2022 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 9, 2022 · SoFi Stadium

Dallas CowboysWinner

Los Angeles Rams

LA -5.5 upsetU 42 ✓DomeRams closed -5.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Dallas Cowboys 22–10. Biggest swing: Q1 13:36, DAL +21% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 13:36DAL 6 — LA 0LA ball · 3rd & 1LA 69%

(13:36) 9-M.Stafford sacked at LA 24 for -10 yards (92-D.Armstrong). FUMBLES (92-D.Armstrong) [92-D.Armstrong], touched at LA 23, RECOVERED by DAL-90-D.Lawrence at LA 19. 90-D.Lawrence for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 13:36DAL +21% win prob(13:36) 9-M.Stafford sacked at LA 24 for -10 yards (92-D.Armstrong). FUMBLES (92-D.Armstrong) [92-D.Armstrong], touched at LA 23, RECOVERED by DAL-90-D.Lawrence at LA 19. 90-D.Lawrence for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 9:42LA +17% win prob(9:42) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 10-C.Kupp for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 8:10LA +15% win prob(8:10) 20-T.Pollard right tackle for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 7:07LA +12% win prob(7:07) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 15-T.Atwell to DAL 11 for 54 yards (7-T.Diggs).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 13:36DAL Touchdown
(13:36) 9-M.Stafford sacked at LA 24 for -10 yards (92-D.Armstrong). FUMBLES (92-D.Armstrong) [92-D.Armstrong], touched at LA 23, RECOVERED by DAL-90-D.Lawrence at LA 19. 90-D.Lawrence for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: DAL 6 — LA 0
Q1 · 8:47DAL Field goal
(8:47) 19-B.Maher 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: DAL 9 — LA 0
Q1 · 5:25LA Field goal
(5:25) 8-M.Gay 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-11-R.Dixon.
Score after this play: DAL 9 — LA 3
Q2 · 9:42LA Touchdown
(9:42) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 10-C.Kupp for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 9 — LA 10
Q2 · 8:10DAL Touchdown
(8:10) 20-T.Pollard right tackle for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 16 — LA 10
Q3 · 8:15DAL Field goal
(8:15) 19-B.Maher 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: DAL 19 — LA 10
Q4 · 5:36DAL Field goal
(5:36) 19-B.Maher 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: DAL 22 — LA 10

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cowboys	Rams
Offensive plays	51	64
Total yards	242	323 (edge)
Yards per play	4.7	5.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.12 (edge)	-0.27
Success rate	37% (edge)	34%
Dropback rate	37%	77%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.35	-0.25 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.02 (edge)	-0.35
Third downs	5/14 (edge)	6/17
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	3
First downs gained on snaps	11	12 (edge)
Sacks taken	3 (edge)	5
Turnovers	0 (edge)	3

Rams outgained Cowboys 323–242 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

28/42, 308 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-14.4 expected points added · -1.2% completion over expected

Passing · DAL

Cooper RushQB

10/16, 102 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-6.7 expected points added · -5.1% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

8 att, 86 yds, 1 TD

5.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Ezekiel ElliottRB

22 att, 78 yds, 0 TD

-3.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Cooper KuppWR

7/10 for 125 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · 6.1 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

5/8 for 53 yds, 0 TD

50% of team targets · -0.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LA	LA 25	4	-2	1:33	Defensive touchdown
2	LA	LA 25	10	29	3:53	Punt
3	DAL	LA 20	4	5	0:51	Field goal +3
4	LA	LA 25	8	60	3:21	Field goal +3
5	DAL	DAL 25	8	14	3:22	Punt
6	LA	LA 5	7	27	4:06	Punt
7	DAL	DAL 26	5	19	1:54	Punt
8	LA	LA 17	4	83	1:29	Touchdown +7
9	DAL	DAL 25	5	75	1:32	Touchdown +7
10	LA	LA 25	5	3	1:32	Punt
11	DAL	DAL 23	5	20	3:06	Punt
12	LA	LA 20	11	36	2:58	Punt
13	DAL	DAL 12	1	4	0:23	End of half
14	DAL	DAL 25	14	53	6:49	Field goal +3
15	LA	LA 25	11	17	5:25	Punt
16	DAL	DAL 5	4	10	2:16	Punt
17	LA	DAL 29	4	6	1:56	Missed field goal
18	DAL	DAL 41	4	5	1:01	Punt
19	LA	LA 10	4	7	1:24	Punt
20	DAL	DAL 48	9	35	5:37	Field goal +3
21	LA	LA 25	7	40	2:03	Interception
22	DAL	DAL 4	4	2	1:08	Punt
23	LA	LA 46	4	17	0:50	Fumble
24	DAL	DAL 39	3	0	1:31	End of game

6 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 83 scrimmage yards over 4 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Cooper Rush	10/16	102	0	0	3	-6.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Tony Pollard	8	86	10.8	1	5.7
Ezekiel Elliott	22	78	3.5	0	-3.3
Cooper Rush	4	-1	-0.3	0	-0.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
CeeDee Lamb	5	8	53	50%	-0.2
Michael Gallup	4	5	44	31%	1.2
Noah Brown	1	2	5	13%	-1.2
Dalton Schultz	0	1	0	6%	-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Donovan Wilson	4	2	0.0	0	0
Trevon Diggs	6	0	0.0	0	0
Anthony Barr	4	2	0.0	0	0
Anthony Brown	3	2	0.0	0	0
Leighton Vander Esch	3	2	0.0	0	0
Micah Parsons	3	2	2.0	0	0
Jourdan Lewis	3	1	1.0	0	0
Jayron Kearse	3	1	0.0	0	0
Malik Hooker	1	1	0.0	1	1
Neville Gallimore	2	0	0.0	0	0

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matthew Stafford	28/42	308	1	1	5	-14.4
Riley Dixon	1/1	12	0	0	0	2.6
Cooper Kupp	0/1	0	0	0	0	-0.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Cam Akers	13	33	2.5	-4.4
Cooper Kupp	1	4	4.0	-0.3
Brandon Powell	1	1	1.0	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Cooper Kupp	7	10	125	1	24%	6.1
Tutu Atwell	1	2	54	0	5%	1.2
Tyler Higbee	7	10	46	0	24%	2.5
Ben Skowronek	6	8	41	0	19%	-2.2
Darrell Henderson	4	5	30	0	12%	0.1
Allen Robinson	3	5	12	0	12%	-5.0
Jake Gervase	1	1	12	0	2%	2.6
Cam Akers	0	1	0	0	2%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Terrell Burgess	5	3	0.0	0
A'Shawn Robinson	4	3	0.0	0
Aaron Donald	2	4	2.0	0
Ernest Jones	3	2	0.0	0
Bobby Wagner	2	3	0.0	1
Marquise Copeland	1	3	0.0	0
Greg Gaines	1	2	0.0	0
Derion Kendrick	2	1	0.0	0
Justin Hollins	1	1	0.0	0
Jalen Ramsey	2	0	1.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -5.5
Closing total: 42
DAL moneyline: +195
LA moneyline: -220

Rams closed -5.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 42; the game landed 32 — under by 10.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Bill Vinovich
Rest: DAL 7 days · LA 6 days
Coaches: Mike McCarthy vs Sean McVay