2022 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 25, 2022 · MetLife Stadium

Cincinnati BengalsWinner

New York Jets

CIN -6.5 ✓U 46 ✓Bengals closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 15.

Cincinnati Bengals 27–12. Biggest swing: Q1 0:05, NYJ +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 0:05CIN 13 — NYJ 6CIN ball · 3rd & 7CIN 70%

(:05) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 83-T.Boyd for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN [29-L.Joyner].

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 0:05NYJ +14% win prob(:05) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 83-T.Boyd for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN [29-L.Joyner].
Q1 · 3:45NYJ +7% win prob(3:45) 19-J.Flacco pass deep right to 8-E.Moore ran ob at CIN 27 for 16 yards (22-C.Awuzie).
Q1 · 11:20NYJ +6% win prob(11:20) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 83-T.Boyd to NYJ 4 for 22 yards (57-C.Mosley; 29-L.Joyner).
Q1 · 13:47NYJ +6% win prob(13:47) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep left to 85-T.Higgins to NYJ 42 for 19 yards (4-D.Reed).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 9:45CIN Touchdown
(9:45) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 34-S.Perine for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 7 — NYJ 0
Q1 · 5:08NYJ Field goal
(5:08) 6-G.Zuerlein 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.
Score after this play: CIN 7 — NYJ 3
Q1 · 1:52NYJ Field goal
(1:52) 6-G.Zuerlein 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.
Score after this play: CIN 7 — NYJ 6
Q1 · 0:05CIN Touchdown
(:05) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 83-T.Boyd for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN [29-L.Joyner]. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 14 — NYJ 6
Q2 · 7:50CIN Field goal
(7:50) 2-E.McPherson 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-K.Huber.
Score after this play: CIN 17 — NYJ 6
Q2 · 5:31CIN Field goal
(5:31) 2-E.McPherson 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-K.Huber.
Score after this play: CIN 20 — NYJ 6
Q2 · 0:03NYJ Field goal
(:03) 6-G.Zuerlein 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann. Penalty on CIN-22-C.Awuzie, Defensive Offside, declined.
Score after this play: CIN 20 — NYJ 9
Q3 · 12:05CIN Touchdown
(12:05) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 1-J.Chase for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN [58-C.Lawson]. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 27 — NYJ 9
Q3 · 0:45NYJ Field goal
(:45) 6-G.Zuerlein 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.
Score after this play: CIN 27 — NYJ 12

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Bengals	Jets
Offensive plays	64	76
Total yards	331 (edge)	328
Yards per play	5.2 (edge)	4.3
Expected points added / play	0.06 (edge)	-0.32
Success rate	45% (edge)	37%
Dropback rate	61%	74%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.31 (edge)	-0.42
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.33	-0.05 (edge)
Third downs	7/14 (edge)	7/18
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	4 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	18 (edge)	17
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	4
Turnovers	1 (edge)	4

Bengals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.06 expected points added per play vs -0.32.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYJ

Joe FlaccoQB

28/52, 285 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-23.4 expected points added · -4.3% completion over expected

