2022 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 18, 2022 · AT&T Stadium

Cincinnati Bengals

Dallas CowboysWinner

CIN -7.5 upsetU 42 ✓DomeBengals closed -7.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Dallas Cowboys 20–17 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:03, DAL +30% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:03CIN 17 — DAL 20DAL ball · 3rd & 7DAL 70%

(:03) 19-B.Maher 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-5-B.Anger.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:03DAL +30% win prob(:03) 19-B.Maher 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Q4 · 1:09CIN +17% win prob(1:09) 10-K.Huber punts 63 yards to DAL 21, Center-48-C.Adomitis. 9-K.Turpin ran ob at DAL 35 for 14 yards (51-M.Bailey).
Q4 · 6:03DAL +14% win prob(6:03) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 1-J.Chase to DAL 19 for 8 yards (7-T.Diggs) [11-M.Parsons].
Q1 · 0:39DAL +14% win prob(:39) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass short left to 20-T.Pollard for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass short left to 20-T.Pollard to CIN 1 for 46 yards (24-V.Bell).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 8:41DAL Touchdown
(8:41) 10-C.Rush pass short right to 85-N.Brown for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass complete after Rush rolled out right (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 0 — DAL 7
Q1 · 3:08CIN Field goal
(3:08) 2-E.McPherson 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-K.Huber.
Score after this play: CIN 3 — DAL 7
Q1 · 0:19DAL Touchdown
(:19) 20-T.Pollard up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 3 — DAL 14
Q2 · 0:14DAL Field goal
(:14) 19-B.Maher 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: CIN 3 — DAL 17
Q3 · 9:45CIN Field goal
(9:45) 2-E.McPherson 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-K.Huber.
Score after this play: CIN 6 — DAL 17
Q3 · 4:08CIN Field goal
(4:08) 2-E.McPherson 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-K.Huber.
Score after this play: CIN 9 — DAL 17
Q4 · 3:51CIN Touchdown
(3:51) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 85-T.Higgins for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: CIN 17 — DAL 17
Q4 · 0:03DAL Field goal
(:03) 19-B.Maher 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: CIN 17 — DAL 20

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Bengals	Cowboys
Offensive plays	67	58
Total yards	257	337 (edge)
Yards per play	3.8	5.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.04 (edge)	-0.00
Success rate	39%	40% (edge)
Dropback rate	69%	55%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.16 (edge)	0.07
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.20	-0.09 (edge)
Third downs	6/17 (edge)	3/10
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	6 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	17	19 (edge)
Sacks taken	6	1 (edge)
Turnovers	0 (edge)	1

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Cooper RushQB

19/31, 235 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

8.3 expected points added · -6.4% completion over expected

Passing · CIN

Joe BurrowQB

24/36, 199 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

0.9 expected points added · -2.3% completion over expected

Rushing · CIN

Joe MixonRB

19 att, 57 yds, 0 TD

-3.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Ezekiel ElliottRB

15 att, 53 yds, 0 TD

-3.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

Noah BrownWR

5/5 for 91 yds, 1 TD

17% of team targets · 11.8 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

7/11 for 75 yds, 0 TD

37% of team targets · -0.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DAL	DAL 25	14	75	6:25	Touchdown +7
2	CIN	CIN 25	10	40	5:30	Field goal +3
3	DAL	DAL 25	8	80	2:48	Touchdown +7
4	CIN	CIN 25	5	6	1:12	Punt
5	DAL	DAL 25	7	18	3:38	Punt
6	CIN	CIN 15	10	33	4:56	Punt
7	DAL	DAL 11	8	41	3:19	Punt
8	CIN	CIN 13	6	6	1:21	Punt
9	DAL	CIN 49	6	13	0:42	Field goal +3
10	CIN	CIN 25	2	0	0:09	End of half
11	CIN	CIN 25	12	48	5:19	Field goal +3
12	DAL	DAL 25	5	3	1:41	Punt
13	CIN	CIN 41	7	31	3:55	Field goal +3
14	DAL	DAL 25	8	39	3:00	Fumble
15	CIN	CIN 26	4	5	1:16	Punt
16	DAL	DAL 26	5	15	2:10	Punt
17	CIN	CIN 17	20	80	8:54	Touchdown +8
18	DAL	DAL 25	6	20	1:32	Punt
19	CIN	CIN 8	4	8	1:16	Punt
20	DAL	DAL 35	6	33	0:57	Field goal +3

8 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 80 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Joe Burrow	24/36	199	1	0	6	0.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Joe Mixon	19	57	3.0	-3.8
Joe Burrow	4	26	6.5	6.2
Ja'Marr Chase	1	4	4.0	-0.1
Samaje Perine	1	2	2.0	-0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tee Higgins	6	10	71	1	29%	5.1
Ja'Marr Chase	5	9	54	0	26%	4.2
Joe Mixon	3	4	26	0	11%	-0.2
Hayden Hurst	5	7	24	0	20%	0.6
Tyler Boyd	2	2	17	0	6%	1.3
Samaje Perine	1	1	8	0	3%	-0.5
Mitchell Wilcox	1	1	3	0	3%	-0.3
Drew Sample	1	1	-4	0	3%	-1.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Vonn Bell	5	2	0.0	0
Chidobe Awuzie	5	0	0.0	0
B.J. Hill	2	3	0.0	1
Germaine Pratt	5	0	0.0	0
Sam Hubbard	3	1	1.0	1
Eli Apple	3	1	0.0	0
D.J. Reader	4	0	0.0	0
Mike Hilton	4	0	0.0	1
Jessie Bates	3	0	0.0	0
Logan Wilson	1	2	0.0	0

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Cooper Rush	19/31	235	1	0	1	8.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Ezekiel Elliott	15	53	3.5	0	-3.1
Tony Pollard	9	43	4.8	1	0.6
CeeDee Lamb	1	6	6.0	0	0.4
Kavontae Turpin	1	3	3.0	0	-0.3
Cooper Rush	1	2	2.0	0	-0.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Noah Brown	5	5	91	1	17%	11.8
CeeDee Lamb	7	11	75	0	37%	-0.4
Tony Pollard	4	7	55	0	23%	1.1
Dalton Schultz	2	4	18	0	13%	-4.2
Dennis Houston	0	1	0	0	3%	-1.3
Ezekiel Elliott	1	2	-4	0	7%	-2.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Donovan Wilson	6	2	0.0	0
Leighton Vander Esch	4	3	1.0	1
Demarcus Lawrence	3	4	0.0	0
Anthony Barr	3	3	0.0	0
Anthony Brown	4	2	0.0	1
Malik Hooker	3	2	0.0	0
Trevon Diggs	5	0	0.0	1
Jourdan Lewis	1	3	0.0	0
Micah Parsons	4	0	2.0	0
Dorance Armstrong	2	0	2.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CIN -7.5
Closing total: 42
CIN moneyline: -303
DAL moneyline: +260

Bengals closed -7.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 42; the game landed 37 — under by 5.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Brad Allen
Rest: CIN 7 days · DAL 7 days
Coaches: Zac Taylor vs Mike McCarthy