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2022 Week 3 · Mon, Sep 26, 2022 · MetLife Stadium

Dallas CowboysWinner

23

New York Giants

16

NYG -1 upsetO 38.5 ✓

Dallas Cowboys 23–16. Biggest swing: Q4 10:27, NYG +11% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYG ↑DAL ↓
Q4 · 10:27DAL 13 — NYG 13DAL ball · 4th & 4DAL 52%

(10:27) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to NYG 37 for 4 yards (24-D.Belton).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 10:27NYG +11% win prob(10:27) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to NYG 37 for 4 yards (24-D.Belton).
  2. Q4 · 9:21NYG +11% win prob(9:21) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to NYG 1 for 26 yards (37-F.Moreau, 20-J.Love).
  3. Q3 · 2:59NYG +10% win prob(2:59) 10-C.Rush pass short right to 89-P.Hendershot to NYG 18 for 29 yards (29-X.McKinney).
  4. Q3 · 12:12NYG +10% win prob(12:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-D.Jones scrambles up the middle to DAL 38 for 17 yards (2-J.Lewis).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 2:12DAL Field goal

    (2:12) 19-B.Maher 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 3 — NYG 0
  2. Q2 · 11:21NYG Field goal

    (11:21) 9-G.Gano 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: DAL 3 — NYG 3
  3. Q2 · 9:13DAL Field goal

    (9:13) 19-B.Maher 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 6 — NYG 3
  4. Q3 · 9:06NYG Field goal

    (9:06) 9-G.Gano 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: DAL 6 — NYG 6
  5. Q3 · 5:41NYG Touchdown

    (5:41) (No Huddle) 26-S.Barkley right guard for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 6 — NYG 13
  6. Q3 · 0:32DAL Touchdown

    (:32) 21-E.Elliott right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 13 — NYG 13
  7. Q4 · 8:34DAL Touchdown

    (8:34) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass short left to 88-C.Lamb for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 20 — NYG 13
  8. Q4 · 6:02DAL Field goal

    (6:02) 19-B.Maher 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 23 — NYG 13
  9. Q4 · 3:42NYG Field goal

    (3:42) 9-G.Gano 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: DAL 23 — NYG 16

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCowboysGiants
Offensive plays5967
Total yards393 (edge)336
Yards per play6.7 (edge)5.0
Expected points added / play0.18 (edge)-0.07
Success rate49% (edge)45%
Dropback rate53%73%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.11 (edge)-0.14
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.26 (edge)0.12
Third downs5/13 (edge)3/11
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)78 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps21 (edge)18
Sacks taken0 (edge)5
Turnovers0 (edge)1

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.18 expected points added per play vs -0.07.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Cooper RushQB

21/31, 215 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

3.4 expected points added · +4.3% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

20/37, 196 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-11.7 expected points added · -6.6% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

13 att, 105 yds, 0 TD

3.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

14 att, 81 yds, 1 TD

-0.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

8/12 for 87 yds, 1 TD

40% of team targets · 4.3 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

Noah BrownWR

5/7 for 54 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · 1.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 257353:07Punt
2NYGNYG 1211544:13Missed field goal
3DALDAL 3710555:31Field goal +3
4NYGNYG 2515515:52Field goal +3
5DALDAL 376532:08Field goal +3
6NYGNYG 25671:46Punt
7DALDAL 2310524:53Punt
8NYGNYG 207432:22Turnover on downs
9DALDAL 472120:08Missed field goal
10NYGNYG 2511425:58Field goal +3
11DALDAL 255-21:02Punt
12NYGNYG 237772:29Touchdown +7
13DALDAL 2511755:04Touchdown +7
14NYGNYG 256100:45Punt
15DALDAL 1112836:12Touchdown +7
16NYGNYG 25520:58Punt
17DALNYG 35491:34Field goal +3
18NYGNYG 2510382:21Field goal +3
19DALDAL 257211:52Punt
20NYGNYG 93120:34Interception
21DALNYG 29201:11End of game

9 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 83 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Cooper Rush21/312151003.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tony Pollard131058.103.0
Ezekiel Elliott15734.914.4
Cooper Rush2-2-1.00-1.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
CeeDee Lamb81287140%4.3
Noah Brown5754023%1.5
Peyton Hendershot3343010%1.4
Jake Ferguson2313010%-1.6
Simi Fehoko111203%0.8
Jalen Tolbert12407%-1.2
Ezekiel Elliott11203%-0.2
Tony Pollard01003%-1.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Donovan Wilson921.001
Jourdan Lewis700.000
Anthony Brown700.001
Demarcus Lawrence603.000
Malik Hooker300.000
Israel Mukuamu110.000
Osa Odighizuwa200.000
Chauncey Golston110.000
Sam Williams200.000
Dorance Armstrong101.000

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Daniel Jones20/37196015-11.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Saquon Barkley14815.81-0.1
Daniel Jones9798.806.7
Richie James144.00-0.0
Matt Breida133.000.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Sterling Shepard51049031%-4.3
Saquon Barkley4445013%2.1
Daniel Bellinger4540016%1.8
Richie James4536016%0.2
David Sills2420013%-0.1
Chris Myarick11603%1.4
Kenny Golladay03009%-2.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Julian Love2100.000
Dexter Lawrence140.000
Xavier McKinney410.001
Jihad Ward140.001
Adoree' Jackson410.000
Tae Crowder220.000
Cordale Flott210.000
Justin Ellis120.000
Fabian Moreau300.000
Micah McFadden110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NYG -1
Closing total
38.5
DAL moneyline
+109
NYG moneyline
-120

Giants closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 38.5; the game landed 39 — over by 0.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
—
Referee
Land Clark
Rest
DAL 8 days · NYG 8 days
Coaches
Mike McCarthy vs Brian Daboll

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.