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2022 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 11, 2022 · State Farm Stadium

Kansas City ChiefsWinner

44

Arizona Cardinals

21

KC -6 ✓O 54 ✓Dome

Kansas City Chiefs 44–21 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 7:37, ARI +6% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3ARI ↑KC ↓
Q2 · 7:37KC 20 — ARI 7KC ball · 4th & 2KC 87%

(7:37) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 25-C.Edwards-Helaire for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 7:37ARI +6% win prob(7:37) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 25-C.Edwards-Helaire for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q1 · 10:28ARI +6% win prob(10:28) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 9-J.Smith-Schuster pushed ob at ARI 9 for 18 yards (9-I.Simmons).
  3. Q2 · 10:34ARI +4% win prob(10:34) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 17-M.Hardman pushed ob at ARI 41 for 8 yards (7-B.Murphy). PENALTY on ARI-34-J.Thompson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at ARI 41.
  4. Q2 · 1:05KC +3% win prob(1:05) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 9-J.Smith-Schuster to KC 39 for 19 yards (45-D.Gardeck). FUMBLES (45-D.Gardeck), RECOVERED by ARI-7-B.Murphy at KC 42.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:43KC Touchdown

    (9:43) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN [44-M.Golden]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 7 — ARI 0
  2. Q1 · 3:24KC Touchdown

    (3:24) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 25-C.Edwards-Helaire for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 14 — ARI 0
  3. Q2 · 13:09ARI Touchdown

    (13:09) (Shotgun) 6-J.Conner up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 14 — ARI 7
  4. Q2 · 7:37KC Touchdown

    (7:37) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 25-C.Edwards-Helaire for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: KC 20 — ARI 7
  5. Q2 · 0:07KC Field goal

    (:07) 7-H.Butker 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.

    Score after this play: KC 23 — ARI 7
  6. Q3 · 10:02KC Touchdown

    (10:02) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 88-J.Fortson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN [52-V.Dimukeje]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 30 — ARI 7
  7. Q3 · 4:00KC Touchdown

    (4:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 17-M.Hardman for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 37 — ARI 7
  8. Q4 · 12:58ARI Touchdown

    (12:58) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 2-M.Brown for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: KC 37 — ARI 15
  9. Q4 · 7:43KC Touchdown

    (7:43) (Shotgun) 10-I.Pacheco right tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 44 — ARI 15
  10. Q4 · 5:15ARI Touchdown

    (5:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 86-Z.Ertz for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: KC 44 — ARI 21

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricChiefsCardinals
Offensive plays6664
Total yards488 (edge)285
Yards per play7.4 (edge)4.5
Expected points added / play0.42 (edge)0.01
Success rate58% (edge)41%
Dropback rate62%72%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.70 (edge)0.03
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.03 (edge)-0.04
Third downs5/8 (edge)3/12
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)10 (edge)7
First downs gained on snaps30 (edge)20
Sacks taken0 (edge)3
Turnovers10 (edge)

Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.42 expected points added per play vs 0.01.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · KC

Patrick MahomesQB

30/39, 360 yds, 5 TD, 0 INT

33.2 expected points added · +11.8% completion over expected

Passing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

22/34, 193 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

0.4 expected points added · +1.1% completion over expected

Rushing · KC

Isiah PachecoRB

12 att, 62 yds, 1 TD

0.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · KC

Clyde Edwards-HelaireRB

7 att, 42 yds, 0 TD

1.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · KC

Travis KelceTE

8/9 for 121 yds, 1 TD

23% of team targets · 11.6 expected points added

Receiving · KC

JuJu Smith-SchusterWR

6/8 for 79 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · 1.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1KCKC 2513755:23Touchdown +7
2ARIARI 25521:54Punt
3KCKC 148664:23Touchdown +7
4ARIARI 2513835:15Touchdown +7
5KCKC 2513605:33Touchdown +6
6ARIARI 25561:29Punt
7KCKC 256173:00Punt
8ARIARI 206271:58Punt
9KCKC 201190:07Fumble
10ARIKC 42480:23Turnover on downs
11KCKC 346300:33Field goal +3
12ARIARI 25200:02End of half
13ARIARI 26752:53Punt
14KCKC 255662:12Touchdown +7
15ARIARI 25551:06Punt
16KCKC 349714:53Touchdown +7
17ARIARI 2516776:04Touchdown +8
18KCKC 3411665:13Touchdown +7
19ARIKC 488482:28Touchdown +6
20KCKC 107183:25Punt
21ARIARI 218241:46End of game

10 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 83 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Patrick Mahomes30/3936050033.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Isiah Pacheco12625.210.2
Clyde Edwards-Helaire7426.001.1
Jerick McKinnon4225.50-0.4
Patrick Mahomes351.70-0.8
Marquez Valdes-Scantling1-3-3.00-1.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Travis Kelce89121123%11.6
JuJu Smith-Schuster6879021%1.6
Marquez Valdes-Scantling4444010%3.5
Clyde Edwards-Helaire333228%6.2
Skyy Moore113003%2.5
Jerick McKinnon3427010%1.4
Mecole Hardman3616115%1.3
Noah Gray121005%0.7
Joseph Fortson11113%0.5
Justin Watson01003%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Nick Bolton820.000
L'Jarius Sneed801.001
Willie Gay230.000
Carlos Dunlap311.000
Justin Reid220.000
Rashad Fenton310.001
Deon Bush200.000
Khalen Saunders110.000
Jaylen Watson020.001
Chris Lammons100.000

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Kyler Murray22/341932020.4
Trace McSorley2/412001-1.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kyler Murray5295.800.5
Eno Benjamin4287.001.2
James Conner10262.61-0.9
Trace McSorley3206.700.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Greg Dortch7963025%3.3
Marquise Brown4643117%4.5
Eno Benjamin3433011%0.9
James Conner5629017%-0.7
Zach Ertz2414111%2.2
A.J. Green2413011%-3.8
Andy Isabella131008%-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Budda Baker760.000
Jalen Thompson900.000
Zaven Collins330.000
Ezekiel Turner220.000
Byron Murphy310.000
Marco Wilson310.002
Dennis Gardeck300.000
Isaiah Simmons300.000
Leki Fotu200.000
Victor Dimukeje110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
KC -6
Closing total
54
KC moneyline
-252
ARI moneyline
+221

Chiefs closed -6 and covered, winning by 23.

Total closed 54; the game landed 65 — over by 11.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
State Farm Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · grass
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Scott Novak
Rest
KC 7 days · ARI 7 days
Coaches
Andy Reid vs Kliff Kingsbury