2022 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 18, 2022 · Ford Field

Washington Commanders

Detroit LionsWinner

WAS -1 upsetO 48.5 ✓DomeCommanders closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Detroit Lions 36–27. Biggest swing: Q1 13:45, DET +13% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 13:45WAS 0 — DET 0DET ball · 4th & 24WAS 74%

(13:45) 3-J.Fox punts 60 yards to WAS 29, Center-47-S.Daly. 15-D.Milne to WAS 32 for 3 yards (27-B.Price).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 13:45DET +13% win prob(13:45) 3-J.Fox punts 60 yards to WAS 29, Center-47-S.Daly. 15-D.Milne to WAS 32 for 3 yards (27-B.Price).
Q1 · 10:18DET +12% win prob(10:18) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 14-A.St. Brown pushed ob at WAS 24 for 49 yards (22-D.Forrest).
Q1 · 14:21WAS +11% win prob(14:21) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff sacked at DET 11 for -12 yards (52-J.Davis).
Q3 · 2:58DET +10% win prob(2:58) 14-A.St. Brown right end to WAS 17 for 58 yards (25-B.St-Juste).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 8:10DET Field goal
(8:10) 19-A.Seibert 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Score after this play: WAS 0 — DET 3
Q1 · 3:22DET Safety
(3:22) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz sacked at WAS -4 for -9 yards (53-C.Harris). FUMBLES (53-C.Harris) [53-C.Harris], touched at WAS -7, ball out of bounds in End Zone, SAFETY.
Score after this play: WAS 0 — DET 5
Q1 · 1:45DET Touchdown
(1:45) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN [90-M.Sweat]. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 0 — DET 12
Q2 · 13:51DET Field goal
(13:51) 19-A.Seibert 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Score after this play: WAS 0 — DET 15
Q2 · 6:47DET Touchdown
(6:47) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 8-J.Reynolds for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 0 — DET 22
Q3 · 13:03WAS Touchdown
(13:03) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short left to 10-C.Samuel for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 7 — DET 22
Q3 · 3:04WAS Touchdown
(3:04) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep middle to 82-L.Thomas for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: WAS 15 — DET 22
Q3 · 1:38DET Touchdown
(1:38) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 32-D.Swift for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN [52-J.Davis]. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 15 — DET 29
Q4 · 10:44WAS Touchdown
(10:44) (Shotgun) 24-A.Gibson left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: WAS 21 — DET 29
Q4 · 7:05DET Touchdown
(7:05) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 14-A.St. Brown for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 21 — DET 36
Q4 · 2:00WAS Touchdown
(2:00) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short middle to 1-J.Dotson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: WAS 27 — DET 36

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Commanders	Lions
Offensive plays	74	59
Total yards	398	427 (edge)
Yards per play	5.4	7.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.05	0.06 (edge)
Success rate	41% (edge)	37%
Dropback rate	74%	63%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.09 (edge)	0.03
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.08	0.10 (edge)
Third downs	7/15 (edge)	4/13
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6	9 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	23 (edge)	17
Sacks taken	5	3 (edge)
Turnovers	1	0 (edge)

Lions won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.06 expected points added per play vs 0.05.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · WAS

