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2021 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 2, 2022 · FedExField
20
16
Philadelphia Eagles 20–16. Biggest swing: Q4 0:30, PHI +35% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(:30) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass deep left intended for 87-J.Bates INTERCEPTED by 23-R.McLeod at PHI -2. Touchback.
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Eagles | Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 60 | 60 |
| Total yards | 331 (edge) | 312 |
| Yards per play | 5.5 (edge) | 5.2 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.16 (edge) | -0.03 |
| Success rate | 48% | 50% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 48% | 67% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.35 (edge) | -0.10 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.02 | 0.12 (edge) |
| Third downs | 4/12 | 9/15 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 18 | 22 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 3 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 1 |
Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.16 expected points added per play vs -0.03.
Who moved the needle
Passing · WAS
27/36, 247 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
-4.7 expected points added · +7.0% completion over expected
Passing · PHI
17/26, 214 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
7.5 expected points added · +6.7% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WAS | WAS 33 | 8 | 67 | 3:06 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | PHI | PHI 25 | 9 | 51 | 4:56 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | WAS | WAS 24 | 9 | 58 | 4:58 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | PHI | PHI 20 | 13 | 80 | 5:11 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | WAS | WAS 25 | 12 | 49 | 6:13 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | PHI | PHI 25 | 8 | 30 | 3:30 | Punt | |
| 7 | WAS | WAS 6 | 11 | 57 | 2:05 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | PHI | — | 1 | 0 | 0:01 | End of half | |
| 9 | PHI | PHI 25 | 16 | 80 | 7:39 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | WAS | WAS 25 | 5 | -5 | 1:59 | Punt | |
| 11 | PHI | PHI 42 | 5 | 14 | 1:10 | Punt | |
| 12 | WAS | WAS 9 | 7 | 13 | 3:23 | Punt | |
| 13 | PHI | PHI 43 | 9 | 48 | 4:08 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | WAS | WAS 21 | 8 | 18 | 4:10 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | PHI | PHI 49 | 10 | 28 | 5:10 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | WAS | WAS 25 | 12 | 55 | 1:57 | Interception | |
| 17 | PHI | PHI 20 | 1 | 0 | 0:24 | End of game |
0 of 17 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 80 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | 17/26 | 214 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7.5 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Scott | 14 | 47 | 3.4 | 2 | 4.8 |
| Jalen Hurts | 7 | 44 | 6.3 | 0 | 4.8 |
| Jordan Howard | 11 | 26 | 2.4 | 0 | -7.0 |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Jalen Reagor | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Goedert | 6 | 7 | 71 | 0 | 28% | 5.6 |
| DeVonta Smith | 3 | 6 | 54 | 0 | 24% | 1.5 |
| Boston Scott | 4 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 16% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Edwards | 7 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Singleton | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Harris | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Javon Hargrave |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Heinicke | 27/36 | 247 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaret Patterson | 12 | 57 | 4.8 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Eagles closed -6.5, won by 4 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 44.5; the game landed 36 — under by 8.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 2.4 |
| Greg Ward | 2 | 2 | 35 | 0 | 8% | 4.1 |
| Quez Watkins | 2 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 16% | -0.9 |
| Jordan Howard | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.5 |
| Jalen Reagor | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -1.2 |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Josh Sweat | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 |
| Rodney McLeod | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Avonte Maddox | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Genard Avery | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fletcher Cox | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Derek Barnett | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.2 |
| Taylor Heinicke | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Wendell Smallwood | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | 0 | 1.3 |
| DeAndre Carter | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Jonathan Williams | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Dax Milne | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | 7 | 8 | 61 | 0 | 24% | 1.6 |
| Cam Sims | 4 | 5 | 48 | 0 | 15% | 1.8 |
| Jaret Patterson | 5 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 15% | 2.9 |
| John Bates | 3 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 12% | -1.5 |
| Dyami Brown | 1 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 3% | 1.4 |
| Adam Humphries | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 6% | -0.1 |
| Wendell Smallwood | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 9% | -0.8 |
| Ricky Seals-Jones | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6% | 0.1 |
| Jonathan Williams | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 9% | -1.1 |
| Dax Milne | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -2.6 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamren Curl | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cole Holcomb | 3 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| David Mayo | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kendall Fuller | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jonathan Allen | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bobby McCain | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Casey Toohill | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Corn Elder | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Danny Johnson | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daron Payne | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
