For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2022 Week 4 · Sun, Oct 2, 2022 · Lincoln Financial Field

Jacksonville Jaguars

21

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

29

PHI -6.5 ✓O 44 ✓

Philadelphia Eagles 29–21. Biggest swing: Q1 11:30, JAX +23% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PHI ↑JAX ↓
Q1 · 11:30JAX 6 — PHI 0PHI ball · 2nd & 7PHI 78%

(11:30) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left intended for 3-Z.Pascal INTERCEPTED by 5-A.Cisco (31-D.Williams) at JAX 41. 5-A.Cisco for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 11:30JAX +23% win prob(11:30) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left intended for 3-Z.Pascal INTERCEPTED by 5-A.Cisco (31-D.Williams) at JAX 41. 5-A.Cisco for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q2 · 3:10JAX +14% win prob(3:10) 16-T.Lawrence FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 34, RECOVERED by PHI-7-H.Reddick at JAX 35.
  3. Q3 · 4:24JAX +13% win prob(4:24) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left intended for 13-C.Kirk INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Bradberry at PHI 7. 24-J.Bradberry to PHI 12 for 5 yards (39-J.Agnew).
  4. Q2 · 0:30PHI +9% win prob(:30) (Shotgun) 14-K.Gainwell right guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 11:30JAX Touchdown

    (11:30) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left intended for 3-Z.Pascal INTERCEPTED by 5-A.Cisco (31-D.Williams) at JAX 41. 5-A.Cisco for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 7 — PHI 0
  2. Q1 · 3:56JAX Touchdown

    (3:56) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 39-J.Agnew for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 14 — PHI 0
  3. Q2 · 9:20PHI Touchdown

    (9:20) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts scrambles up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 14 — PHI 7
  4. Q2 · 3:59PHI Touchdown

    (3:59) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders right end for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 14 — PHI 14
  5. Q2 · 0:30PHI Touchdown

    (:30) (Shotgun) 14-K.Gainwell right guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: JAX 14 — PHI 20
  6. Q4 · 13:45PHI Field goal

    (13:45) 4-J.Elliott 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-8-A.Siposs.

    Score after this play: JAX 14 — PHI 23
  7. Q4 · 8:55PHI Touchdown

    (8:55) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders left tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: JAX 14 — PHI 29
  8. Q4 · 7:26JAX Touchdown

    (7:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 39-J.Agnew for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 21 — PHI 29

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricJaguarsEagles
Offensive plays4675
Total yards219404 (edge)
Yards per play4.85.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.33-0.03 (edge)
Success rate41%45% (edge)
Dropback rate59%40%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.33-0.27 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.330.12 (edge)
Third downs2/74/14
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)411 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1223 (edge)
Sacks taken42 (edge)
Turnovers51 (edge)

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.03 expected points added per play vs -0.33.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

16/25, 204 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-12.1 expected points added · -2.8% completion over expected

Passing · JAX

Trevor LawrenceQB

11/23, 174 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-8.9 expected points added · -20.7% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Miles SandersRB

27 att, 134 yds, 2 TD

1.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

16 att, 38 yds, 1 TD

0.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

5/7 for 95 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · 0.2 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

Dallas GoedertTE

5/6 for 72 yds, 0 TD

25% of team targets · 3.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1JAXJAX 23551:00Punt
2PHIPHI 216202:45Defensive touchdown
3PHIPHI 297182:53Punt
4JAXJAX 209724:32Touchdown +7
5PHIPHI 226382:36Turnover on downs
6JAXJAX 406152:48Fumble
7PHIPHI 438624:13Touchdown +7
8JAXJAX 25500:49Punt
9PHIPHI 2910664:29Touchdown +7
10JAXJAX 25490:55Fumble
11PHIJAX 359352:34Touchdown +6
12JAXJAX 25230:26End of half
13PHIPHI 306232:19Punt
14JAXJAX 17401:02Punt
15PHIPHI 22471:57Punt
16JAXJAX 289515:25Interception
17PHIPHI 1211575:35Field goal +3
18JAXJAX 20431:36Fumble
19PHIJAX 247243:17Touchdown +6
20JAXJAX 328681:30Touchdown +7
21PHIPHI 2512545:25Turnover on downs
22JAXJAX 211-70:06Fumble
23PHIJAX 13301:48End of game

7 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Jaguars gained 72 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Trevor Lawrence11/23174214-8.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Travis Etienne8324.00-2.9
James Robinson8293.600.3
Trevor Lawrence273.50-3.6
Christian Kirk133.00-0.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Christian Kirk2960039%-4.0
Jamal Agnew4650226%5.4
Dan Arnold112604%1.8
Jamycal Hasty222209%1.9
Evan Engram111604%1.9
Travis Etienne01004%-0.8
Tim Jones01004%-0.7
Marvin Jones01004%-0.5
Chris Manhertz11004%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Foyesade Oluokun1240.000
Devin Lloyd2100.000
Roy Robertson-Harris260.000
Josh Hines-Allen241.000
Shaquill Griffin420.000
Davon Hamilton320.000
Tyson Campbell230.001
Travon Walker320.000
Rayshawn Jenkins320.001
Andre Cisco310.011

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts16/25204012-12.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Miles Sanders271345.021.3
Jalen Hurts16382.410.7
Trey Sermon2199.502.3
Kenneth Gainwell5193.811.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
A.J. Brown5795029%0.2
Dallas Goedert5672025%3.6
Miles Sanders2322013%1.7
DeVonta Smith3417017%-2.1
Quez Watkins01004%-1.6
Zach Pascal01004%-8.8
Kenneth Gainwell12-208%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
T.J. Edwards421.000
Kyzir White220.001
Josiah Scott220.001
Jordan Davis220.000
Haason Reddick402.000
Josh Sweat200.000
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson200.000
James Bradberry200.011
Andre Chachere100.000
Marcus Epps100.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -6.5
Closing total
44
JAX moneyline
+223
PHI moneyline
-256

Eagles closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 8.

Total closed 44; the game landed 50 — over by 6.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
—
Referee
Shawn Hochuli
Rest
JAX 7 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches
Doug Pederson vs Nick Sirianni