chuck Clark | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 2 | 3 |
| Josh Bynes | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevon Seymour | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Calais Campbell | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jimmy Smith | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Geno Stone | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyus Bowser | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Queen | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Stephens | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
