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2021 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 2, 2022 · Lambeau Field
10
37
Green Bay Packers 37–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 1:33, MIN +5% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(1:33) (Shotgun) 28-A.Dillon right guard to GB 45 for -1 yards (92-J.Lynch).
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Vikings | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 52 | 73 |
| Total yards | 206 | 482 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.0 | 6.6 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.28 | 0.23 (edge) |
| Success rate | 31% | 58% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 81% | 62% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.30 | 0.28 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.21 | 0.15 (edge) |
| Third downs | 2/12 | 7/13 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 3 | 6 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 10 | 28 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
Packers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.23 expected points added per play vs -0.28.
Who moved the needle
Passing · GB
29/38, 288 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
10.0 expected points added · +8.1% completion over expected
Passing · MIN
22/36, 189 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
-10.9 expected points added · -5.4% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GB | GB 25 | 10 | 58 | 3:12 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | MIN | MIN 34 | 6 | 24 | 2:42 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | GB | GB 47 | 7 | 42 | 4:31 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | MIN | MIN 11 | 4 | 7 | 1:45 | Punt | |
| 5 | GB | GB 37 | 4 | 8 | 2:15 | Punt | |
| 6 | MIN | MIN 31 | 4 | 6 | 2:06 | Punt | |
| 7 | GB | GB 21 | 8 | 61 | 4:18 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | MIN | MIN 25 | 5 | -4 | 1:39 | Punt | |
| 9 | GB | GB 34 | 7 | 66 | 3:21 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | MIN | MIN 25 | 5 | -5 | 2:03 | Punt | |
| 11 | GB | GB 36 | 7 | 64 | 1:03 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | MIN | MIN 25 | 10 | 42 | 1:05 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | MIN | MIN 25 | 5 | 2 | 1:41 | Punt | |
| 14 | GB | MIN 37 | 8 | 34 | 3:51 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | MIN | MIN 25 | 7 | 26 | 2:18 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | GB | GB 49 | 8 | 32 | 3:48 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | MIN | MIN 35 | 10 | 65 | 3:22 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | GB | GB 30 | 13 | 70 | 6:19 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | MIN | MIN 19 | 5 | 5 | 1:23 | Punt | |
| 20 | GB | GB 14 | 12 | 47 | 5:29 | Punt | |
| 21 | MIN | MIN 20 | 7 | 38 | 1:23 | Turnover on downs | |
| 22 | GB | GB 37 | 1 | 0 | 0:26 | End of game |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 70 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Mannion | 22/36 | 189 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -10.9 |
| Kellen Mond | 2/3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Mannion | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | 2.5 |
| Dalvin Cook | 9 | 13 | 1.4 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | 6 | 11 | 58 | 0 | 30% | -3.7 |
| K.J. Osborn | 3 | 5 | 50 | 1 | 14% | 1.8 |
| Tyler Conklin | 5 | 9 | 47 | 0 | 24% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Barr | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Woods | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Kendricks | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Harrison Smith |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | 29/38 | 288 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10.0 |
| Jordan Love | 2/4 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg |
|---|
Closing number vs result
Packers closed -13 and covered, winning by 27.
Total closed 42; the game landed 47 — over by 5.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| -0.8 |
| Garrett Bradbury | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 3% | 1.5 |
| Alexander Mattison | 4 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 14% | -1.8 |
| Dede Westbrook | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3% | -0.0 |
| C.J. Ham | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5% | -3.5 |
| Dalvin Cook | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8% | -3.3 |
| 4 |
| 3 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Kris Boyd | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tye Smith | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Peterson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| James Lynch | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kenny Willekes | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mackensie Alexander | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| TD |
|---|
| EPA |
|---|
| Aaron Jones | 8 | 76 | 9.5 | 0 | 2.9 |
| A.J. Dillon | 14 | 63 | 4.5 | 2 | 2.6 |
| Patrick Taylor | 6 | 18 | 3.0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Jordan Love | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | 1.6 |
| Aaron Rodgers | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | 1.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davante Adams | 11 | 14 | 136 | 1 | 33% | 6.0 |
| Allen Lazard | 6 | 6 | 72 | 1 | 14% | 7.1 |
| Aaron Jones | 5 | 6 | 30 | 0 | 14% | -0.7 |
| A.J. Dillon | 2 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 7% | 1.0 |
| Equanimeous St. Brown | 1 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 5% | 0.9 |
| Juwann Winfree | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 5% | 0.2 |
| Josiah Deguara | 2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 7% | -0.5 |
| Tyler Davis | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 5% | -0.6 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7% | -3.0 |
| Dominique Dafney | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -0.5 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Vondre Campbell | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Krys Barnes | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Preston Smith | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Eric Stokes | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adrian Amos | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rasul Douglas | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Chandon Sullivan | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rashan Gary | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin King | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Lancaster | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
