2022 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 25, 2022 · U.S. Bank Stadium
Detroit Lions
24
Minnesota VikingsWinner
28
Minnesota Vikings 28–24. Biggest swing: Q4 0:50, MIN +29% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:50) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 17-K.Osborn for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN [54-A.McNeill].
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 0:50MIN +29% win prob(:50) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 17-K.Osborn for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN [54-A.McNeill].
- Q4 · 1:14DET +27% win prob(1:14) 19-A.Seibert 54 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.
- Q4 · 1:06MIN +26% win prob(1:06) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 17-K.Osborn to DET 28 for 28 yards (23-M.Hughes).
- Q3 · 4:51DET +13% win prob(4:51) 1-G.Joseph 56 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 6:49DET Touchdown
(6:49) 30-Ja.Williams left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 7 — MIN 0 - Q2 · 13:42DET Touchdown
(13:42) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 88-T.Hockenson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 14 — MIN 0 - Q2 · 8:55MIN Touchdown
(8:55) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 19-A.Thielen for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 14 — MIN 7 - Q2 · 1:18MIN Touchdown
(1:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Cook left end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 14 — MIN 14 - Q3 · 8:40DET Field goal
(8:40) 19-A.Seibert 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Score after this play: DET 17 — MIN 14 - Q3 · 2:14DET Touchdown
(2:14) 67-M.Nelson reported in as eligible. 30-Ja.Williams right end for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DET-30-Ja.Williams, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 24 — MIN 14 - Q4 · 7:55MIN Touchdown
(7:55) 2-A.Mattison left guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 24 — MIN 21 - Q4 · 0:50MIN Touchdown
(:50) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 17-K.Osborn for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN [54-A.McNeill]. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 24 — MIN 28
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Lions | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 75 | 65 |
| Total yards | 416 (edge) | 374 |
| Yards per play | 5.5 | 5.8 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.04 (edge) | -0.02 |
| Success rate | 43% | 54% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 56% | 63% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.15 (edge) | -0.02 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.10 | -0.01 (edge) |
| Third downs | 3/16 | 2/9 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 8 (edge) | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 20 | 25 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 0 (edge) | 1 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · DET
25/41, 277 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
7.6 expected points added · -1.3% completion over expected
Passing · MIN
24/41, 260 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
-1.4 expected points added · -4.9% completion over expected
Receiving · DET
6/9 for 73 yds, 0 TD
24% of team targets · 7.1 expected points added
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | DET 20 | 8 | 50 | 3:57 | Missed field goal | |
| 2 | MIN | MIN 38 | 7 | 24 | 1:43 | Missed field goal | |
| 3 | DET | DET 46 | 7 | 54 | 2:36 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 4 | MIN | MIN 19 | 7 | 16 | 2:38 | Punt | |
| 5 | DET | DET 30 | 13 | 70 | 5:28 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 6 | MIN | MIN 20 | 13 | 72 | 4:48 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 7 | DET | DET 14 | 9 | 35 | 3:52 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | MIN | DET 49 | 10 | 49 | 3:46 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 9 | DET | DET 25 | 6 | 17 | 0:41 | Punt | |
| 10 | MIN | MIN 8 | 4 | 27 | 0:31 | End of half | |
| 11 | MIN | MIN 26 | 5 | 2 | 1:02 | Punt | |
| 12 | DET | DET 32 | 10 | 46 | 5:22 | Field goal +3 | |
| 13 | MIN | MIN 23 | 10 | 39 | 3:50 | Missed field goal | |
| 14 | DET | DET 46 | 6 | 54 | 2:38 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 15 | MIN | MIN 36 | 4 | 18 | 1:20 | Fumble | |
| 16 | DET | DET 42 | 4 | 3 | 0:58 | Punt | |
| 17 | MIN | MIN 26 | 4 | 7 | 1:57 | Punt | |
| 18 | DET | DET 9 | 5 | 13 | 2:14 | Punt | |
| 19 | MIN | MIN 43 | 7 | 47 | 2:49 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 20 | DET | DET 22 | 11 | 43 | 4:20 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | MIN | MIN 30 | 5 | 17 | 0:58 | Turnover on downs | |
| 22 | DET | MIN 47 | 5 | 6 | 1:22 | Missed field goal | |
| 23 | MIN | MIN 44 | 4 | 56 | 0:25 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 24 | DET | DET 25 | 6 | 25 | 0:36 | Interception | |
| 25 | MIN | MIN 5 | 1 | 0 | 0:09 | End of game |
8 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 72 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Detroit Lions
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff | 25/41 | 277 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamaal Williams | 20 | 87 | 4.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
| D'Andre Swift | 7 | 31 | 4.4 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Craig Reynolds | 6 | 13 | 2.2 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Jared Goff | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | -1.3 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Reynolds | 6 | 10 | 96 | 0 | 27% | 6.5 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 6 | 9 | 73 | 0 | 24% | 7.1 |
| D.J. Chark | 3 | 6 | 46 | 0 | 16% | 0.4 |
| Jamaal Williams | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 5% | 0.8 |
| T.J. Hockenson | 3 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 11% | -2.5 |
| D'Andre Swift | 3 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 11% | -1.7 |
| Craig Reynolds | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3% | -1.0 |
| Kalif Raymond | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Anzalone | 7 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Juju Hughes | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Amani Oruwariye | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| DeShon Elliott | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Board | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Hughes | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malcolm Rodriguez | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Buggs | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeff Okudah | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| D.J. Chark | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Minnesota Vikings
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins | 24/41 | 260 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1.4 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalvin Cook | 17 | 96 | 5.6 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Alexander Mattison | 7 | 28 | 4.0 | 1 | 0.4 |
| Kirk Cousins | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Osborn | 5 | 8 | 73 | 1 | 22% | 3.1 |
| Adam Thielen | 6 | 8 | 61 | 1 | 22% | 3.5 |
| Irv Smith | 2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 16% | -2.4 |
| Ben Ellefson | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 5% | 1.5 |
| Johnny Mundt | 2 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 5% | 1.4 |
| Alexander Mattison | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 3% | 0.3 |
| C.J. Ham | 2 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 8% | -0.1 |
| Justin Jefferson | 3 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 16% | -3.4 |
| Jalen Reagor | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Kendricks | 5 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Josh Metellus | 8 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jordan Hicks | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Cameron Dantzler | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Camryn Bynum | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Harrison Phillips | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za'Darius Smith | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Peterson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jonathan Bullard | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Ellefson | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- MIN -6.5
- Closing total
- 52
- DET moneyline
- +232
- MIN moneyline
- -266
Vikings closed -6.5, won by 4 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 52 and landed exactly there — a push.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- U.S. Bank Stadium
- Roof / surface
- dome · sportturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- John Hussey
- Rest
- DET 7 days · MIN 6 days
- Coaches
- Dan Campbell vs Kevin O'Connell
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.