Carson WentzQB

30/46, 337 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

2.4 expected points added · +0.5% completion over expected

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

20/34, 256 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT

1.2 expected points added · -6.6% completion over expected

Rushing · DET

D'Andre SwiftRB

5 att, 56 yds, 0 TD

0.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DET

Jamaal WilliamsRB

12 att, 53 yds, 0 TD

-0.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DET

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR

9/12 for 116 yds, 2 TD

35% of team targets · 3.5 expected points added

Receiving · WAS

Curtis SamuelWR

7/9 for 78 yds, 1 TD

20% of team targets · 5.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DET	DET 25	5	-9	1:25	Punt
2	WAS	WAS 32	4	6	2:03	Punt
3	DET	DET 20	7	63	3:26	Field goal +3
4	WAS	WAS 16	5	13	1:44	Punt
5	DET	DET 43	5	54	2:20	Turnover on downs
6	WAS	WAS 3	2	-3	0:45	Safety
7	DET	WAS 31	6	31	1:37	Touchdown +7
8	WAS	WAS 16	5	4	1:39	Punt
9	DET	DET 42	5	28	1:14	Field goal +3
10	WAS	WAS 25	5	7	1:37	Punt
11	DET	DET 23	10	77	5:27	Touchdown +7
12	WAS	WAS 27	8	15	2:31	Punt
13	DET	DET 18	4	6	1:29	Punt
14	WAS	WAS 20	7	14	2:11	Punt
15	DET	DET 20	4	0	0:27	Punt
16	WAS	WAS 46	1	0	0:05	End of half
17	WAS	WAS 36	7	64	2:02	Touchdown +7
18	DET	DET 25	5	4	1:22	Punt
19	WAS	WAS 27	3	26	1:30	Interception
20	DET	DET 20	6	21	2:48	Punt
21	WAS	WAS 6	8	96	4:20	Touchdown +8
22	DET	DET 25	6	75	1:30	Touchdown +7
23	WAS	WAS 17	14	83	5:49	Touchdown +6
24	DET	DET 30	8	70	3:39	Touchdown +7
25	WAS	WAS 24	16	76	5:04	Touchdown +6
26	DET	WAS 40	5	7	0:21	Turnover on downs
27	WAS	WAS 33	4	-3	0:43	Turnover on downs
28	DET	WAS 30	2	0	0:52	End of game

10 of 28 drives ended in points. Longest march: Commanders gained 96 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Washington Commanders

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Carson Wentz	30/46	337	3	1	5	2.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Antonio Gibson	14	28	2.0	1	-5.5
Carson Wentz	2	23	11.5	0	2.8
Curtis Samuel	1	21	21.0	0	1.6
J.D. McKissic	3	9	3.0	0	-0.1
Terry McLaurin	1	7	7.0	0	2.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Curtis Samuel	7	9	78	1	20%	5.3
Terry McLaurin	4	8	75	0	18%	1.7
Jahan Dotson	4	5	59	1	11%	6.5
J.D. McKissic	7	7	54	0	16%	3.0
Logan Thomas	3	5	37	1	11%	-1.8
John Bates	2	3	15	0	7%	0.1
Antonio Gibson	2	4	13	0	9%	0.2
Dax Milne	1	1	6	0	2%	-0.1
Cam Sims	0	2	0	0	5%	-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Cole Holcomb	3	7	0.0	0
Darrick Forrest	7	2	0.0	0
Bobby McCain	3	3	0.0	0
Jamin Davis	3	1	1.0	0
Benjamin St-Juste	3	1	0.0	1
Kendall Fuller	3	1	0.0	3
Daron Payne	1	3	1.0	0
William Jackson	2	0	0.0	1
Jeremy Reaves	2	0	0.0	0
Logan Thomas	1	0	0.0	0

Detroit Lions

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	20/34	256	4	0	3	1.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Amon-Ra St. Brown	2	68	34.0	3.0
D'Andre Swift	5	56	11.2	0.2
Jamaal Williams	12	53	4.4	-0.8
Craig Reynolds	3	16	5.3	-0.1
Jared Goff	2	-2	-1.0	-2.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Amon-Ra St. Brown	9	12	116	2	35%	3.5
Josh Reynolds	3	3	38	1	9%	3.5
D'Andre Swift	2	5	31	1	15%	3.2
T.J. Hockenson	3	7	26	0	21%	-2.3
Brock Wright	1	1	25	0	3%	2.1
Craig Reynolds	1	1	13	0	3%	1.0
Jamaal Williams	1	1	7	0	3%	0.2
D.J. Chark	0	4	0	0	12%	-5.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Mike Hughes	5	3	0.0	0	0
Will Harris	5	3	0.0	1	1
Aidan Hutchinson	4	1	3.0	0	0
Alex Anzalone	3	2	0.0	0	1
DeShon Elliott	4	1	0.0	0	0
Tracy Walker III	1	4	0.0	0	0
Isaiah Buggs	2	2	0.0	0	0
Jeff Okudah	4	0	0.0	0	0
Malcolm Rodriguez	2	2	0.0	0	0
Chris Board	3	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: WAS -1
Closing total: 48.5
WAS moneyline: -114
DET moneyline: +103

Commanders closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 48.5; the game landed 63 — over by 14.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Ford Field
Roof / surface: dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Bill Vinovich
Rest: WAS 7 days · DET 7 days
Coaches: Ron Rivera vs Dan Campbell