2022 Week 2 · Thu, Sep 15, 2022 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Los Angeles Chargers

Kansas City ChiefsWinner

KC -4 no coverU 52.5 ✓Chiefs closed -4, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Kansas City Chiefs 27–24 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 10:43, LAC +53% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 10:43LAC 17 — KC 23LAC ball · 1st & 3LAC 69%

(10:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 7-G.Everett INTERCEPTED by 35-Ja.Watson at KC 1. 35-Ja.Watson for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 10:43LAC +53% win prob(10:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 7-G.Everett INTERCEPTED by 35-Ja.Watson at KC 1. 35-Ja.Watson for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 7:28KC +14% win prob(7:28) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 84-Ju.Watson for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 0:22KC +10% win prob(:22) 5-T.Townsend punts 74 yards to LAC 9, Center-41-J.Winchester, downed by KC-30-D.Bootle.
Q4 · 11:10KC +9% win prob(11:10) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 7-G.Everett to KC 3 for 26 yards (98-T.Wharton; 20-J.Reid).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 6:01LAC Field goal
(6:01) 6-D.Hopkins 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
Score after this play: LAC 3 — KC 0
Q2 · 15:00LAC Touchdown
(15:00) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 40-Z.Horvath for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 10 — KC 0
Q2 · 11:47KC Touchdown
(11:47) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 1-J.McKinnon for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 10 — KC 7
Q3 · 9:58LAC Touchdown
(9:58) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 81-M.Williams for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 17 — KC 7
Q3 · 7:28KC Touchdown
(7:28) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 84-Ju.Watson for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 17 — KC 14
Q4 · 15:00KC Field goal
(15:00) 19-M.Ammendola 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Score after this play: LAC 17 — KC 17
Q4 · 10:43KC Touchdown
(10:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 7-G.Everett INTERCEPTED by 35-Ja.Watson at KC 1. 35-Ja.Watson for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 17 — KC 24
Q4 · 3:24KC Field goal
(3:24) 19-M.Ammendola 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Score after this play: LAC 17 — KC 27
Q4 · 1:15LAC Touchdown
(1:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 5-J.Palmer for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 24 — KC 27

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Chargers	Chiefs
Offensive plays	73	52
Total yards	402 (edge)	320
Yards per play	5.5	6.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.01	0.08 (edge)
Success rate	49% (edge)	44%
Dropback rate	68%	69%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.02	0.13 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.07 (edge)	-0.03
Third downs	5/16	4/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	4
First downs gained on snaps	20 (edge)	13
Sacks taken	2	1 (edge)
Turnovers	1	0 (edge)

Chargers outgained Chiefs 402–320 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

33/48, 334 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

-0.9 expected points added · +4.2% completion over expected

Passing · KC

Patrick MahomesQB

24/35, 235 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

4.8 expected points added · +4.3% completion over expected

Rushing · KC

Clyde Edwards-HelaireRB

8 att, 74 yds, 0 TD

3.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LAC

Austin EkelerRB

14 att, 39 yds, 0 TD

-1.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LAC

Mike WilliamsWR

8/10 for 113 yds, 1 TD

22% of team targets · 7.3 expected points added

Receiving · LAC

Gerald EverettTE

6/10 for 71 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · -11.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	KC	KC 25	9	29	4:21	Punt
2	LAC	LAC 20	11	59	4:41	Field goal +3
3	KC	KC 25	5	-11	2:11	Punt
4	LAC	LAC 42	9	58	3:50	Touchdown +7
5	KC	KC 25	9	70	3:19	Touchdown +7
6	LAC	LAC 33	8	20	2:43	Punt
7	KC	KC 8	6	21	3:40	Punt
8	LAC	LAC 23	7	29	4:22	Punt
9	KC	KC 13	4	10	0:47	Punt
10	LAC	LAC 9	1	0	0:06	End of half
11	LAC	LAC 25	13	75	5:08	Touchdown +7
12	KC	KC 25	9	75	2:30	Touchdown +7
13	LAC	LAC 25	5	8	0:58	Punt
14	KC	KC 29	4	9	1:28	Punt
15	LAC	LAC 9	4	-7	0:57	Punt
16	KC	LAC 36	9	40	4:01	Field goal +3
17	LAC	LAC 40	9	57	4:29	Defensive touchdown
18	LAC	LAC 25	5	6	2:14	Punt
19	KC	KC 15	6	20	2:20	Punt
20	LAC	LAC 14	7	24	2:00	Punt
21	KC	KC 15	5	57	0:35	Field goal +3
22	LAC	LAC 27	11	73	2:09	Touchdown +7
23	KC	LAC 44	3	0	1:11	End of game

8 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 75 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Justin Herbert	33/48	334	3	1	2	-0.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Austin Ekeler	14	39	2.8	-1.4
Joshua Kelley	4	22	5.5	1.2
Sony Michel	4	13	3.3	-0.6
Justin Herbert	2	1	0.5	2.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Mike Williams	8	10	113	1	22%	7.3
Gerald Everett	6	10	71	0	22%	-11.0
Austin Ekeler	9	10	55	0	22%	-0.7
DeAndre Carter	3	3	55	0	7%	6.8
Josh Palmer	4	8	30	1	17%	2.2
Sony Michel	1	1	6	0	2%	0.3
Joshua Kelley	1	2	3	0	4%	-0.6
Zander Horvath	1	2	1	1	4%	0.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Derwin James	5	3	0.0	0
J.C. Jackson	5	1	0.0	0
Sebastian Joseph	2	2	0.0	0
Drue Tranquill	2	2	0.0	0
Nasir Adderley	1	2	0.0	0
Kenneth Murray	1	2	0.0	0
Asante Samuel	2	1	0.0	1
Jerry Tillery	1	1	0.0	0
Chris Rumph	1	1	0.0	0
Khalil Mack	2	0	1.0	0

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Patrick Mahomes	24/35	235	2	0	1	4.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	8	74	9.3	3.7
Jerick McKinnon	4	12	3.0	-0.5
Michael Burton	1	6	6.0	0.7
Isiah Pacheco	2	6	3.0	-1.8
Patrick Mahomes	2	-1	-0.5	-2.2
Mecole Hardman	1	-4	-4.0	-2.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Travis Kelce	5	7	51	0	21%	1.2
Justin Watson	2	2	50	1	6%	5.5
Mecole Hardman	3	4	49	0	12%	3.3
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	4	4	44	0	12%	2.9
Marquez Valdes-Scantling	2	7	13	0	21%	-4.5
Noah Gray	2	3	12	0	9%	0.2
JuJu Smith-Schuster	3	3	10	0	9%	-0.9
Jerick McKinnon	2	2	4	1	6%	0.5
Michael Burton	1	1	2	0	3%	-0.5
Joseph Fortson	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Willie Gay	6	5	0	2
Nick Bolton	5	5	0	0
L'Jarius Sneed	7	1	0	0
Rashad Fenton	5	1	0	0
Juan Thornhill	3	1	0	0
Jaylen Watson	3	1	1	1
Justin Reid	3	1	0	1
Carlos Dunlap	2	1	0	0
Isiah Pacheco	1	1	0	0
Frank Clark	1	1	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: KC -4
Closing total: 52.5
LAC moneyline: +167
KC moneyline: -188

Chiefs closed -4, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 52.5; the game landed 51 — under by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: —
Referee: John Hussey
Rest: LAC 4 days · KC 4 days
Coaches: Brandon Staley vs Andy Reid

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.