2022 Week 3 · Thu, Sep 22, 2022 · FirstEnergy Stadium

Pittsburgh Steelers

Cleveland BrownsWinner

CLE -4.5 ✓O 38 ✓Browns closed -4.5 and covered, winning by 12.

Cleveland Browns 29–17. Biggest swing: Q2 0:34, PIT +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 0:34PIT 14 — CLE 13CLE ball · 4th & 2CLE 60%

(:34) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 2-A.Cooper to PIT 28 for 3 yards (55-D.Bush). The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete s

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 0:34PIT +14% win prob(:34) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 2-A.Cooper to PIT 28 for 3 yards (55-D.Bush). The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete short middle to 2-A.Cooper.
Q1 · 6:00PIT +10% win prob(6:00) 9-C.Boswell 49 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin.
Q1 · 9:27PIT +8% win prob(9:27) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett sacked at CLE 23 for -8 yards (sack split by 99-L.Ogunjobi and 56-A.Highsmith).
Q3 · 6:39PIT +8% win prob(6:39) 68-M.Dunn reported in as eligible. 7-J.Brissett scrambles right end ran ob at PIT 31 for 5 yards (50-M.Reed). PENALTY on CLE-68-M.Dunn, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at PIT 36 - No Play.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 2:57CLE Touchdown
(2:57) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 2-A.Cooper for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PIT 0 — CLE 7
Q2 · 15:00PIT Touchdown
(15:00) (Shotgun) 22-N.Harris left tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CLE-21-D.Ward, Defensive Offside, declined. (kick good)
Score after this play: PIT 7 — CLE 7
Q2 · 9:01CLE Touchdown
(9:01) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short right to 85-D.Njoku for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: PIT 7 — CLE 13
Q2 · 3:55PIT Touchdown
(3:55) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PIT 14 — CLE 13
Q3 · 2:34CLE Field goal
(2:34) 3-C.York 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: PIT 14 — CLE 16
Q4 · 9:33CLE Touchdown
(9:33) 68-M.Dunn and 72-H.Froholdt reported in as eligible. 24-N.Chubb right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PIT 14 — CLE 23
Q4 · 1:51PIT Field goal
(1:51) 9-C.Boswell 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin.
Score after this play: PIT 17 — CLE 23
Q4 · 0:09CLE Touchdown
(:09) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short left to 18-D.Johnson to PIT 12 for 8 yards. Lateral to 11-C.Claypool to PIT 6 for -6 yards. Lateral to 22-N.Harris to PIT 2 for -4 yards. FUMBLES, touched at PIT 2, RECOVERED by CLE-21-D.Ward at PIT -1. TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: PIT 17 — CLE 29

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Steelers	Browns
Offensive plays	55	71
Total yards	308	376 (edge)
Yards per play	5.6 (edge)	5.3
Expected points added / play	-0.04	0.11 (edge)
Success rate	49% (edge)	48%
Dropback rate	60%	46%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.25	0.04 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.28 (edge)	0.17
Third downs	1/9	6/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	7 (edge)	6
First downs gained on snaps	19	22 (edge)
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	2
Turnovers	1	0 (edge)

Browns won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.11 expected points added per play vs -0.04.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CLE

Jacoby BrissettQB

21/31, 220 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

1.5 expected points added · -0.8% completion over expected

Passing · PIT

Mitchell TrubiskyQB

20/32, 207 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-1.4 expected points added · +0.1% completion over expected

Rushing · CLE

Nick ChubbRB

23 att, 113 yds, 1 TD

1.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PIT

Najee HarrisRB

15 att, 56 yds, 1 TD

1.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CLE

Amari CooperWR

7/11 for 101 yds, 1 TD

35% of team targets · 3.0 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

David NjokuTE

9/10 for 89 yds, 1 TD

32% of team targets · 6.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CLE	CLE 25	7	14	2:00	Punt
2	PIT	PIT 20	5	18	1:56	Punt
3	CLE	CLE 23	4	-5	2:27	Punt
4	PIT	CLE 48	5	16	2:42	Missed field goal
5	CLE	CLE 40	8	60	3:01	Touchdown +7
6	PIT	PIT 25	9	75	2:59	Touchdown +7
7	CLE	CLE 21	14	79	5:57	Touchdown +6
8	PIT	PIT 25	12	68	5:08	Touchdown +7
9	CLE	CLE 12	10	57	3:20	Turnover on downs
10	PIT	PIT 32	4	20	0:30	End of half
11	PIT	PIT 16	12	43	5:27	Punt
12	CLE	CLE 14	14	80	7:02	Field goal +3
13	PIT	PIT 25	5	7	1:27	Punt
14	CLE	CLE 20	12	80	6:35	Touchdown +7
15	PIT	PIT 25	5	0	0:57	Punt
16	CLE	CLE 39	6	9	3:03	Punt
17	PIT	PIT 6	4	4	1:11	Punt
18	CLE	CLE 49	4	-7	1:05	Punt
19	PIT	PIT 20	7	59	1:25	Field goal +3
20	CLE	PIT 46	5	9	1:39	Punt
21	PIT	PIT 4	1	-2	0:09	Defensive touchdown

7 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 80 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a field goal.

Full stat lines

Box score

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Mitchell Trubisky	20/32	207	0	0	1	-1.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Najee Harris	15	56	3.7	1	1.0
Jaylen Warren	4	30	7.5	0	2.9
Chase Claypool	1	11	11.0	0	1.2
Mitchell Trubisky	2	7	3.5	1	1.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Diontae Johnson	8	11	84	34%	-6.0
Pat Freiermuth	2	4	41	13%	0.1
George Pickens	3	7	39	22%	-0.3
Chase Claypool	3	6	35	19%	0.3
Najee Harris	3	3	5	9%	-0.9
Jaylen Warren	1	1	3	3%	-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Myles Jack	5	5	0.0	0
Devin Bush	4	5	0.0	0
Alex Highsmith	6	2	1.5	0
Cameron Heyward	3	3	0.0	0
Cameron Sutton	5	0	0.0	1
Ahkello Witherspoon	3	1	0.0	1
Chris Wormley	1	3	0.0	0
Minkah Fitzpatrick	2	2	0.0	0
Levi Wallace	2	1	0.0	1
Jamir Jones	2	0	0.0	0

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jacoby Brissett	21/31	220	2	0	2	1.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Nick Chubb	23	113	4.9	1	1.5
Kareem Hunt	12	47	3.9	0	1.7
Jacoby Brissett	3	11	3.7	0	3.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Amari Cooper	7	11	101	1	35%	3.0
David Njoku	9	10	89	1	32%	6.4
Kareem Hunt	3	4	14	0	13%	-1.8
Donovan Peoples-Jones	1	3	10	0	10%	-0.5
David Bell	1	1	6	0	3%	-0.1
Nick Chubb	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.8
Miller Forristall	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jacob Phillips	1	5	1.0	1
Anthony Walker	2	4	0.0	0
Denzel Ward	5	0	0.0	2
Grant Delpit	2	2	0.0	0
John Johnson	4	0	0.0	1
Isaac Rochell	4	0	0.0	0
Martin Emerson	3	0	0.0	0
Sione Takitaki	2	1	0.0	0
Tony Fields	1	1	0.0	0
Jordan Elliott	1	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CLE -4.5
Closing total: 38
PIT moneyline: +183
CLE moneyline: -206

Browns closed -4.5 and covered, winning by 12.

Total closed 38; the game landed 46 — over by 8.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: —
Referee: Clay Martin
Rest: PIT 4 days · CLE 4 days
Coaches: Mike Tomlin vs Kevin Stefanski

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.