2022 Week 4 · Sun, Oct 2, 2022 · MetLife Stadium

Chicago Bears

New York GiantsWinner

NYG -3 ✓U 39 ✓Giants closed -3 and covered, winning by 8.

New York Giants 20–12. Biggest swing: Q2 9:38, CHI +16% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 9:38CHI 6 — NYG 7CHI ball · 1st & 10CHI 56%

(9:38) (Shotgun) 1-J.Fields sacked at NYG 35 for -8 yards (51-A.Ojulari). FUMBLES (51-A.Ojulari), RECOVERED by NYG-5-K.Thibodeaux at NYG 25. Officially, a sack for 0 Yards.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 9:38CHI +16% win prob(9:38) (Shotgun) 1-J.Fields sacked at NYG 35 for -8 yards (51-A.Ojulari). FUMBLES (51-A.Ojulari), RECOVERED by NYG-5-K.Thibodeaux at NYG 25. Officially, a sack for 0 Yards.
Q1 · 5:00NYG +12% win prob(5:00) 1-J.Fields pass deep left to 11-D.Mooney to NYG 25 for 56 yards (29-X.McKinney).
Q2 · 4:02NYG +12% win prob(4:02) 16-T.Gill punts 50 yards to NYG 30, Center-48-P.Scales. 80-R.James to NYG 35 for 5 yards (39-J.Blackwell). FUMBLES (39-J.Blackwell), RECOVERED by CHI-39-J.Blackwell at NYG 35.
Q2 · 10:22NYG +11% win prob(10:22) (Shotgun) 1-J.Fields pass short middle to 24-K.Herbert to NYG 27 for 24 yards (29-X.McKinney; 41-M.McFadden).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 8:31CHI Field goal
(8:31) 10-M.Badgley 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.
Score after this play: CHI 3 — NYG 0
Q1 · 5:15NYG Touchdown
(5:15) 8-D.Jones scrambles left end for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CHI 3 — NYG 7
Q1 · 1:33CHI Field goal
(1:33) 10-M.Badgley 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.
Score after this play: CHI 6 — NYG 7
Q2 · 5:24NYG Touchdown
(5:24) 8-D.Jones scrambles left end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CHI 6 — NYG 14
Q2 · 1:49CHI Field goal
(1:49) 10-M.Badgley 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.
Score after this play: CHI 9 — NYG 14
Q3 · 11:05CHI Field goal
(11:05) 10-M.Badgley 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.
Score after this play: CHI 12 — NYG 14
Q3 · 1:37NYG Field goal
(1:37) 9-G.Gano 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.
Score after this play: CHI 12 — NYG 17
Q4 · 5:34NYG Field goal
(5:34) 9-G.Gano 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.
Score after this play: CHI 12 — NYG 20

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Bears	Giants
Offensive plays	60	61
Total yards	304	333 (edge)
Yards per play	5.1	5.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.09	0.07 (edge)
Success rate	32%	41% (edge)
Dropback rate	58%	36%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.01	0.25 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.23	-0.03 (edge)
Third downs	6/15	6/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	8
First downs gained on snaps	14	19 (edge)
Sacks taken	6	1 (edge)
Turnovers	2	1 (edge)

Giants won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.07 expected points added per play vs -0.09.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CHI

Justin FieldsQB

11/22, 174 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-5.7 expected points added · -7.8% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

8/13, 71 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-2.0 expected points added · -1.2% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

31 att, 146 yds, 0 TD

-3.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CHI

Khalil HerbertRB

19 att, 77 yds, 0 TD

-4.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CHI

Darnell MooneyWR

4/5 for 94 yds, 0 TD

25% of team targets · 7.3 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Daniel BellingerTE

