2022 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 11, 2022 · Nissan Stadium

New York GiantsWinner

Tennessee Titans

TEN -5.5 upsetU 43.5 ✓Titans closed -5.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

New York Giants 21–20 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:04, NYG +53% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:04NYG 21 — TEN 20TEN ball · 3rd & 12TEN 53%

(:04) 14-R.Bullock 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:04NYG +53% win prob(:04) 14-R.Bullock 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Q3 · 8:58TEN +21% win prob(8:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep left to 3-S.Shepard for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 1:06TEN +21% win probTWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-D.Jones pass to 26-S.Barkley is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
Q4 · 10:38TEN +14% win prob(10:38) 6-J.Gillan punts 43 yards to TEN 12, Center-58-C.Kreiter. 18-K.Philips MUFFS catch, touched at TEN 13, RECOVERED by NYG-27-J.Pinnock at TEN 11.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 9:52TEN Touchdown
(9:52) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left to 40-D.Hilliard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NYG 0 — TEN 7
Q2 · 12:39TEN Field goal
(12:39) 14-R.Bullock 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Score after this play: NYG 0 — TEN 10
Q2 · 7:00TEN Field goal
(7:00) 14-R.Bullock 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Score after this play: NYG 0 — TEN 13
Q3 · 11:20NYG Touchdown
(11:20) 26-S.Barkley up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: NYG 6 — TEN 13
Q3 · 8:58NYG Touchdown
(8:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep left to 3-S.Shepard for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NYG 13 — TEN 13
Q3 · 3:00TEN Touchdown
(3:00) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left to 40-D.Hilliard for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-D.Lawrence]. (kick good)
Score after this play: NYG 13 — TEN 20
Q4 · 1:09NYG Touchdown
(1:09) 8-D.Jones pass short right to 85-C.Myarick for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: NYG 21 — TEN 20

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Giants	Titans
Offensive plays	60	59
Total yards	396 (edge)	359
Yards per play	6.6 (edge)	6.1
Expected points added / play	0.02	0.03 (edge)
Success rate	45% (edge)	42%
Dropback rate	52%	58%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.21	0.28 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.26 (edge)	-0.31
Third downs	2/10	3/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	7	8 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	20 (edge)	15
Sacks taken	5	1 (edge)
Turnovers	2	0 (edge)

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · TEN

Ryan TannehillQB

20/33, 266 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

7.8 expected points added · -0.1% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

17/21, 188 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-6.8 expected points added · +13.4% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

18 att, 164 yds, 1 TD

7.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · TEN

Derrick HenryRB

21 att, 82 yds, 0 TD

-4.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Sterling ShepardWR

2/4 for 71 yds, 1 TD

19% of team targets · 4.2 expected points added

Receiving · TEN

Kyle PhilipsWR

6/9 for 66 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · 1.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYG	NYG 22	5	9	2:12	Punt
2	TEN	NYG 45	6	45	3:00	Touchdown +7
3	NYG	NYG 25	8	21	3:38	Punt
4	TEN	TEN 18	4	5	1:40	Punt
5	NYG	NYG 40	4	6	2:21	Punt
6	TEN	TEN 7	10	65	4:34	Field goal +3
7	NYG	NYG 25	7	19	2:35	Fumble
8	TEN	NYG 42	7	32	3:03	Field goal +3
9	NYG	NYG 17	7	21	2:54	Punt
10	TEN	TEN 18	8	35	3:04	Punt
11	NYG	NYG 9	4	55	0:59	End of half
12	TEN	TEN 24	5	9	2:15	Punt
13	NYG	NYG 10	5	85	1:29	Touchdown +6
14	TEN	TEN 10	5	8	1:48	Punt
15	NYG	NYG 36	3	64	0:40	Touchdown +7
16	TEN	TEN 25	11	95	5:54	Touchdown +7
17	NYG	NYG 25	5	3	2:12	Punt
18	TEN	TEN 14	4	12	1:19	Punt
19	NYG	NYG 15	8	35	3:55	Punt
20	NYG	TEN 11	3	3	1:38	Interception
21	TEN	TEN 20	6	17	3:23	Punt
22	NYG	NYG 27	13	75	4:21	Touchdown +8
23	TEN	TEN 30	9	36	1:06	Missed field goal

7 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Titans gained 95 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	17/21	188	2	1	5	-6.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Saquon Barkley	18	164	9.1	1	7.4
Daniel Jones	6	25	4.2	0	-0.3
Matt Breida	5	24	4.8	0	1.3
Kadarius Toney	2	23	11.5	0	1.1
Richie James	1	2	2.0	0	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Sterling Shepard	2	4	71	1	19%	4.2
Richie James	5	6	59	0	29%	0.7
Saquon Barkley	6	7	30	0	33%	-4.1
Kenny Golladay	2	2	22	0	10%	0.8
Wan'Dale Robinson	1	1	5	0	5%	1.4
Chris Myarick	1	1	1	1	5%	1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Darnay Holmes	5	1	0
Tae Crowder	2	3	0
Xavier McKinney	3	2	0
Oshane Ximines	2	3	1
Jihad Ward	4	1	0
Adoree' Jackson	3	2	0
Julian Love	4	1	0
Aaron Robinson	3	1	1
Leonard Williams	2	1	0
Nick McCloud	2	0	0

Tennessee Titans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ryan Tannehill	20/33	266	2	0	1	7.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Derrick Henry	21	82	3.9	-4.7
Dontrell Hilliard	2	8	4.0	-0.2
Ryan Tannehill	2	7	3.5	1.4
Chigoziem Okonkwo	1	-4	-4.0	-2.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Kyle Philips	6	9	66	0	29%	1.0
Dontrell Hilliard	3	4	61	2	13%	5.2
Treylon Burks	3	5	55	0	16%	2.1
Cody Hollister	1	1	22	0	3%	1.3
Geoff Swaim	3	4	19	0	13%	0.3
Robert Woods	1	2	13	0	6%	-0.2
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	1	2	13	0	6%	-0.6
Chigoziem Okonkwo	1	1	11	0	3%	1.3
Austin Hooper	1	2	6	0	6%	-0.1
Derrick Henry	0	1	0	0	3%	-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Kevin Byard	6	4	0.0	0	0
David Long Jr.	3	3	0.0	0	0
Jeffery Simmons	4	2	2.0	0	0
Kristian Fulton	5	1	0.0	0	0
Ugochukwu Amadi	3	1	0.0	0	0
Amani Hooker	3	1	0.0	1	1
Denico Autry	2	2	0.0	0	0
Zach Cunningham	2	2	0.0	0	0
Kevin Strong	2	1	0.0	0	1
Rashad Weaver	2	1	2.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: TEN -5.5
Closing total: 43.5
NYG moneyline: +209
TEN moneyline: -239

Titans closed -5.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 41 — under by 2.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Nissan Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: —
Referee: Jerome Boger
Rest: NYG 7 days · TEN 7 days
Coaches: Brian Daboll vs Mike Vrabel