2022 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 11, 2022 · MetLife Stadium

Baltimore RavensWinner

New York Jets

BAL -6.5 ✓U 44 ✓Ravens closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 15.

Baltimore Ravens 24–9. Biggest swing: Q1 5:07, BAL +13% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 5:07BAL 0 — NYJ 0NYJ ball · 1st & 19BAL 71%

(5:07) (Shotgun) 19-J.Flacco pass short middle intended for 81-L.Cager INTERCEPTED by 32-M.Williams at NYJ 46. 32-M.Williams to NYJ 13 for 33 yards (19-J.Flacco).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 5:07BAL +13% win prob(5:07) (Shotgun) 19-J.Flacco pass short middle intended for 81-L.Cager INTERCEPTED by 32-M.Williams at NYJ 46. 32-M.Williams to NYJ 13 for 33 yards (19-J.Flacco).
Q1 · 14:01BAL +7% win prob(14:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 19-J.Flacco pass incomplete short right [93-C.Campbell]. PENALTY on NYJ-19-J.Flacco, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at NYJ 46.
Q1 · 8:31NYJ +5% win prob(8:31) (Shotgun) 19-J.Flacco pass incomplete deep left to 8-E.Moore. PENALTY on BAL-44-M.Humphrey, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at NYJ 12 - No Play.
Q1 · 6:08BAL +4% win prob(6:08) 11-J.Stout punts 48 yards to NYJ 17, Center-46-N.Moore, fair catch by 10-B.Berrios.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 3:19BAL Field goal
(3:19) 9-J.Tucker 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
Score after this play: BAL 3 — NYJ 0
Q2 · 3:51BAL Touchdown
(3:51) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 13-D.Duvernay for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 10 — NYJ 0
Q2 · 0:28NYJ Field goal
(:28) 6-G.Zuerlein 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.
Score after this play: BAL 10 — NYJ 3
Q3 · 7:20BAL Touchdown
(7:20) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 13-D.Duvernay for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 17 — NYJ 3
Q3 · 2:14BAL Touchdown
(2:14) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 7-R.Bateman for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 24 — NYJ 3
Q4 · 1:04NYJ Touchdown
(1:04) (Shotgun) 19-J.Flacco pass short right to 83-T.Conklin for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: BAL 24 — NYJ 9

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Ravens	Jets
Offensive plays	51	79
Total yards	276	380 (edge)
Yards per play	5.4 (edge)	4.8
Expected points added / play	0.06 (edge)	-0.20
Success rate	39% (edge)	38%
Dropback rate	67%	78%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.17 (edge)	-0.19
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.17 (edge)	-0.24
Third downs	5/13 (edge)	2/14
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	4 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	12	21 (edge)
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	3
Turnovers	1 (edge)	2

Jets outgained Ravens 380–276 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYJ

Joe FlaccoQB

37/59, 309 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-7.1 expected points added · -4.1% completion over expected

