2022 Week 2 · Mon, Sep 19, 2022 · New Era Field
Tennessee Titans
7
Buffalo BillsWinner
41
Buffalo Bills 41–7 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 5:27, BUF +7% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(5:27) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 5:27BUF +7% win prob(5:27) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q2 · 7:25BUF +6% win prob(7:25) 2-T.Bass 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
- Q1 · 12:36BUF +5% win prob(12:36) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles left end to TEN 44 for 10 yards (21-R.McCreary).
- Q1 · 12:59TEN +5% win prob(12:59) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 26-D.Singletary to BUF 46 for 1 yard (21-R.McCreary). BUF-60-M.Morse was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. M.Morse walks off.
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 9:16BUF Touchdown
(9:16) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 41-R.Gilliam for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 0 — BUF 7 - Q1 · 5:27TEN Touchdown
(5:27) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — BUF 7 - Q2 · 7:25BUF Field goal
(7:25) 2-T.Bass 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
Score after this play: TEN 7 — BUF 10 - Q2 · 1:07BUF Touchdown
(1:07) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — BUF 17 - Q3 · 10:26BUF Touchdown
(10:26) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 14-S.Diggs for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — BUF 24 - Q3 · 7:36BUF Field goal
(7:36) 2-T.Bass 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
Score after this play: TEN 7 — BUF 27 - Q3 · 5:38BUF Touchdown
(5:38) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — BUF 34 - Q3 · 3:58BUF Touchdown
(3:58) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right intended for 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine INTERCEPTED by 58-M.Milano at TEN 43. 58-M.Milano for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — BUF 41
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Titans | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 53 | 63 |
| Total yards | 187 | 416 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 3.5 | 6.6 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.38 | 0.23 (edge) |
| Success rate | 40% | 44% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 53% | 67% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.42 | 0.39 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.33 | -0.10 (edge) |
| Third downs | 5/12 (edge) | 5/13 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 0 | 7 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 12 | 19 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 3 | 0 (edge) |
Bills won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.23 expected points added per play vs -0.38.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · BUF
26/38, 317 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT
16.2 expected points added · +3.8% completion over expected
Passing · TEN
11/20, 117 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT
-11.5 expected points added · -11.2% completion over expected
Receiving · BUF
12/15 for 148 yds, 3 TD
38% of team targets · 14.6 expected points added
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | BUF 25 | 14 | 75 | 5:53 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | TEN | TEN 25 | 11 | 60 | 3:44 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 3 | BUF | BUF 25 | 8 | 31 | 4:05 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | TEN | TEN 31 | 10 | 26 | 6:24 | Punt | |
| 5 | BUF | BUF 18 | 6 | 46 | 2:34 | Field goal +3 | |
| 6 | TEN | TEN 25 | 5 | 0 | 2:10 | Punt | |
| 7 | BUF | BUF 23 | 9 | 82 | 4:10 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 8 | TEN | TEN 25 | 4 | 4 | 1:00 | End of half | |
| 9 | TEN | TEN 25 | 7 | 20 | 2:16 | Punt | |
| 10 | BUF | BUF 20 | 8 | 75 | 2:26 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 11 | TEN | TEN 24 | 5 | -1 | 1:04 | Punt | |
| 12 | BUF | BUF 44 | 4 | 9 | 0:52 | Punt | |
| 13 | BUF | TEN 20 | 4 | 1 | 0:50 | Field goal +3 | |
| 14 | TEN | TEN 25 | 3 | 3 | 0:45 | Interception | |
| 15 | BUF | BUF 49 | 5 | 37 | 1:13 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 16 | TEN | TEN 29 | 4 | 20 | 1:45 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 17 | TEN | TEN 25 | 8 | 18 | 3:35 | Punt | |
| 18 | BUF | BUF 4 | 4 | 3 | 0:35 | Punt | |
| 19 | TEN | TEN 36 | 7 | 29 | 3:55 | Fumble | |
| 20 | BUF | BUF 36 | 4 | 3 | 2:17 | Punt | |
| 21 | TEN | TEN 11 | 4 | 8 | 1:48 | Punt | |
| 22 | BUF | BUF 33 | 10 | 54 | 6:39 | End of game |
7 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bills gained 82 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Tennessee Titans
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tannehill | 11/20 | 117 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -11.5 |
| Malik Willis | 1/4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hassan Haskins | 9 | 37 | 4.1 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Derrick Henry | 13 | 25 | 1.9 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Malik Willis | 4 | 16 | 4.0 | 0 | -5.6 |
| Ryan Tannehill | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0.5 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treylon Burks | 4 | 6 | 47 | 0 | 26% | 4.8 |
| Robert Woods | 4 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 22% | -1.9 |
| Austin Hooper | 1 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 22% | -0.7 |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 17% | -9.9 |
| Kyle Philips | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4% | -0.8 |
| Hassan Haskins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -1.0 |
| Josh Gordon | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger McCreary | 11 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Byard | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Cunningham | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Caleb Farley | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Naquan Jones | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| DeMarcus Walker | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tre Avery | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joseph Jones | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Strong | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Amani Hooker | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
Buffalo Bills
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 26/38 | 317 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16.2 |
| Case Keenum | 0/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook | 11 | 53 | 4.8 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Devin Singletary | 6 | 19 | 3.2 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Zack Moss | 3 | 17 | 5.7 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Josh Allen | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 2.0 |
| Case Keenum | 3 | 2 | 0.7 | 0 | -5.4 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon Diggs | 12 | 15 | 148 | 3 | 38% | 14.6 |
| Jake Kumerow | 2 | 3 | 50 | 0 | 8% | 3.2 |
| Dawson Knox | 4 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 13% | 1.8 |
| Isaiah McKenzie | 2 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 8% | 1.8 |
| Reggie Gilliam | 2 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 8% | 1.1 |
| Jamison Crowder | 1 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 5% | 2.2 |
| Quintin Morris | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3% | 0.3 |
| Devin Singletary | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8% | -2.8 |
| James Cook | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.5 |
| Zack Moss | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -3.7 |
| Khalil Shakir | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5% | -1.9 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taron Johnson | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kaiir Elam | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Gregory Rousseau | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Benford | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Poyer | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Matt Milano | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Siran Neal | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tremaine Edmunds | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jaquan Johnson | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dane Jackson | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- BUF -10
- Closing total
- 47.5
- TEN moneyline
- +329
- BUF moneyline
- -395
Bills closed -10 and covered, winning by 34.
Total closed 47.5; the game landed 48 — over by 0.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- New Era Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · a turf
- Kickoff weather
- —
- Referee
- Shawn Smith
- Rest
- TEN 8 days · BUF 11 days
- Coaches
- Mike Vrabel vs Sean McDermott