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2022 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 18, 2022 · Allegiant Stadium

Arizona CardinalsWinner

29

Las Vegas Raiders

23

LV -5.5 upsetO 51.5 ✓Dome

Arizona Cardinals 29–23. Biggest swing: OT 4:05, ARI +48% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3End Q4LV ↑ARI ↓
OT · 4:05ARI 29 — LV 23LV ball · 2nd & 10ARI 52%

(4:05) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 13-H.Renfrow to ARI 38 for 1 yard (9-I.Simmons) [45-D.Gardeck]. FUMBLES (9-I.Simmons), touched at ARI 39, RECOVERED by ARI-7-B.Murphy at ARI 41. 7-B.Murphy for 59 yards, TOUCH

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. OT · 4:05ARI +48% win prob(4:05) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 13-H.Renfrow to ARI 38 for 1 yard (9-I.Simmons) [45-D.Gardeck]. FUMBLES (9-I.Simmons), touched at ARI 39, RECOVERED by ARI-7-B.Murphy at ARI 41. 7-B.Murphy for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
  2. Q4 · 0:05LV +23% win prob(:05) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray scrambles left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. OT · 4:45LV +21% win prob(4:45) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 13-H.Renfrow to ARI 45 for 11 yards (34-J.Thompson, 25-Z.Collins). FUMBLES (25-Z.Collins), recovered by LV-87-F.Moreau at ARI 39.
  4. Q4 · 0:00LV +19% win prob(Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 1-K.Murray pass to 18-A.Green is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 5:25LV Touchdown

    (5:25) 78-J.Barton reported in as eligible. 4-D.Carr pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 0 — LV 7
  2. Q2 · 11:45LV Field goal

    (11:45) 2-D.Carlson 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: ARI 0 — LV 10
  3. Q2 · 7:04LV Touchdown

    (7:04) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 83-D.Waller for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 0 — LV 17
  4. Q2 · 0:05LV Field goal

    (:05) 2-D.Carlson 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: ARI 0 — LV 20
  5. Q3 · 6:08ARI Touchdown

    (6:08) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 83-G.Dortch for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 7 — LV 20
  6. Q3 · 1:41LV Field goal

    (1:41) 2-D.Carlson 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: ARI 7 — LV 23
  7. Q4 · 8:17ARI Touchdown

    (8:17) 24-D.Williams up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: ARI 15 — LV 23
  8. Q4 · 0:05ARI Touchdown

    (:05) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray scrambles left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: ARI 23 — LV 23
  9. OT · 4:05ARI Touchdown

    (4:05) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 13-H.Renfrow to ARI 38 for 1 yard (9-I.Simmons) [45-D.Gardeck]. FUMBLES (9-I.Simmons), touched at ARI 39, RECOVERED by ARI-7-B.Murphy at ARI 41. 7-B.Murphy for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

    Score after this play: ARI 29 — LV 23

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCardinalsRaiders
Offensive plays8061
Total yards417 (edge)324
Yards per play5.25.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.03 (edge)-0.08
Success rate50% (edge)46%
Dropback rate66%67%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.03 (edge)-0.09
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.16 (edge)-0.06
Third downs3/136/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)55
First downs gained on snaps27 (edge)18
Sacks taken11
Turnovers11

Cardinals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.03 expected points added per play vs -0.08.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

31/49, 277 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-7.9 expected points added · -5.6% completion over expected

Passing · LV

Derek CarrQB

25/39, 252 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

4.6 expected points added · -5.9% completion over expected

Rushing · LV

Josh JacobsRB

19 att, 69 yds, 0 TD

-0.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · ARI

Darrel WilliamsRB

8 att, 59 yds, 1 TD

2.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ARI

Zach ErtzTE

8/11 for 75 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · -0.8 expected points added

Receiving · ARI

Marquise BrownWR

6/11 for 68 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · -4.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LVLV 2517729:38Touchdown +7
2ARIARI 258194:01Punt
3LVLV 209764:41Field goal +3
4ARIARI 257192:38Punt
5LVLV 418592:02Touchdown +7
6ARIARI 109485:09Interception
7LVLV 279511:51Field goal +3
8ARIARI 25621:53Punt
9LVLV 8481:37Punt
10ARIARI 2112945:27Touchdown +7
11LVLV 259264:25Field goal +3
12ARIARI 2510644:07Turnover on downs
13LVLV 11400:24Punt
14ARIARI 4610613:54Touchdown +8
15LVLV 257143:30Punt
16ARIARI 2719674:43Touchdown +8
17ARIARI 259434:30Turnover on downs
18LVLV 375181:39Defensive touchdown

8 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 94 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Kyler Murray31/49277111-7.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Darrel Williams8597.412.8
Eno Benjamin8313.90-0.0
Kyler Murray5285.617.8
James Conner7253.60-0.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Zach Ertz81175023%-0.8
Marquise Brown61168023%-4.5
Greg Dortch445519%6.8
James Conner242609%-0.0
Eno Benjamin342009%0.4
A.J. Green3716015%-2.4
Andre Baccellia221204%0.9
Darrel Williams23306%-1.9
Stephen Anderson11202%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jalen Thompson530.001
Zaven Collins530.000
Budda Baker510.000
Nick Vigil320.000
Jace Whittaker220.001
Marco Wilson130.000
Dennis Gardeck120.000
Zach Allen110.001
Isaiah Simmons200.000
Rashard Lawrence110.000

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Derek Carr25/392522014.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Josh Jacobs19693.60-0.7
Derek Carr199.00-0.1
Zamir White122.00-0.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Mack Hollins5866021%5.1
Hunter Renfrow71059026%-7.0
Darren Waller6850121%-0.8
Foster Moreau3430010%-0.2
Ameer Abdullah112303%2.8
Josh Jacobs111203%1.0
Davante Adams2712118%-2.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Divine Deablo6100.000
Jayon Brown840.000
Nate Hobbs920.000
Johnathan Abram520.001
Duron Harmon320.001
Maxx Crosby131.000
Amik Robertson400.011
Kendal Vickers130.000
Andrew Billings120.000
Chandler Jones110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LV -5.5
Closing total
51.5
ARI moneyline
+197
LV moneyline
-223

Raiders closed -5.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 51.5; the game landed 52 — over by 0.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Allegiant Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · grass
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Clete Blakeman
Rest
ARI 7 days · LV 7 days
Coaches
Kliff Kingsbury vs Josh McDaniels