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2022 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 11, 2022 · FedExField

Jacksonville Jaguars

22

Washington CommandersWinner

28

WAS -3 ✓O 43.5 ✓

Washington Commanders 28–22. Biggest swing: Q4 12:04, JAX +23% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3WAS ↑JAX ↓
Q4 · 12:04JAX 15 — WAS 14WAS ball · 1st & 10WAS 50%

(12:04) 11-C.Wentz pass short middle intended for 24-A.Gibson INTERCEPTED by 44-T.Walker at WAS 20. 44-T.Walker to WAS 11 for 9 yards (11-C.Wentz).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 12:04JAX +23% win prob(12:04) 11-C.Wentz pass short middle intended for 24-A.Gibson INTERCEPTED by 44-T.Walker at WAS 20. 44-T.Walker to WAS 11 for 9 yards (11-C.Wentz).
  2. Q4 · 1:52WAS +20% win prob(1:52) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep left to 1-J.Dotson for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q4 · 9:43WAS +20% win prob(9:43) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep right to 17-T.McLaurin for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q4 · 1:19JAX +19% win prob(1:19) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left intended for 13-C.Kirk INTERCEPTED by 22-D.Forrest [90-M.Sweat] at WAS 25. 22-D.Forrest pushed ob at WAS 26 for 1 yard (17-E.Engram).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 12:01JAX Field goal

    (12:01) 10-R.Patterson 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

    Score after this play: JAX 3 — WAS 0
  2. Q1 · 7:39WAS Touchdown

    (7:39) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short right to 10-C.Samuel for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 3 — WAS 7
  3. Q2 · 11:52WAS Touchdown

    (11:52) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short middle to 1-J.Dotson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 3 — WAS 14
  4. Q3 · 8:54JAX Touchdown

    (8:54) 70-C.Van Lanen reported in as eligible. 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 25-J.Robinson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: JAX 9 — WAS 14
  5. Q3 · 1:20JAX Field goal

    (1:20) 10-R.Patterson 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

    Score after this play: JAX 12 — WAS 14
  6. Q4 · 12:08JAX Field goal

    (12:08) 10-R.Patterson 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

    Score after this play: JAX 15 — WAS 14
  7. Q4 · 11:52JAX Touchdown

    (11:52) 25-J.Robinson right end for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 22 — WAS 14
  8. Q4 · 9:43WAS Touchdown

    (9:43) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep right to 17-T.McLaurin for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: JAX 22 — WAS 20
  9. Q4 · 1:52WAS Touchdown

    (1:52) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep left to 1-J.Dotson for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: JAX 22 — WAS 28

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricJaguarsCommanders
Offensive plays6369
Total yards383394 (edge)
Yards per play6.1 (edge)5.7
Expected points added / play0.06 (edge)0.05
Success rate46% (edge)41%
Dropback rate73%68%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.010.19 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.22 (edge)-0.26
Third downs3/127/10 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)79 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps2025 (edge)
Sacks taken21 (edge)
Turnovers1 (edge)3

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · WAS

Carson WentzQB

27/41, 313 yds, 4 TD, 2 INT

8.6 expected points added · -0.2% completion over expected

Passing · JAX

Trevor LawrenceQB

24/42, 275 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-0.8 expected points added · +2.7% completion over expected

Rushing · JAX

James RobinsonRB

11 att, 66 yds, 1 TD

1.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · WAS

Antonio GibsonRB

14 att, 58 yds, 0 TD

0.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · JAX

Christian KirkWR

6/12 for 117 yds, 0 TD

32% of team targets · 3.3 expected points added

Receiving · WAS

Antonio GibsonRB

7/8 for 72 yds, 0 TD

20% of team targets · -1.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1JAXJAX 258603:03Field goal +3
2WASWAS 2610744:21Touchdown +7
3JAXJAX 25883:18Punt
4WASWAS 2915547:31Touchdown +7
5JAXJAX 25551:05Punt
6WASWAS 28431:35Punt
7JAXJAX 298474:08Turnover on downs
8WASWAS 38583:37Fumble
9JAXJAX 3410521:06Missed field goal
10WASWAS 27100:16End of half
11WASWAS 25773:02Punt
12JAXJAX 207803:08Touchdown +6
13WASWAS 257122:05Punt
14JAXJAX 2011505:29Field goal +3
15WASWAS 25591:57Interception
16JAXWAS 456312:15Field goal +3
17WASWAS 25200:12Interception
18JAXWAS 112110:07Touchdown +7
19WASWAS 226782:09Touchdown +6
20JAXJAX 256272:48Punt
21WASWAS 1014925:02Touchdown +8
22JAXJAX 255120:36Interception
23WASWAS 26471:10End of game

9 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Commanders gained 92 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Trevor Lawrence24/42275112-0.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
James Robinson11666.011.2
Travis Etienne44711.801.9
Jamal Agnew166.001.5
Trevor Lawrence242.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Christian Kirk612117032%3.3
Zay Jones6965024%2.6
Marvin Jones4638016%2.3
Evan Engram4428011%1.1
Travis Etienne2418011%-3.0
Jamal Agnew11603%0.3
James Robinson12315%0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Devin Lloyd830.000
Foyesade Oluokun540.000
Andre Cisco500.000
Travon Walker311.011
Shaquill Griffin310.001
Folorunso Fatukasi300.001
Josh Hines-Allen210.000
Roy Robertson-Harris120.001
Darious Williams300.000
Davon Hamilton110.000

Washington Commanders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Carson Wentz27/413134218.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Antonio Gibson14584.100.4
Curtis Samuel4174.30-3.6
Carson Wentz6122.000.3
J.D. McKissic382.70-1.0
Jahan Dotson1-10-10.00-1.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Antonio Gibson7872020%-1.5
Terry McLaurin2458110%5.1
Curtis Samuel81155127%3.0
Logan Thomas3645015%3.3
Jahan Dotson3540212%2.0
Armani Rogers112302%1.3
J.D. McKissic332007%0.9
Cam Sims01002%-0.5
John Bates01002%-1.9
Dax Milne01002%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
William Jackson810.000
Cole Holcomb230.000
Darrick Forrest410.012
Benjamin St-Juste400.000
Kendall Fuller310.000
Daron Payne211.002
Montez Sweat300.001
Jonathan Allen201.000
Jeremy Reaves110.000
James Smith-Williams200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
WAS -3
Closing total
43.5
JAX moneyline
+143
WAS moneyline
-159

Commanders closed -3 and covered, winning by 6.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 50 — over by 6.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
FedExField
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
—
Referee
Tra Blake
Rest
JAX 7 days · WAS 7 days
Coaches
Doug Pederson vs Ron Rivera