Passing · BAL

Lamar JacksonQB

17/30, 213 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

4.2 expected points added · -3.6% completion over expected

Rushing · NYJ

Michael CarterRB

10 att, 60 yds, 0 TD

-1.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BAL

Kenyan DrakeRB

11 att, 31 yds, 0 TD

-3.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYJ

Corey DavisWR

6/10 for 77 yds, 0 TD

18% of team targets · 2.3 expected points added

Receiving · BAL

Rashod BatemanWR

2/5 for 59 yds, 1 TD

17% of team targets · 1.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYJ	NYJ 22	6	24	1:18	Punt
2	BAL	BAL 28	7	21	3:53	Punt
3	NYJ	NYJ 11	6	2	2:44	Punt
4	BAL	BAL 34	4	1	1:04	Punt
5	NYJ	NYJ 17	3	25	1:05	Interception
6	BAL	NYJ 13	4	7	1:40	Field goal +3
7	NYJ	NYJ 25	5	9	1:23	Punt
8	BAL	BAL 16	5	16	2:08	Punt
9	NYJ	NYJ 29	8	44	3:54	Missed field goal
10	BAL	BAL 35	6	14	2:50	Punt
11	NYJ	NYJ 11	7	18	3:20	Punt
12	BAL	BAL 38	4	30	0:56	Touchdown +7
13	NYJ	NYJ 25	9	50	3:21	Field goal +3
14	BAL	BAL 25	2	3	0:24	End of half
15	BAL	BAL 25	8	11	2:22	Punt
16	NYJ	NYJ 20	4	4	2:14	Punt
17	BAL	NYJ 44	7	44	3:10	Touchdown +7
18	NYJ	NYJ 25	7	9	2:37	Punt
19	BAL	BAL 12	6	88	2:31	Touchdown +7
20	NYJ	NYJ 9	10	75	3:03	Fumble
21	BAL	BAL 15	7	33	3:57	Punt
22	NYJ	NYJ 32	16	72	5:49	Turnover on downs
23	BAL	BAL 7	3	8	1:35	Interception
24	NYJ	BAL 43	12	48	1:42	Touchdown +6
25	BAL	NYJ 42	3	0	1:00	End of game

6 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 88 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Baltimore Ravens

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Lamar Jackson	17/30	213	3	1	2	4.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Kenyan Drake	11	31	2.8	-3.5
Lamar Jackson	6	17	2.8	0.3
Mike Davis	2	11	5.5	-0.1
Justice Hill	2	4	2.0	-0.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Rashod Bateman	2	5	59	1	17%	1.0
Devin Duvernay	4	4	54	2	14%	7.6
Mark Andrews	5	7	52	0	24%	3.8
Demarcus Robinson	2	4	19	0	14%	-1.5
Kenyan Drake	1	1	15	0	3%	1.1
Justice Hill	2	2	7	0	7%	-0.4
Patrick Ricard	1	1	7	0	3%	0.3
Tylan Wallace	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.8
Isaiah Likely	0	4	0	0	14%	-4.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Marcus Williams	7	2	0.0	1	1
Patrick Queen	5	4	0.5	0	0
Chuck Clark	4	4	0.0	0	0
Marlon Humphrey	4	2	0.0	0	0
Nnamdi Madubuike	2	3	0.5	0	0
Malik Harrison	4	1	0.0	0	0
Calais Campbell	2	2	1.0	0	0
Kyle Hamilton	3	0	0.0	0	0
Justin Houston	3	0	1.0	0	0
Kyle Fuller	3	0	0.0	0	0

New York Jets

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Joe Flacco	37/59	309	1	1	3	-7.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Michael Carter	10	60	6.0	-1.4
Breece Hall	6	23	3.8	-1.4
Joe Flacco	1	0	0.0	-1.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Corey Davis	6	10	77	0	18%	2.3
Garrett Wilson	4	8	52	0	14%	2.8
Elijah Moore	5	7	49	0	12%	3.6
Michael Carter	7	9	40	0	16%	-2.7
Breece Hall	6	9	38	0	16%	-5.5
Braxton Berrios	5	6	37	0	11%	0.4
Tyler Conklin	4	7	16	1	12%	1.2
Lawrence Cager	0	1	0	0	2%	-6.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
C.J. Mosley	4	4	0.0	0	0
Jordan Whitehead	4	1	0.0	0	1
Quincy Williams	5	0	1.0	0	0
Michael Carter	2	2	0.0	0	0
Jake Martin	0	3	0.5	0	0
Carl Lawson	1	1	0.0	0	0
D.J. Reed	2	0	0.0	1	1
Jermaine Johnson	1	1	0.5	0	0
Joe Flacco	1	0	0.0	0	0
Justin Hardee	1	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: BAL -6.5
Closing total: 44
BAL moneyline: -265
NYJ moneyline: +231

Ravens closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 15.

Total closed 44; the game landed 33 — under by 11.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: —
Referee: Craig Wrolstad
Rest: BAL 7 days · NYJ 7 days
Coaches: John Harbaugh vs Robert Saleh