2022 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 11, 2022 · Ford Field

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

Detroit Lions

PHI -6 no coverO 49 ✓DomeEagles closed -6, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Philadelphia Eagles 38–35 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q1 7:13, PHI +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 7:13PHI 0 — DET 7PHI ball · 4th & 5PHI 60%

(7:13) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass incomplete short right to 11-A.Brown (24-A.Oruwariye).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 7:13PHI +12% win prob(7:13) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass incomplete short right to 11-A.Brown (24-A.Oruwariye).
Q4 · 3:56DET +11% win prob(3:56) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep right to 4-D.Chark for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 14:27DET +10% win prob(14:27) 32-D.Swift left tackle to PHI 26 for 50 yards (2-D.Slay).
Q4 · 2:21DET +10% win prob(2:21) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders left tackle to DET 49 for 24 yards (1-J.Okudah).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 10:23DET Touchdown
(10:23) 67-M.Nelson reported in as eligible. 30-Ja.Williams right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 0 — DET 7
Q2 · 13:00PHI Touchdown
(13:00) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts scrambles right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 7 — DET 7
Q2 · 7:38PHI Touchdown
(7:38) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 14 — DET 7
Q2 · 6:36PHI Touchdown
(6:36) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left intended for 88-T.Hockenson INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Bradberry (43-K.White) [95-M.Tuipulotu] at DET 27. 24-J.Bradberry for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 21 — DET 7
Q2 · 2:00DET Touchdown
(2:00) 67-M.Nelson reported in as eligible. 32-D.Swift left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 21 — DET 14
Q2 · 0:09PHI Field goal
(:09) 4-J.Elliott 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-8-A.Siposs.
Score after this play: PHI 24 — DET 14
Q3 · 10:25PHI Touchdown
(10:25) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-K.Gainwell left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 31 — DET 14
Q3 · 4:14DET Touchdown
(4:14) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 14-A.St. Brown for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 31 — DET 21
Q3 · 1:45PHI Touchdown
(1:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 35-B.Scott up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 38 — DET 21
Q4 · 14:19DET Touchdown
(14:19) 67-M.Nelson reported in as eligible. 30-Ja.Williams left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 38 — DET 28
Q4 · 3:56DET Touchdown
(3:56) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep right to 4-D.Chark for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 38 — DET 35

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Lions
Offensive plays	71	65
Total yards	456 (edge)	387
Yards per play	6.4 (edge)	6.0
Expected points added / play	0.28 (edge)	0.12
Success rate	54% (edge)	43%
Dropback rate	62%	60%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.32 (edge)	-0.01
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.21	0.33 (edge)
Third downs	10/17	9/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	10	10
First downs gained on snaps	25 (edge)	21
Sacks taken	1	1
Turnovers	0 (edge)	1

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.28 expected points added per play vs 0.12.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

18/32, 243 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

3.6 expected points added · -10.0% completion over expected

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

21/37, 215 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-2.1 expected points added · -12.0% completion over expected

Rushing · DET

D'Andre SwiftRB

15 att, 144 yds, 1 TD

10.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Miles SandersRB

13 att, 96 yds, 1 TD

5.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

10/13 for 155 yds, 0 TD

45% of team targets · 8.6 expected points added

Receiving · DET

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR

8/12 for 64 yds, 1 TD

32% of team targets · -0.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DET	DET 25	11	85	4:42	Touchdown +7
2	PHI	PHI 25	10	40	3:08	Turnover on downs
3	DET	DET 41	4	4	1:19	Punt
4	PHI	PHI 18	14	97	7:55	Touchdown +7
5	DET	DET 25	5	3	1:19	Punt
6	PHI	PHI 29	5	20	1:33	Punt
7	DET	DET 22	4	0	0:20	Punt
8	PHI	PHI 34	9	66	2:10	Touchdown +7
9	DET	DET 25	3	4	1:08	Defensive touchdown
10	DET	DET 25	12	75	4:31	Touchdown +7
11	PHI	PHI 22	10	73	1:49	Field goal +3
12	DET	DET 25	2	0	0:06	End of half
13	PHI	PHI 18	12	67	4:39	Touchdown +7
14	DET	DET 25	16	70	6:12	Touchdown +7
15	PHI	DET 49	7	34	2:28	Touchdown +7
16	DET	DET 25	8	70	2:25	Touchdown +7
17	PHI	PHI 25	6	15	1:39	Punt
18	DET	DET 20	5	15	1:56	Punt
19	PHI	PHI 17	4	2	2:22	Punt
20	DET	DET 28	12	61	4:28	Touchdown +7
21	PHI	PHI 19	9	42	3:51	End of game

10 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 97 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	18/32	243	0	0	1	3.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Miles Sanders	13	96	7.4	1	5.3
Jalen Hurts	17	90	5.3	1	9.9
Kenneth Gainwell	5	20	4.0	1	1.2
Boston Scott	4	10	2.5	1	-1.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
A.J. Brown	10	13	155	45%	8.6
Dallas Goedert	3	4	60	14%	4.3
Kenneth Gainwell	2	4	12	14%	-1.3
Miles Sanders	2	2	9	7%	-0.9
Zach Pascal	1	1	7	3%	1.7
Noah Togiai	0	1	0	3%	-0.6
DeVonta Smith	0	4	0	14%	-4.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Marcus Epps	7	2	0.0	0	0
T.J. Edwards	5	2	0.0	0	1
Darius Slay	4	2	0.0	0	0
Kyzir White	4	1	0.0	0	1
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson	5	0	0.0	0	1
Avonte Maddox	1	2	0.0	0	0
Josh Sweat	2	1	0.0	0	0
Haason Reddick	1	1	0.0	0	0
James Bradberry	1	1	0.0	1	1
Fletcher Cox	1	1	0.5	0	0

Detroit Lions

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	21/37	215	2	1	1	-2.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
D'Andre Swift	15	144	9.6	1	10.0
Jamaal Williams	11	28	2.5	2	-1.4
Jared Goff	2	9	4.5	0	1.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Amon-Ra St. Brown	8	12	64	1	32%	-0.1
D.J. Chark	4	8	52	1	22%	3.9
T.J. Hockenson	4	7	38	0	19%	-4.0
D'Andre Swift	3	3	31	0	8%	2.4
Josh Reynolds	1	3	28	0	8%	0.9
Jamaal Williams	1	2	2	0	5%	-1.4
Kalif Raymond	0	2	0	0	5%	-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Tracy Walker III	7	4	1.0	1
Jeff Okudah	6	3	0.0	1
Alex Anzalone	5	2	0.0	0
Charles Harris	4	2	0.0	0
Malcolm Rodriguez	3	2	0.0	0
DeShon Elliott	5	0	0.0	0
Amani Oruwariye	4	0	0.0	1
Mike Hughes	1	2	0.0	0
Isaiah Buggs	2	1	0.0	1
Derrick Barnes	2	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -6
Closing total: 49
PHI moneyline: -240
DET moneyline: +211

Eagles closed -6, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 49; the game landed 73 — over by 24.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Ford Field
Roof / surface: dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Brad Allen
Rest: PHI 7 days · DET 7 days
Coaches: Nick Sirianni vs Dan Campbell