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2022 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 25, 2022 · Nissan Stadium
22
24
Tennessee Titans 24–22 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 1:14, LV +14% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 4-D.Carr pass to 83-D.Waller is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.
How the points landed
(7:25) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 87-G.Swaim for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 0 — TEN 7(2:22) 2-D.Carlson 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: LV 3 — TEN 7(14:29) (No Huddle) 22-D.Henry up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 3 — TEN 14(9:49) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 10 — TEN 14(4:57) (No Huddle) 17-R.Tannehill up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 10 — TEN 21(:04) 14-R.Bullock 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Score after this play: LV 10 — TEN 24(7:01) 2-D.Carlson 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: LV 13 — TEN 24(3:33) 2-D.Carlson 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: LV 16 — TEN 24(1:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 10-M.Hollins for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: LV 22 — TEN 24Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Raiders | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 66 | 53 |
| Total yards | 396 (edge) | 363 |
| Yards per play | 6.0 | 6.8 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.10 | 0.19 (edge) |
| Success rate | 42% | 51% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 74% | 53% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.15 | 0.44 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.05 (edge) | -0.09 |
| Third downs | 1/12 | 5/10 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 9 | 9 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 22 (edge) | 19 |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Titans won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.19 expected points added per play vs 0.10.
Who moved the needle
Passing · LV
26/44, 303 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
5.4 expected points added · +6.1% completion over expected
Passing · TEN
19/27, 264 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
12.2 expected points added · +6.3% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEN | TEN 25 | 14 | 85 | 7:38 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | LV | LV 25 | 10 | 36 | 5:03 | Field goal +3 | |
| 3 | TEN | TEN 25 | 8 | 75 | 2:54 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 4 | LV | LV 25 | 9 | 79 | 4:41 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 5 | TEN | TEN 21 | 10 | 79 | 4:49 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 6 | LV | LV 24 | 7 | 16 | 2:32 | Punt | |
| 7 | TEN | TEN 13 | 5 | 17 | 1:21 | Punt | |
| 8 | LV | LV 13 | 4 | -1 | 0:41 | Punt | |
| 9 | TEN | LV 49 | 3 | 19 | 0:21 | Field goal +3 | |
| 10 | LV | LV 25 | 15 | 66 | 8:03 | Field goal +3 | |
| 11 | TEN | TEN 25 | 4 | 9 | 2:10 | Interception | |
| 12 | LV | TEN 31 | 4 | 5 | 1:51 | Punt | |
| 13 | TEN | TEN 2 | 9 | 54 | 5:02 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | LV | LV 44 | 6 | 36 | 3:32 | Interception | |
| 15 | TEN | TEN 20 | 7 | 26 | 3:14 | Punt | |
| 16 | LV | LV 20 | 7 | 78 | 2:39 | Field goal +3 | |
| 17 | TEN | TEN 25 | 5 | -1 | 0:32 | Punt | |
| 18 | LV | LV 19 | 15 | 81 | 1:43 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 19 | TEN | LV 42 | 3 | 0 | 1:14 | End of game |
9 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Titans gained 85 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Carr | 26/44 | 303 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5.4 |
| Mack Hollins | 1/1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 13 | 66 | 5.1 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Derek Carr | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | 2.1 |
| Brandon Bolden | 3 | 17 | 5.7 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Davante Adams | 1 | -4 | -4.0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Hollins | 8 | 11 | 158 | 1 | 27% | 14.7 |
| Foster Moreau | 3 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 10% | 3.1 |
| Davante Adams | 5 | 10 | 36 | 1 | 24% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxx Crosby | 3 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Divine Deablo | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Roderic Teamer | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rock Ya-Sin |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tannehill | 19/27 | 264 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12.2 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 20 | 85 | 4.3 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Raiders closed -1.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 45.5; the game landed 46 — over by 0.5.
Conditions and crew
| -2.8 |
| Josh Jacobs | 5 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 12% | 0.7 |
| Darren Waller | 3 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 12% | -5.7 |
| Keelan Cole | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 10% | -0.7 |
| Brandon Bolden | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5% | -1.6 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Johnathan Abram | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayon Brown | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nate Hobbs | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Duron Harmon | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrew Billings | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Clelin Ferrell | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -3.2 |
| Dontrell Hilliard | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Treylon Burks | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Ryan Tannehill | 4 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Woods | 4 | 9 | 85 | 0 | 35% | 0.3 |
| Derrick Henry | 5 | 6 | 58 | 0 | 23% | 3.9 |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | 3 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 12% | 4.6 |
| Dontrell Hilliard | 1 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 4% | 3.0 |
| Austin Hooper | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 8% | 1.6 |
| Geoff Swaim | 3 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 12% | 1.5 |
| Treylon Burks | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 8% | -1.1 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger McCreary | 7 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| David Long Jr. | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terrance Mitchell | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Amani Hooker | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kristian Fulton | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kevin Byard | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Zach Cunningham | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| DeMarcus Walker | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeffery Simmons | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dylan Cole | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