3/3 for 23 yds, 0 TD

20% of team targets · 1.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYG	NYG 25	5	1	1:16	Punt
2	CHI	CHI 24	10	51	5:17	Field goal +3
3	NYG	NYG 25	8	75	3:21	Touchdown +7
4	CHI	CHI 19	7	66	3:36	Field goal +3
5	NYG	NYG 25	8	23	2:31	Punt
6	CHI	CHI 20	10	53	4:27	Fumble
7	NYG	NYG 25	8	80	4:15	Touchdown +7
8	CHI	CHI 25	5	-5	1:29	Punt
9	CHI	NYG 35	7	18	2:04	Field goal +3
10	NYG	NYG 18	8	25	1:08	Punt
11	CHI	CHI 20	3	4	0:36	End of half
12	CHI	CHI 25	10	58	3:58	Field goal +3
13	NYG	NYG 13	8	17	4:30	Punt
14	CHI	CHI 39	4	9	2:09	Punt
15	NYG	NYG 14	5	15	2:50	Field goal +3
16	CHI	CHI 24	5	6	0:55	Punt
17	NYG	NYG 14	4	21	2:05	Interception
18	CHI	CHI 4	4	7	1:28	Punt
19	NYG	NYG 21	13	54	6:34	Field goal +3
20	CHI	CHI 25	6	20	2:27	Punt
21	NYG	NYG 3	4	4	1:03	Punt
22	NYG	CHI 37	5	18	1:44	Missed field goal
23	CHI	CHI 27	3	17	0:17	Fumble

8 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 80 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Chicago Bears

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Justin Fields	11/22	174	0	0	6	-5.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Khalil Herbert	19	77	4.1	-4.4
Justin Fields	7	52	7.4	6.2
Trestan Ebner	6	20	3.3	-1.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Darnell Mooney	4	5	94	25%	7.3
Khalil Herbert	1	1	24	5%	3.3
Trevon Wesco	1	2	23	10%	0.8
Cole Kmet	3	3	16	15%	0.2
Equanimeous St. Brown	0	2	9	10%	-1.1
Trestan Ebner	2	3	8	15%	-0.6
Dante Pettis	0	3	0	15%	-3.0
Ihmir Smith-Marsette	0	1	0	5%	-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Roquan Smith	8	2	0.0	0	0
Eddie Jackson	5	3	0.0	1	1
Jaquan Brisker	4	1	1.0	0	0
Angelo Blackson	2	3	0.0	0	0
Kindle Vildor	2	2	0.0	0	0
Kyler Gordon	2	2	0.0	0	0
Joe Thomas	1	3	0.0	0	0
Nicholas Morrow	4	0	0.0	0	0
Armon Watts	1	2	0.0	0	0
Trevis Gipson	1	1	0.0	0	0

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	8/13	71	0	0	1	-2.0
Tyrod Taylor	1/3	11	0	1	0	-0.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Saquon Barkley	31	146	4.7	0	-3.8
Daniel Jones	6	68	11.3	2	7.0
Tyrod Taylor	3	30	10.0	0	4.6
Matt Breida	3	18	6.0	0	0.2
Gary Brightwell	1	0	0.0	0	-1.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Daniel Bellinger	3	3	23	20%	1.3
Tanner Hudson	1	2	18	13%	1.0
Saquon Barkley	2	2	16	13%	1.2
Darius Slayton	1	2	11	13%	0.1
Richie James	1	3	9	20%	-0.9
David Sills	1	2	5	13%	-1.3
Kenny Golladay	0	1	0	7%	-1.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Tae Crowder	5	4	1.0	0
Dexter Lawrence	2	3	2.0	0
Xavier McKinney	2	3	0.0	0
Jaylon Smith	4	1	0.0	0
Micah McFadden	2	2	0.0	0
Kayvon Thibodeaux	2	2	0.0	0
Jihad Ward	4	0	1.0	0
Dane Belton	3	1	0.0	0
Nicholas Williams	0	4	0.0	1
Adoree' Jackson	3	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: NYG -3
Closing total: 39
CHI moneyline: +130
NYG moneyline: -144

Giants closed -3 and covered, winning by 8.

Total closed 39; the game landed 32 — under by 7.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: —
Referee: Carl Cheffers
Rest: CHI 7 days · NYG 6 days
Coaches: Matt Eberflus vs Brian Daboll