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2022 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 18, 2022 · Levi's Stadium

Seattle Seahawks

7

San Francisco 49ersWinner

27

SF -8.5 ✓U 40 ✓

San Francisco 49ers 27–7 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 4:09, SF +5% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3SF ↑SEA ↓
Q1 · 4:09SEA 0 — SF 3SF ball · 2nd & 8SF 80%

(4:09) (Shotgun) 19-D.Samuel right end to SEA 23 for 51 yards (27-T.Woolen).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 4:09SF +5% win prob(4:09) (Shotgun) 19-D.Samuel right end to SEA 23 for 51 yards (27-T.Woolen).
  2. Q1 · 13:49SF +5% win prob(13:49) (Shotgun) 5-T.Lance pass short right to 11-B.Aiyuk ran ob at SEA 38 for 25 yards (30-M.Jackson). 21 YAC
  3. Q2 · 11:28SF +5% win prob(11:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep left to 82-R.Dwelley for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. 22 YAC
  4. Q1 · 8:01SF +3% win prob(8:01) 9-K.Walker right guard to SEA 36 for 8 yards (29-T.Hufanga).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:20SF Field goal

    (9:20) 9-R.Gould 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.

    Score after this play: SEA 0 — SF 3
  2. Q1 · 1:30SF Field goal

    (1:30) 9-R.Gould 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.

    Score after this play: SEA 0 — SF 6
  3. Q2 · 11:28SF Touchdown

    (11:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep left to 82-R.Dwelley for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. 22 YAC (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 0 — SF 13
  4. Q2 · 1:29SF Touchdown

    (1:29) 44-K.Juszczyk up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 0 — SF 20
  5. Q3 · 5:39SEA Touchdown

    (5:39) 9-R.Gould 20 yard field goal is BLOCKED (27-T.Woolen), Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky, RECOVERED by SEA-30-M.Jackson at SEA 14. 30-M.Jackson for 86 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 7 — SF 20
  6. Q4 · 1:54SF Touchdown

    (1:54) 10-J.Garoppolo up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 7 — SF 27

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricSeahawks49ers
Offensive plays4770
Total yards216373 (edge)
Yards per play4.65.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.350.03 (edge)
Success rate40% (edge)39%
Dropback rate70%36%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.390.06 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.270.01 (edge)
Third downs2/76/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)16 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1319 (edge)
Sacks taken21 (edge)
Turnovers20 (edge)

49ers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.03 expected points added per play vs -0.35.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Geno SmithQB

24/30, 197 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-7.9 expected points added · +13.8% completion over expected

Passing · SF

Jimmy GaroppoloQB

13/21, 154 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

2.2 expected points added · -3.6% completion over expected

Rushing · SF

Jeffery WilsonRB

18 att, 84 yds, 0 TD

1.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SF

Tyrion Davis-PriceRB

14 att, 33 yds, 0 TD

-6.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

Tyler LockettWR

9/11 for 107 yds, 0 TD

37% of team targets · 1.5 expected points added

Receiving · SF

Brandon AiyukWR

5/8 for 63 yds, 0 TD

33% of team targets · -0.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1SFSF 2512735:44Field goal +3
2SEASEA 198223:23Punt
3SFSF 117694:27Field goal +3
4SEASEA 257152:51Punt
5SFSF 225622:16Touchdown +7
6SEASEA 254151:26Interception
7SF505112:11Turnover on downs
8SEASEA 396323:30Interception
9SFSF 75222:23Punt
10SFSEA 225220:23Touchdown +7
11SEASEA 169561:26End of half
12SEASEA 16582:11Punt
13SFSF 2912547:24Field goal
14SFSF 2510164:02Punt
15SEASEA 13491:31Punt
16SFSF 25652:21Punt
17SEASEA 87153:31Punt
18SFSF 3714397:09Touchdown +7
19SEASEA 258441:51End of game

5 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: 49ers gained 73 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a field goal.

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Geno Smith24/30197012-7.9
DeeJay Dallas0/10010-4.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Rashaad Penny6152.50-1.3
Kenneth Walker4102.50-0.5
Travis Homer294.500.0
Geno Smith221.00-2.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Tyler Lockett911107037%1.5
DK Metcalf4635020%-5.4
Travis Homer4433013%-0.3
Noah Fant221107%-0.1
D'Wayne Eskridge11603%-0.4
Kenneth Walker235010%-1.8
Will Dissly22007%-1.3
Marquise Goodwin01003%-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Cody Barton470.000
Jordyn Brooks540.000
Al Woods610.001
Michael Jackson510.000
Boye Mafe401.000
Coby Bryant310.000
Quandre Diggs310.000
Josh Jones310.000
Tariq Woolen300.000
Darrell Taylor300.000

San Francisco 49ers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jimmy Garoppolo13/211541012.2
Trey Lance2/330000-0.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jeffery Wilson18844.701.0
Deebo Samuel45313.302.1
Tyrion Davis-Price14332.40-6.2
Trey Lance3134.301.0
Jimmy Garoppolo451.311.6
Kyle Juszczyk210.510.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Brandon Aiyuk5863033%-0.5
Deebo Samuel5644025%1.8
Ross Dwelley113814%3.5
Jeffery Wilson221908%0.9
Ray-Ray McCloud121608%0.8
Jauan Jennings12408%0.7
Kyle Juszczyk01004%-1.6
Danny Gray02008%-3.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Charvarius Ward440.011
Dre Greenlaw620.000
Talanoa Hufanga510.002
Samson Ebukam210.000
Emmanuel Moseley300.001
Fred Warner120.000
Kevin Givens210.000
Samuel Womack110.000
Nick Bosa202.000
Tashaun Gipson100.011

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
SF -8.5
Closing total
40
SEA moneyline
+318
SF moneyline
-379

49ers closed -8.5 and covered, winning by 20.

Total closed 40; the game landed 34 — under by 6.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Levi's Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
—
Referee
Brad Rogers
Rest
SEA 6 days · SF 7 days
Coaches
Pete Carroll vs Kyle Shanahan

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.