2022 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 9, 2022 · FedExField

Tennessee TitansWinner

Washington Commanders

TEN -1 ✓U 43 ✓Titans closed -1 and covered, winning by 4.

Tennessee Titans 21–17. Biggest swing: Q4 0:09, TEN +36% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:09TEN 21 — WAS 17WAS ball · 3rd & 2TEN 62%

(:09) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short left intended for 23-J.McKissic INTERCEPTED by 51-D.Long at TEN 1. 51-D.Long to TEN 47 for 46 yards (72-C.Leno). The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact rulin

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:09TEN +36% win prob(:09) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short left intended for 23-J.McKissic INTERCEPTED by 51-D.Long at TEN 1. 51-D.Long to TEN 47 for 46 yards (72-C.Leno). The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short left intended for 23-J.McKissic INTERCEPTED by 51-D.Long at TEN 1. 51-D.Long to TEN 1 for no gain (23-J.McKissic).
Q3 · 4:18WAS +21% win prob(4:18) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep left to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine to WAS 12 for 61 yards (20-B.McCain).
Q2 · 14:06WAS +20% win prob(14:06) 11-C.Wentz pass deep middle to 2-D.Brown for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 4:41WAS +13% win prob(4:41) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep left to 2-D.Brown for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 4:04TEN Touchdown
(4:04) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 40-D.Hilliard for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN [95-C.Toohill]. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — WAS 0
Q1 · 0:31WAS Field goal
(:31) 6-J.Slye 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way.
Score after this play: TEN 7 — WAS 3
Q2 · 14:06WAS Touchdown
(14:06) 11-C.Wentz pass deep middle to 2-D.Brown for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — WAS 10
Q2 · 0:20TEN Touchdown
(:20) 22-D.Henry up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 14 — WAS 10
Q3 · 4:41WAS Touchdown
(4:41) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep left to 2-D.Brown for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 14 — WAS 17
Q3 · 1:06TEN Touchdown
(1:06) (No Huddle) 22-D.Henry up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 21 — WAS 17

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Titans	Commanders
Offensive plays	62	57
Total yards	241	386 (edge)
Yards per play	3.9	6.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.02 (edge)	-0.05
Success rate	40%	40% (edge)
Dropback rate	50%	75%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.06	0.03 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.02 (edge)	-0.27
Third downs	4/14 (edge)	1/11
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	6 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	13	15 (edge)
Sacks taken	5	3 (edge)
Turnovers	0 (edge)	1

Commanders outgained Titans 386–241 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · WAS

Carson WentzQB

25/38, 359 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

0.7 expected points added · +1.5% completion over expected

Passing · TEN

Ryan TannehillQB

15/25, 181 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-0.6 expected points added · +5.2% completion over expected

Rushing · TEN

Derrick HenryRB

28 att, 102 yds, 2 TD

1.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · WAS

Brian RobinsonRB

9 att, 22 yds, 0 TD

-0.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · WAS

Dyami BrownWR

2/4 for 105 yds, 2 TD

11% of team targets · 6.4 expected points added

Receiving · WAS

Terry McLaurinWR

5/6 for 76 yds, 0 TD

16% of team targets · 3.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	TEN	TEN 25	5	4	1:36	Punt
2	WAS	WAS 33	4	6	1:31	Punt
3	TEN	TEN 20	6	11	3:24	Punt
4	WAS	WAS 19	4	8	1:59	Punt
5	TEN	TEN 48	7	52	2:32	Touchdown +7
6	WAS	WAS 25	8	45	3:32	Field goal +3
7	TEN	TEN 25	5	-2	1:20	Punt
8	WAS	WAS 25	2	75	0:10	Touchdown +7
9	TEN	TEN 25	8	9	3:56	Punt
10	WAS	WAS 8	6	30	2:46	Punt
11	TEN	TEN 19	16	76	6:57	Touchdown +7
12	WAS	WAS 34	2	0	0:17	End of half
13	WAS	WAS 16	6	40	2:26	Punt
14	TEN	TEN 4	4	0	1:34	Punt
15	WAS	TEN 46	4	6	1:32	Turnover on downs
16	TEN	TEN 41	4	-6	1:38	Punt
17	WAS	WAS 20	7	80	3:14	Touchdown +7
18	TEN	TEN 25	9	85	3:33	Touchdown +7
19	WAS	WAS 23	5	-2	2:28	Punt
20	TEN	50	8	0	3:42	Punt
21	WAS	WAS 10	5	10	2:45	Punt
22	TEN	TEN 25	4	10	2:22	Punt
23	WAS	WAS 11	18	88	4:40	Interception
24	TEN	TEN 1	1	2	0:06	End of game

6 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Commanders gained 88 scrimmage yards over 18 plays for a interception.

Full stat lines

Box score

Tennessee Titans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ryan Tannehill	15/25	181	1	0	5	-0.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Derrick Henry	28	102	3.6	2	1.9
Ryan Tannehill	3	3	1.0	0	-1.8
Dontrell Hilliard	1	0	0.0	0	-0.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	2	3	72	0	13%	4.0
Robert Woods	4	8	37	0	35%	-2.0
Derrick Henry	2	2	30	0	9%	2.6
Dontrell Hilliard	4	5	23	1	22%	4.1
Kyle Philips	1	2	7	0	9%	-0.8
Austin Hooper	1	1	7	0	4%	2.3
Geoff Swaim	1	1	5	0	4%	0.2
Chigoziem Okonkwo	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
David Long Jr.	6	6	0.0	1	1
Kevin Byard	5	2	0.0	0	0
Jeffery Simmons	3	2	1.5	0	1
Terrance Mitchell	3	1	0.0	0	1
Denico Autry	1	3	1.0	0	0
Dylan Cole	2	2	0.0	0	0
Kevin Rader	3	0	0.0	0	0
Kristian Fulton	2	1	0.0	0	0
Andrew Adams	3	0	0.0	0	0
Joshua Kalu	1	1	0.0	0	0

Washington Commanders

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Carson Wentz	25/38	359	2	1	3	0.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Brian Robinson	9	22	2.4	-0.8
Carson Wentz	5	15	3.0	-1.7
Antonio Gibson	3	6	2.0	-0.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Dyami Brown	2	4	105	2	11%	6.4
Terry McLaurin	5	6	76	0	16%	3.2
Curtis Samuel	6	8	62	0	22%	-0.5
John Bates	3	3	39	0	8%	2.3
J.D. McKissic	5	7	37	0	19%	-4.9
Antonio Gibson	3	4	33	0	11%	2.0
Cam Sims	1	2	7	0	5%	-1.0
Cole Turner	0	3	0	0	8%	-2.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks
Cole Holcomb	10	5	0.0
Bobby McCain	4	2	0.0
Montez Sweat	4	1	2.0
Jamin Davis	3	2	0.0
Kendall Fuller	2	1	0.0
James Smith-Williams	2	1	1.0
Daron Payne	1	2	0.5
Efe Obada	2	1	1.0
Jonathan Allen	0	2	0.5
Darrick Forrest	1	1	0.0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: TEN -1
Closing total: 43
TEN moneyline: -110
WAS moneyline: -100

Titans closed -1 and covered, winning by 4.

Total closed 43; the game landed 38 — under by 5.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: FedExField
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: —
Referee: Land Clark
Rest: TEN 7 days · WAS 7 days
Coaches: Mike Vrabel vs Ron Rivera