2022 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 18, 2022 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Tampa Bay BuccaneersWinner
20
New Orleans Saints
10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20–10. Biggest swing: Q4 7:49, NO +19% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(7:49) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 16-B.Perriman for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 28, YAC 0
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 7:49NO +19% win prob(7:49) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 16-B.Perriman for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 28, YAC 0
- Q3 · 1:19TB +16% win prob(1:19) (Shotgun) 22-M.Ingram left guard to TB 11 for 9 yards (26-L.Ryan; 54-L.David). FUMBLES (26-L.Ryan), RECOVERED by TB-94-C.Nassib at TB 10.
- Q1 · 4:26TB +15% win prob(4:26) 12-T.Brady FUMBLES (Aborted) at NO 26, touched at NO 25, RECOVERED by NO-56-D.Davis at NO 25.
- Q2 · 15:00NO +12% win prob(15:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 13-M.Evans pushed ob at NO 30 for 41 yards (30-J.Evans; 6-M.Maye). Pass 17, YAC 24
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 9:06NO Field goal
(9:06) 3-W.Lutz 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-4-B.Gillikin.
Score after this play: TB 0 — NO 3 - Q3 · 6:49TB Field goal
(6:49) 3-R.Succop 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.
Score after this play: TB 3 — NO 3 - Q4 · 7:49TB Touchdown
(7:49) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 16-B.Perriman for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 28, YAC 0 (kick good)
Score after this play: TB 10 — NO 3 - Q4 · 5:55TB Field goal
(5:55) 3-R.Succop 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.
Score after this play: TB 13 — NO 3 - Q4 · 4:23TB Touchdown
(4:23) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-J.Winston pass short left intended for 5-J.Landry INTERCEPTED by 32-M.Edwards at TB 32. 32-M.Edwards for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TB 20 — NO 3 - Q4 · 3:07NO Touchdown
(3:07) (Shotgun) 2-J.Winston pass short right to 13-M.Thomas for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TB 20 — NO 10
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Buccaneers | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 63 | 66 |
| Total yards | 262 | 308 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.2 | 4.7 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.26 (edge) | -0.40 |
| Success rate | 29% | 39% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 56% | 71% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.07 (edge) | -0.46 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.68 | -0.28 (edge) |
| Third downs | 5/17 | 4/13 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 5 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 10 | 16 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 6 |
| Turnovers | 1 (edge) | 5 |
Saints outgained Buccaneers 308–262 but lost the turnover battle 5–1. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · NO
25/40, 236 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT
-16.2 expected points added · -2.3% completion over expected
Passing · TB
18/34, 190 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
2.4 expected points added · -13.1% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NO | NO 25 | 12 | 63 | 5:58 | Field goal +3 | |
| 2 | TB | TB 25 | 10 | 49 | 4:41 | Fumble | |
| 3 | NO | NO 25 | 7 | 2 | 3:46 | Punt | |
| 4 | TB | TB 23 | 8 | 68 | 3:23 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | NO | NO 9 | 4 | 4 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 6 | TB | 50 | 4 | 5 | 2:17 | Punt | |
| 7 | NO | NO 7 | 10 | 37 | 5:18 | Punt | |
| 8 | TB | TB 13 | 4 | 6 | 1:19 | Punt | |
| 9 | NO | NO 31 | 7 | 15 | 1:21 | Punt | |
| 10 | TB | TB 14 | 1 | 0 | 0:22 | End of half | |
| 11 | TB | TB 26 | 10 | 24 | 4:12 | Punt | |
| 12 | NO | NO 16 | 4 | 0 | 0:55 | Punt | |
| 13 | TB | TB 43 | 9 | 28 | 3:09 | Field goal +3 | |
| 14 | NO | NO 25 | 10 | 64 | 5:33 | Fumble | |
| 15 | TB | TB 10 | 7 | 14 | 3:29 | Punt | |
| 16 | NO | NO 45 | 2 | 2 | 0:54 | Interception | |
| 17 | TB | TB 20 | 10 | 60 | 4:07 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 18 | NO | NO 33 | 3 | -5 | 0:56 | Interception | |
| 19 | TB | NO 29 | 4 | 0 | 0:55 | Field goal +3 | |
| 20 | NO | NO 30 | 6 | 28 | 1:39 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 21 | NO | NO 25 | 8 | 38 | 1:09 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 22 | TB | NO 43 | 5 | 6 | 0:25 | Punt | |
| 23 | NO | NO 10 | 1 | 51 | 0:10 | Fumble | |
| 24 | TB | TB 34 | 4 | 2 | 1:20 | Punt | |
| 25 | NO | NO 23 | 4 | 9 | 1:04 | Turnover on downs | |
| 26 | TB | NO 32 | 1 | 0 | 0:03 | End of game |
5 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Buccaneers gained 68 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a turnover on downs.
Full stat lines
Box score
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 18/34 | 190 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.4 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonard Fournette | 24 | 65 | 2.7 | 0 | -11.7 |
| Scott Miller | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Rachaad White | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Tom Brady | 3 | -2 | -0.7 | 0 | -7.1 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Evans | 3 | 4 | 61 | 0 | 12% | 6.3 |
| Breshad Perriman | 3 | 5 | 45 | 1 | 15% | 3.4 |
| Scott Miller | 3 | 8 | 34 | 0 | 24% | -1.8 |
| Russell Gage | 5 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 18% | -0.6 |
| Leonard Fournette | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 12% | -1.8 |
| Cameron Brate | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 6% | 1.6 |
| Cade Otton | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6% | -1.1 |
| Rachaad White | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6% | -1.6 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin White | 5 | 6 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Carlton Davis | 8 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jamel Dean | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 |
| Antoine Winfield | 5 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lavonte David | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shaquil Barrett | 5 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joe Tryon | 1 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Edwards | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Akiem Hicks | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan Ryan | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
New Orleans Saints
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jameis Winston | 25/40 | 236 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -16.2 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Ingram | 10 | 58 | 5.8 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Dwayne Washington | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Taysom Hill | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Tony Jones | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Jameis Winston | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.5 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Olave | 5 | 13 | 80 | 0 | 33% | -7.6 |
| Michael Thomas | 6 | 9 | 65 | 1 | 23% | 7.0 |
| Juwan Johnson | 4 | 7 | 40 | 0 | 18% | -2.4 |
| Jarvis Landry | 4 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 13% | -9.8 |
| Tony Jones | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 5% | -0.1 |
| Deonte Harty | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3% | -1.6 |
| Mark Ingram | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5% | -0.9 |
| Adam Prentice | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3% | -0.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shy Tuttle | 2 | 7 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
| Pete Werner | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Justin Evans | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Demario Davis | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bradley Roby | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kaden Elliss | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Carl Granderson | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Jordan | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrann Mathieu | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Onyemata | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- TB -2.5
- Closing total
- 44
- TB moneyline
- -138
- NO moneyline
- +124
Buccaneers closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 10.
Total closed 44; the game landed 30 — under by 14.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Mercedes-Benz Superdome
- Roof / surface
- dome · sportturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Shawn Hochuli
- Rest
- TB 7 days · NO 7 days
- Coaches
- Todd Bowles vs Dennis Allen
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.