2022 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 16, 2022 · MetLife Stadium

Baltimore Ravens

New York GiantsWinner

BAL -5.5 upsetU 46 ✓Ravens closed -5.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

New York Giants 24–20. Biggest swing: Q4 3:05, BAL +29% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 3:05BAL 20 — NYG 17BAL ball · 3rd & 5BAL 80%

(3:05) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson to BAL 35 for -5 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at BAL 27. 8-L.Jackson pass intended for 42-P.Ricard INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Love at BAL 40. 20-J.Love to BAL 13 for 27 yards (70-K.Zeitler). NYG-53-

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 3:05BAL +29% win prob(3:05) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson to BAL 35 for -5 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at BAL 27. 8-L.Jackson pass intended for 42-P.Ricard INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Love at BAL 40. 20-J.Love to BAL 13 for 27 yards (70-K.Zeitler). NYG-53-O.Ximines was injured during the play.
Q4 · 1:40BAL +25% win prob(1:40) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at BAL 17 for -8 yards (5-K.Thibodeaux). FUMBLES (5-K.Thibodeaux), touched at BAL 17, RECOVERED by NYG-99-L.Williams at BAL 13.
Q4 · 2:00NYG +12% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short middle intended for 86-D.Slayton INTERCEPTED by 24-M.Peters [26-G.Stone] at BAL -4. 24-M.Peters ran ob at BAL 43 for 47 yards (78-A.Thomas). PENALTY on BAL-24-M.Peters, Defensive Pass Interference, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 6 - No Play.
Q4 · 1:46NYG +9% win prob(1:46) 26-S.Barkley left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q2 · 9:33BAL Touchdown
(9:33) (Shotgun) 17-K.Drake right tackle for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 7 — NYG 0
Q2 · 3:36NYG Touchdown
(3:36) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short left to 17-W.Robinson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 7 — NYG 7
Q2 · 1:48BAL Field goal
(1:48) 9-J.Tucker 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
Score after this play: BAL 10 — NYG 7
Q3 · 9:44BAL Field goal
(9:44) 9-J.Tucker 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
Score after this play: BAL 13 — NYG 7
Q3 · 2:03NYG Field goal
(2:03) 9-G.Gano 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.
Score after this play: BAL 13 — NYG 10
Q4 · 13:00BAL Touchdown
(13:00) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 89-M.Andrews for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 20 — NYG 10
Q4 · 6:06NYG Touchdown
(6:06) 8-D.Jones pass short left to 82-D.Bellinger for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 20 — NYG 17
Q4 · 1:46NYG Touchdown
(1:46) 26-S.Barkley left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 20 — NYG 24

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Ravens	Giants
Offensive plays	58	59
Total yards	406 (edge)	242
Yards per play	7.0 (edge)	4.1
Expected points added / play	0.12	0.13 (edge)
Success rate	48% (edge)	47%
Dropback rate	62%	54%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.02	0.32 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.29 (edge)	-0.10
Third downs	4/10	7/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	0
First downs gained on snaps	23 (edge)	16
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	4
Turnovers	2	1 (edge)

Ravens outgained Giants 406–242 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · BAL

Lamar JacksonQB

17/32, 210 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-1.6 expected points added · -7.8% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

19/27, 173 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

10.2 expected points added · +9.9% completion over expected

Rushing · BAL

Kenyan DrakeRB

10 att, 119 yds, 1 TD

6.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

22 att, 83 yds, 1 TD

-0.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · BAL

Mark AndrewsTE

7/11 for 106 yds, 1 TD

34% of team targets · 8.0 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Daniel BellingerTE

5/5 for 38 yds, 1 TD

20% of team targets · 4.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	BAL	BAL 25	10	43	5:27	Punt
2	NYG	NYG 20	7	19	3:59	Punt
3	BAL	BAL 16	11	51	5:08	Missed field goal
4	NYG	NYG 46	4	8	1:52	Punt
5	BAL	BAL 11	9	89	4:08	Touchdown +7
6	NYG	NYG 47	12	58	5:55	Touchdown +7
7	BAL	BAL 25	9	64	1:46	Field goal +3
8	NYG	NYG 25	5	5	0:40	Punt
9	BAL	BAL 12	4	9	0:57	Punt
10	NYG	NYG 49	2	0	0:08	Fumble
11	NYG	NYG 25	7	14	2:07	Punt
12	BAL	BAL 31	8	64	3:12	Field goal +3
13	NYG	NYG 25	15	44	7:41	Field goal +3
14	BAL	BAL 25	10	75	4:06	Touchdown +7
15	NYG	NYG 25	14	75	6:53	Touchdown +7
16	BAL	BAL 25	6	19	3:11	Interception
17	NYG	BAL 13	4	8	1:07	Touchdown +7
18	BAL	BAL 25	3	-8	0:13	Fumble
19	NYG	BAL 13	5	11	1:30	End of game

8 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 89 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Baltimore Ravens

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Lamar Jackson	17/32	210	1	1	2	-1.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Kenyan Drake	10	119	11.9	1	6.7
Lamar Jackson	7	77	11.0	0	5.3
J.K. Dobbins	7	15	2.1	0	-3.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Mark Andrews	7	11	106	1	34%	8.0
Isaiah Likely	2	4	30	0	13%	0.4
Demarcus Robinson	3	5	27	0	16%	1.3
Josh Oliver	2	3	21	0	9%	1.1
Devin Duvernay	1	5	14	0	16%	-1.7
Kenyan Drake	1	2	8	0	6%	0.6
Tylan Wallace	1	1	4	0	3%	0.1
Patrick Ricard	0	1	0	0	3%	-5.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks
Patrick Queen	5	2	1.0
Geno Stone	6	0	0.0
Nnamdi Madubuike	3	2	1.0
Malik Harrison	4	1	0.0
Josh Bynes	2	3	0.0
Calais Campbell	2	2	1.0
Chuck Clark	3	0	0.0
Broderick Washington	1	2	0.0
Travis Jones	3	0	1.0
Damarion Williams	3	0	0.0

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	19/27	173	2	0	4	10.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Saquon Barkley	22	83	3.8	1	-0.4
Daniel Jones	6	6	1.0	0	-5.8
Matt Breida	3	-6	-2.0	0	-2.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Daniel Bellinger	5	5	38	1	20%	4.6
Wan'Dale Robinson	3	4	37	1	16%	5.3
Marcus Johnson	2	4	25	0	16%	1.6
Richie James	2	2	18	0	8%	0.8
Darius Slayton	1	3	18	0	12%	1.3
Matt Breida	2	2	17	0	8%	0.5
Saquon Barkley	3	3	12	0	12%	1.3
David Sills	1	2	8	0	8%	0.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Xavier McKinney	4	4	0.0	0	0
Dane Belton	5	1	0.0	0	1
Fabian Moreau	6	0	0.0	0	0
Julian Love	3	2	0.0	1	2
Adoree' Jackson	3	1	0.0	0	1
Tae Crowder	2	1	0.0	0	0
Kayvon Thibodeaux	3	0	1.0	0	0
Jaylon Smith	2	1	0.0	0	0
Leonard Williams	1	1	0.0	0	0
Jihad Ward	2	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: BAL -5.5
Closing total: 46
BAL moneyline: -234
NYG moneyline: +206

Ravens closed -5.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 46; the game landed 44 — under by 2.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: —
Referee: Clay Martin
Rest: BAL 7 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches: John Harbaugh vs Brian Daboll