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2022 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 11, 2022 · SoFi Stadium

Las Vegas Raiders

19

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

24

LAC -3.5 ✓U 52.5 ✓Dome

Los Angeles Chargers 24–19. Biggest swing: Q4 2:00, LV +10% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LACLV
Q4 · 2:00LV 19LAC 24LV ball · 4th & 8LAC 87%

(2:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at LV 28 for -7 yards (52-K.Mack). FUMBLES (52-K.Mack) [52-K.Mack], recovered by LV-74-K.Miller at LV 28.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 2:00LV +10% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at LV 28 for -7 yards (52-K.Mack). FUMBLES (52-K.Mack) [52-K.Mack], recovered by LV-74-K.Miller at LV 28.
  2. Q1 · 7:33LAC +9% win prob(7:33) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 17-D.Adams pushed ob at 50 for 21 yards (32-A.Gilman).
  3. Q1 · 10:53LAC +8% win prob(10:53) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 7-G.Everett to LV 26 for 25 yards (30-D.Harmon) [55-C.Jones].
  4. Q4 · 11:07LV +8% win prob(11:07) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left intended for 13-H.Renfrow INTERCEPTED by 23-B.Callahan at LAC 49. 23-B.Callahan to LV 49 for 2 yards (13-H.Renfrow).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:07LAC Field goal

    (9:07) 6-D.Hopkins 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: LV 0LAC 3
  2. Q1 · 2:33LV Field goal

    (2:33) 2-D.Carlson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: LV 3LAC 3
  3. Q2 · 9:38LAC Touchdown

    (9:38) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 40-Z.Horvath for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 3LAC 10
  4. Q2 · 0:40LAC Touchdown

    (:40) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep middle to 1-D.Carter for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 3LAC 17
  5. Q3 · 12:45LV Touchdown

    (12:45) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 34-B.Bolden for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 10LAC 17
  6. Q3 · 6:50LAC Touchdown

    (6:50) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 7-G.Everett for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 10LAC 24
  7. Q3 · 1:08LV Field goal

    (1:08) 2-D.Carlson 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: LV 13LAC 24
  8. Q4 · 4:36LV Touchdown

    (4:36) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 17-D.Adams for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: LV 19LAC 24

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRaidersChargers
Offensive plays5763
Total yards320357 (edge)
Yards per play5.65.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.140.08 (edge)
Success rate42%46% (edge)
Dropback rate77%56%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.170.48 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.05 (edge)-0.41
Third downs5/11 (edge)6/14
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)6 (edge)5
First downs gained on snaps19 (edge)17
Sacks taken60 (edge)
Turnovers30 (edge)

Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.08 expected points added per play vs -0.14.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LV

Derek CarrQB

22/37, 295 yds, 2 TD, 3 INT

-5.5 expected points added · -2.4% completion over expected

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

26/34, 279 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

14.9 expected points added · +6.4% completion over expected

Rushing · LV

Josh JacobsRB

10 att, 57 yds, 0 TD

1.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LAC

Austin EkelerRB

14 att, 36 yds, 0 TD

-7.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LV

Davante AdamsWR

10/17 for 141 yds, 1 TD

49% of team targets · 5.2 expected points added

Receiving · LV

Darren WallerTE

4/6 for 79 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · 0.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LACLAC 2513505:57Field goal +3
2LVLV 2515706:34Field goal +3
3LACLAC 40592:01Punt
4LVLV 2492:10Punt
5LACLAC 3310663:44Touchdown +7
6LVLV 257162:27Punt
7LACLAC 99785:29Turnover on downs
8LVLV 282-30:53Interception
9LACLV 313310:10Touchdown +7
10LVLV 25210:35End of half
11LVLV 257752:21Touchdown +7
12LACLAC 2713735:57Touchdown +7
13LVLV 2512435:39Field goal +3
14LACLAC 25551:22Punt
15LVLV 233331:31Interception
16LACLAC 2491:31Punt
17LVLV 40280:39Interception
18LACLV 497183:27Missed field goal
19LVLV 398613:01Touchdown +6
20LACLAC 25571:02Punt
21LVLV 21571:38Turnover on downs
22LACLV 285111:52End of game

8 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 78 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a turnover on downs.

Full stat lines

Box score

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Derek Carr22/37295235-5.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Josh Jacobs10575.701.4
Brandon Bolden372.30-2.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Davante Adams1017141149%5.2
Darren Waller4679017%0.0
Brandon Bolden222116%2.5
Hunter Renfrow3621017%-4.6
Josh Jacobs111603%0.9
Mack Hollins111603%2.4
Jakob Johnson11103%-0.8
Ameer Abdullah01003%-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Johnathan Abram730.000
Nate Hobbs530.001
Maxx Crosby420.000
Rock Ya-Sin410.000
Divine Deablo230.000
Roderic Teamer120.000
Denzel Perryman210.000
Andrew Billings210.000
Jayon Brown110.000
Chandler Jones200.000

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Herbert26/3427930014.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Austin Ekeler14362.60-7.6
Joshua Kelley4215.300.1
Sony Michel7121.70-1.9
Josh Palmer144.000.7
Zander Horvath122.000.5
Justin Herbert410.30-4.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Keenan Allen4466012%4.3
DeAndre Carter3464112%4.7
Gerald Everett3454112%5.9
Austin Ekeler4436012%4.0
Tre' McKitty3424012%-0.1
Joshua Kelley221406%1.1
Mike Williams2410012%-2.6
Zander Horvath22616%1.2
Josh Palmer345012%-1.9
Jalen Guyton01003%-1.3
Richard Rodgers01003%-0.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Derwin James601.000
Drue Tranquill420.011
Khalil Mack413.000
Bryce Callahan230.012
Nasir Adderley300.000
Kenneth Murray120.000
Asante Samuel300.012
Kyle Van Noy210.000
Morgan Fox020.500
Joey Bosa111.500

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LAC -3.5
Closing total
52.5
LV moneyline
+161
LAC moneyline
-180

Chargers closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 5.

Total closed 52.5; the game landed 43 — under by 9.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Shawn Smith
Rest
LV 7 days · LAC 7 days
Coaches
Josh McDaniels vs Brandon Staley

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.