2022 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 9, 2022 · State Farm Stadium

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

Arizona Cardinals

PHI -5.5 no coverU 48.5 ✓DomeEagles closed -5.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Philadelphia Eagles 20–17 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:22, PHI +20% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:22PHI 20 — ARI 17ARI ball · 4th & 1PHI 78%

(:22) 15-M.Ammendola 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-14-A.Lee.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:22PHI +20% win prob(:22) 15-M.Ammendola 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-14-A.Lee.
Q4 · 9:47ARI +12% win prob(9:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 26-E.Benjamin left tackle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 4:28ARI +10% win prob(4:28) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short middle to 88-D.Goedert to ARI 20 for 16 yards (3-B.Baker).
Q4 · 1:15ARI +9% win prob(1:15) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 86-Z.Ertz to PHI 47 for 11 yards (23-C.Gardner-Johnson).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 8:06PHI Touchdown
(8:06) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 7 — ARI 0
Q2 · 10:14PHI Touchdown
(10:14) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 14 — ARI 0
Q2 · 5:33ARI Touchdown
(5:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 2-M.Brown for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 14 — ARI 7
Q2 · 0:03ARI Field goal
(:03) 15-M.Ammendola 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-14-A.Lee.
Score after this play: PHI 14 — ARI 10
Q3 · 10:01PHI Field goal
(10:01) 13-C.Dicker 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-8-A.Siposs.
Score after this play: PHI 17 — ARI 10
Q4 · 9:47ARI Touchdown
(9:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 26-E.Benjamin left tackle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 17 — ARI 17
Q4 · 1:48PHI Field goal
(1:48) 13-C.Dicker 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-8-A.Siposs.
Score after this play: PHI 20 — ARI 17

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Cardinals
Offensive plays	70	67
Total yards	358	363 (edge)
Yards per play	5.1	5.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.14 (edge)	0.10
Success rate	60% (edge)	48%
Dropback rate	57%	63%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.15	0.17 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.13 (edge)	-0.01
Third downs	6/13	8/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	8 (edge)	7
First downs gained on snaps	25 (edge)	23
Sacks taken	2	1 (edge)
Turnovers	0 (edge)	1

Cardinals outgained Eagles 363–358 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

28/42, 250 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

6.1 expected points added · +1.8% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

26/36, 239 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

3.8 expected points added · +1.1% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

15 att, 61 yds, 2 TD

5.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Miles SandersRB

15 att, 58 yds, 0 TD

0.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

Dallas GoedertTE

8/9 for 95 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · 7.8 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

DeVonta SmithWR

10/11 for 87 yds, 0 TD

32% of team targets · 4.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	ARI	ARI 17	7	11	2:45	Punt
2	PHI	PHI 36	12	64	4:13	Touchdown +7
3	ARI	ARI 25	2	0	0:06	Interception
4	PHI	PHI 35	4	8	1:51	Punt
5	ARI	ARI 12	10	36	3:34	Punt
6	PHI	PHI 13	17	97	7:20	Touchdown +7
7	ARI	ARI 25	5	3	0:51	Punt
8	PHI	PHI 24	4	-12	1:40	Punt
9	ARI	ARI 43	7	57	2:16	Touchdown +7
10	PHI	PHI 25	7	23	2:02	Punt
11	ARI	ARI 7	16	91	3:22	Field goal +3
12	PHI	PHI 25	11	61	5:03	Field goal +3
13	ARI	ARI 25	11	20	5:22	Punt
14	PHI	PHI 14	8	47	4:15	Punt
15	ARI	ARI 10	13	90	5:37	Touchdown +7
16	PHI	PHI 25	18	70	7:58	Field goal +3
17	ARI	ARI 25	11	55	1:28	Missed field goal
18	PHI	PHI 33	1	0	0:17	End of game

7 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 97 scrimmage yards over 17 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	26/36	239	0	0	2	3.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jalen Hurts	15	61	4.1	2	5.4
Miles Sanders	15	58	3.9	0	0.2
Kenneth Gainwell	3	20	6.7	0	0.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Dallas Goedert	8	9	95	26%	7.8
DeVonta Smith	10	11	87	32%	4.0
A.J. Brown	3	7	32	21%	-0.2
Quez Watkins	3	4	19	12%	-0.4
Miles Sanders	2	3	6	9%	-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson	9	0	1	1
T.J. Edwards	5	3	0	0
Darius Slay	6	2	0	0
Kyzir White	3	3	0	0
Marcus Epps	5	1	0	1
Josiah Scott	3	1	0	0
Javon Hargrave	2	1	0	0
Jordan Davis	3	0	0	0
Josh Sweat	2	0	0	0
James Bradberry	2	0	0	1

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kyler Murray	28/42	250	1	1	1	6.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
James Conner	9	55	6.1	0	-0.3
Kyler Murray	4	42	10.5	0	1.8
Eno Benjamin	8	25	3.1	1	-0.7
Darrel Williams	3	9	3.0	0	1.5
Rondale Moore	2	-7	-3.5	0	-2.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Marquise Brown	8	10	78	1	26%	2.9
Rondale Moore	7	8	68	0	21%	3.3
Zach Ertz	6	10	48	0	26%	0.1
Eno Benjamin	3	4	28	0	11%	1.1
A.J. Green	3	5	20	0	13%	1.6
James Conner	1	1	8	0	3%	1.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Isaiah Simmons	8	5	0.0	0
Byron Murphy	6	2	0.5	1
Marco Wilson	7	1	0.0	0
Zach Allen	4	3	1.0	1
Budda Baker	3	4	0.0	0
Zaven Collins	3	2	0.0	0
Ben Niemann	1	3	0.0	0
Michael Dogbe	2	1	0.0	0
Jalen Thompson	2	1	0.0	2
Victor Dimukeje	1	2	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -5.5
Closing total: 48.5
PHI moneyline: -222
ARI moneyline: +196

Eagles closed -5.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 48.5; the game landed 37 — under by 11.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: State Farm Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · grass
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Tra Blake
Rest: PHI 7 days · ARI 7 days
Coaches: Nick Sirianni vs Kliff Kingsbury