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2022 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 18, 2022 · FirstEnergy Stadium

New York JetsWinner

31

Cleveland Browns

30

CLE -6.5 upsetO 38.5 ✓

New York Jets 31–30 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:25, CLE +34% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3CLE ↑NYJ ↓
Q4 · 0:25NYJ 30 — CLE 30NYJ ball · 3rd & 10CLE 77%

(:25) (Shotgun) 19-J.Flacco pass short middle to 17-G.Wilson for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 0:25CLE +34% win prob(:25) (Shotgun) 19-J.Flacco pass short middle to 17-G.Wilson for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q4 · 0:13NYJ +32% win prob(:13) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep left intended for 2-A.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Davis at NYJ 36. 21-A.Davis to 50 for 14 yards.
  3. Q2 · 0:15CLE +17% win prob(:15) (Shotgun) 19-J.Flacco pass short right to 20-Br.Hall for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q4 · 14:24CLE +15% win prob(14:24) 6-G.Zuerlein 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 5:00CLE Touchdown

    (5:00) 24-N.Chubb left tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 0 — CLE 7
  2. Q2 · 13:09NYJ Touchdown

    (13:09) (Shotgun) 19-J.Flacco pass short right to 17-G.Wilson for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 7 — CLE 7
  3. Q2 · 8:20CLE Touchdown

    (8:20) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short right to 2-A.Cooper for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 7 — CLE 14
  4. Q2 · 0:15NYJ Touchdown

    (:15) (Shotgun) 19-J.Flacco pass short right to 20-Br.Hall for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 14 — CLE 14
  5. Q3 · 10:01CLE Field goal

    (10:01) 3-C.York 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: NYJ 14 — CLE 17
  6. Q4 · 14:24NYJ Field goal

    (14:24) 6-G.Zuerlein 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: NYJ 17 — CLE 17
  7. Q4 · 9:29CLE Touchdown

    (9:29) (Shotgun) 24-N.Chubb right tackle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 17 — CLE 24
  8. Q4 · 2:02CLE Touchdown

    (2:02) 68-M.Dunn reported in as eligible. 24-N.Chubb left tackle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: NYJ 17 — CLE 30
  9. Q4 · 1:32NYJ Touchdown

    (1:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 19-J.Flacco pass deep right to 84-C.Davis for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 24 — CLE 30
  10. Q4 · 0:25NYJ Touchdown

    (:25) (Shotgun) 19-J.Flacco pass short middle to 17-G.Wilson for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 31 — CLE 30

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricJetsBrowns
Offensive plays6664
Total yards403406 (edge)
Yards per play6.16.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.270.29 (edge)
Success rate45%52% (edge)
Dropback rate73%50%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.370.48 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.030.11 (edge)
Third downs8/158/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)511 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1927 (edge)
Sacks taken21 (edge)
Turnovers11

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYJ

Joe FlaccoQB

26/44, 307 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT

12.3 expected points added · +0.2% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

Jacoby BrissettQB

22/27, 229 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

13.9 expected points added · +15.0% completion over expected

Rushing · CLE

Nick ChubbRB

17 att, 87 yds, 3 TD

5.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CLE

Kareem HuntRB

13 att, 58 yds, 0 TD

-1.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYJ

Garrett WilsonWR

8/14 for 102 yds, 2 TD

33% of team targets · 7.1 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

Amari CooperWR

9/10 for 101 yds, 1 TD

37% of team targets · 10.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYJNYJ 31591:28Punt
2CLECLE 1015908:37Touchdown +7
3NYJNYJ 2515756:49Touchdown +7
4CLECLE 3912614:49Touchdown +7
5NYJNYJ 309404:53Fumble
6CLECLE 21472:19Punt
7NYJNYJ 469540:54Touchdown +7
8CLECLE 25200:11End of half
9CLECLE 2012695:02Field goal +3
10NYJNYJ 2511223:57Punt
11CLECLE 55221:57Punt
12NYJNYJ 109714:45Field goal +3
13CLECLE 2511754:58Touchdown +7
14NYJNYJ 32561:44Punt
15CLECLE 317193:30Punt
16NYJNYJ 8431:37Punt
17CLENYJ 427420:35Touchdown +6
18NYJNYJ 254750:33Touchdown +7
19NYJNYJ 4711481:00Touchdown +7
20CLECLE 253210:16Interception
21NYJ50100:06End of game

10 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 90 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Jets

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Joe Flacco26/4430740212.3
Braden Mann1/1170003.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Breece Hall7507.102.4
Michael Carter7233.30-0.1
Braxton Berrios22211.000.9
Joe Flacco263.001.1
Garrett Wilson1-2-2.00-1.0
Elijah Moore1-6-6.00-1.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Garrett Wilson814102233%7.1
Corey Davis248319%5.3
Elijah Moore3541012%3.5
Tyler Conklin6940021%-0.6
Michael Carter5527012%1.1
Jeff Smith111702%3.8
Breece Hall111012%3.8
Ty Johnson13407%-0.6
Jeremy Ruckert01002%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jordan Whitehead340.000
Lamarcus Joyner520.000
Kwon Alexander610.000
C.J. Mosley330.000
Solomon Thomas140.000
Ahmad Gardner410.001
D.J. Reed400.000
Quincy Williams310.000
Quinnen Williams310.500
Sheldon Rankins220.000

Cleveland Browns

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jacoby Brissett22/2722911113.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Nick Chubb17875.135.7
Kareem Hunt13584.50-1.3
Jacoby Brissett6437.201.9
Demetric Felton1-4-4.00-1.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Amari Cooper910101137%10.7
Harrison Bryant3445015%1.0
David Njoku3532019%0.9
Nick Chubb3326011%2.1
Kareem Hunt221607%1.5
David Bell11604%-0.0
Demetric Felton11304%-0.3
Donovan Peoples-Jones01004%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah800.000
Grant Delpit610.000
John Johnson510.001
Greg Newsome410.000
Martin Emerson400.001
Anthony Walker310.002
Denzel Ward200.000
Jacob Phillips200.000
Jadeveon Clowney201.000
Jordan Kunaszyk100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
CLE -6.5
Closing total
38.5
NYJ moneyline
+207
CLE moneyline
-235

Browns closed -6.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 38.5; the game landed 61 — over by 22.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
FirstEnergy Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
—
Referee
Tra Blake
Rest
NYJ 7 days · CLE 7 days
Coaches
Robert Saleh vs Kevin Stefanski