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2022 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 9, 2022 · Tottenham Stadium

New York GiantsWinner

27

Green Bay Packers

22

GB -8.5 upsetO 42 ✓

New York Giants 27–22. Biggest swing: Q4 1:05, NYG +22% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3GB ↑NYG ↓
Q4 · 1:05NYG 27 — GB 20GB ball · 4th & 1NYG 76%

(1:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right to 13-A.Lazard (29-X.McKinney).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 1:05NYG +22% win prob(1:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right to 13-A.Lazard (29-X.McKinney).
  2. Q4 · 10:14GB +14% win prob(10:14) 23-G.Brightwell up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q4 · 9:13GB +13% win prob(9:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short left to 26-S.Barkley pushed ob at GB 19 for 41 yards (7-Q.Walker).
  4. Q1 · 14:16GB +10% win prob(14:16) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 18-R.Cobb to NYG 39 for 35 yards (20-J.Love) [55-J.Ward].

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 11:10GB Field goal

    (11:10) 2-M.Crosby 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.

    Score after this play: NYG 0 — GB 3
  2. Q1 · 3:22GB Touchdown

    (3:22) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 13-A.Lazard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 0 — GB 10
  3. Q1 · 0:14NYG Field goal

    (:14) 9-G.Gano 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 3 — GB 10
  4. Q2 · 7:29GB Touchdown

    (7:29) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 89-M.Lewis for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 3 — GB 17
  5. Q2 · 1:22NYG Touchdown

    (1:22) (Shotgun) 82-D.Bellinger right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Double reverse (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 10 — GB 17
  6. Q2 · 0:04GB Field goal

    (:04) 2-M.Crosby 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.

    Score after this play: NYG 10 — GB 20
  7. Q3 · 8:02NYG Field goal

    (8:02) 9-G.Gano 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 13 — GB 20
  8. Q4 · 10:14NYG Touchdown

    (10:14) 23-G.Brightwell up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 20 — GB 20
  9. Q4 · 6:12NYG Touchdown

    (6:12) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 26-S.Barkley. 26-S.Barkley right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 27 — GB 20
  10. Q4 · 0:15GB Safety

    (:15) (Punt formation) 6-J.Gillan left end ran ob in End Zone for -3 yards, SAFETY (81-J.Deguara). Penalty on NYG-27-J.Pinnock, Offensive Holding, declined.

    Score after this play: NYG 27 — GB 22

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsPackers
Offensive plays5661
Total yards342 (edge)301
Yards per play6.1 (edge)4.9
Expected points added / play0.28 (edge)0.07
Success rate52% (edge)51%
Dropback rate55%67%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.49 (edge)0.07
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.030.06 (edge)
Third downs6/10 (edge)4/10
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)55
First downs gained on snaps2020
Sacks taken1 (edge)2
Turnovers00

Giants won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.28 expected points added per play vs 0.07.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · GB

Aaron RodgersQB

25/39, 222 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

2.8 expected points added · -2.5% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

21/27, 217 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

13.4 expected points added · +11.3% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

13 att, 70 yds, 1 TD

0.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · GB

Aaron JonesRB

13 att, 63 yds, 0 TD

1.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · GB

Randall CobbWR

7/13 for 99 yds, 0 TD

33% of team targets · 4.0 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Darius SlaytonWR

6/7 for 79 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 8.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1GBGB 2410543:55Field goal +3
2NYGNYG 24561:37Punt
3GBGB 284-12:15Punt
4NYGNYG 234-21:39Punt
5GBGB 406272:15Touchdown +7
6NYGNYG 249553:10Field goal +3
7GBGB 2515757:44Touchdown +7
8NYGNYG 1413816:10Touchdown +7
9GBGB 259451:15Field goal +3
10NYGNYG 2512567:03Field goal +3
11GBGB 129414:42Punt
12NYGNYG 916868:07Touchdown +7
13GBGB 25500:26Punt
14NYGNYG 407633:34Touchdown +7
15GBGB 2515695:06Turnover on downs
16NYGNYG 74-30:51Safety
17GBGB 412-90:11End of game

9 of 17 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 86 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Daniel Jones21/2721700113.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Saquon Barkley13705.410.4
Daniel Jones10373.702.0
Matt Breida4143.50-0.6
Gary Brightwell252.510.8
Daniel Bellinger122.011.3
Jamie Gillan1-3-3.00-1.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Darius Slayton6779027%8.6
Saquon Barkley3636023%-2.8
Marcus Johnson3335012%2.6
Daniel Bellinger2322012%1.7
Richie James221608%1.7
Matt Breida221308%1.3
David Sills221208%1.8
Chris Myarick11404%-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Julian Love610.000
Jaylon Smith240.000
Adoree' Jackson420.000
Dexter Lawrence221.000
Tony Jefferson310.000
Tae Crowder210.000
Xavier McKinney210.001
Darnay Holmes210.001
Justin Layne300.001
Oshane Ximines201.000

Green Bay Packers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Aaron Rodgers25/392222022.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Aaron Jones13634.801.0
A.J. Dillon6345.701.2
Christian Watson1-3-3.00-1.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Randall Cobb71399033%4.0
Allen Lazard4835121%-1.8
Romeo Doubs3529013%-0.0
Robert Tonyan4423010%1.9
Josiah Deguara221905%1.6
Aaron Jones231708%0.8
Marcedes Lewis11213%1.0
Christian Watson11103%-0.5
Tyler Davis12-305%-1.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Quay Walker530.000
Eric Stokes510.000
De'Vondre Campbell500.000
Jaire Alexander410.000
Tedarrell Slaton220.000
Preston Smith311.000
Dean Lowry210.000
Kenny Clark210.000
Rashan Gary300.000
Darnell Savage300.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
GB -8.5
Closing total
42
NYG moneyline
+331
GB moneyline
-397

Packers closed -8.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 42; the game landed 49 — over by 7.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Tottenham Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors
Kickoff weather
—
Referee
Alex Kemp
Rest
NYG 7 days · GB 7 days
Coaches
Brian Daboll vs Matt LaFleur