Passing · CIN

Joe BurrowQB

23/36, 275 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

16.4 expected points added · +4.0% completion over expected

Rushing · CIN

Samaje PerineRB

9 att, 47 yds, 0 TD

1.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYJ

Breece HallRB

8 att, 39 yds, 0 TD

-0.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CIN

Tyler BoydWR

4/5 for 105 yds, 1 TD

14% of team targets · 9.8 expected points added

Receiving · CIN

Tee HigginsWR

5/7 for 93 yds, 0 TD

20% of team targets · 7.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CIN	CIN 25	13	90	5:25	Touchdown +7
2	NYJ	NYJ 25	10	38	4:31	Field goal +3
3	CIN	CIN 25	4	16	1:19	Fumble
4	NYJ	CIN 43	5	21	1:56	Field goal +3
5	CIN	CIN 25	7	60	1:49	Touchdown +7
6	NYJ	NYJ 15	10	28	4:47	Punt
7	CIN	CIN 25	7	56	2:25	Field goal +3
8	NYJ	NYJ 25	5	11	1:22	Interception
9	CIN	NYJ 25	4	5	0:58	Field goal +3
10	NYJ	NYJ 25	5	2	0:55	Punt
11	CIN	CIN 34	4	1	1:33	Punt
12	NYJ	NYJ 19	7	27	2:08	Punt
13	CIN	CIN 12	4	-7	0:22	Punt
14	NYJ	CIN 47	6	13	0:30	Field goal +3
15	NYJ	NYJ 25	4	-2	0:52	Fumble
16	CIN	NYJ 24	5	24	2:06	Touchdown +7
17	NYJ	NYJ 25	7	29	1:46	Turnover on downs
18	CIN	CIN 41	11	39	6:03	Turnover on downs
19	NYJ	NYJ 20	12	55	3:32	Field goal +3
20	CIN	CIN 25	5	-5	1:41	Punt
21	NYJ	NYJ 36	11	54	3:57	Fumble
22	CIN	CIN 25	13	52	7:48	Missed field goal
23	NYJ	NYJ 31	7	52	1:20	Interception
24	CIN	CIN 4	2	0	0:55	End of game

9 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bengals gained 90 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Joe Burrow	23/36	275	3	0	2	16.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Samaje Perine	9	47	5.2	1.4
Joe Mixon	12	24	2.0	-3.5
Joe Burrow	5	0	0.0	-0.9
Ja'Marr Chase	2	-2	-1.0	-5.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tyler Boyd	4	5	105	1	14%	9.8
Tee Higgins	5	7	93	0	20%	7.2
Ja'Marr Chase	6	10	29	1	29%	-4.8
Samaje Perine	2	2	14	1	6%	3.3
Joe Mixon	3	7	14	0	20%	-1.4
Mitchell Wilcox	1	1	9	0	3%	0.5
Hayden Hurst	1	2	7	0	6%	0.5
Chris Evans	1	1	4	0	3%	-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Akeem Davis-Gaither	8	4	0.0	0	0
Logan Wilson	3	4	0.0	1	1
Mike Hilton	4	3	0.0	0	1
Vonn Bell	6	0	0.0	0	0
Chidobe Awuzie	5	0	0.0	0	3
Trey Hendrickson	2	2	2.5	0	0
B.J. Hill	1	3	0.5	0	1
Jessie Bates	2	1	0.0	1	1
Sam Hubbard	1	1	0.0	0	0
Cam Sample	1	1	1.0	0	0

New York Jets

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Joe Flacco	28/52	285	0	2	4	-23.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Breece Hall	8	39	4.9	-0.0
Michael Carter	11	39	3.5	-0.1
Braxton Berrios	1	-2	-2.0	-0.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Tyler Conklin	8	8	84	17%	6.1
Garrett Wilson	6	11	60	23%	-0.8
Breece Hall	6	11	53	23%	-3.1
Elijah Moore	4	9	49	19%	-4.1
Corey Davis	2	5	27	10%	-2.5
Michael Carter	1	2	7	4%	-1.6
C.J. Uzomah	1	1	5	2%	-0.3
Braxton Berrios	0	1	0	2%	-4.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
C.J. Mosley	5	5	0.0	0
Lamarcus Joyner	2	5	0.0	0
Quincy Williams	5	1	0.0	0
Sheldon Rankins	6	0	1.0	0
Jordan Whitehead	1	4	0.0	1
Ahmad Gardner	2	2	0.0	2
D.J. Reed	3	0	0.0	1
Quinnen Williams	2	1	1.0	0
Micheal Clemons	2	1	0.0	0
Jermaine Johnson	2	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CIN -6.5
Closing total: 46
CIN moneyline: -247
NYJ moneyline: +220

Bengals closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 15.

Total closed 46; the game landed 39 — under by 7.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: —
Referee: Jerome Boger
Rest: CIN 7 days · NYJ 7 days
Coaches: Zac Taylor vs Robert Saleh