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2022 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 16, 2022 · Lincoln Financial Field

Dallas Cowboys

17

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

26

PHI -6.5 ✓O 42.5 ✓

Philadelphia Eagles 26–17. Biggest swing: Q4 14:45, PHI +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PHIDAL
Q4 · 14:45DAL 16PHI 20DAL ball · 1st & 7PHI 85%

(14:45) 68-M.Farniok reported in as eligible. 10-C.Rush pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 14:45PHI +9% win prob(14:45) 68-M.Farniok reported in as eligible. 10-C.Rush pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q4 · 7:41PHI +6% win prob(7:41) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 11-A.Brown to DAL 7 for 22 yards (11-M.Parsons).
  3. Q1 · 0:08PHI +5% win prob(:08) (No Huddle, Shotgun) PENALTY on DAL-56-D.Fowler, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 10 - No Play.
  4. Q4 · 14:39PHI +4% win prob(14:39) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders right guard to PHI 38 for 13 yards (2-J.Lewis; 28-M.Hooker).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q2 · 15:00PHI Touchdown

    (15:00) 26-M.Sanders left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 0PHI 7
  2. Q2 · 10:47PHI Touchdown

    (10:47) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 11-A.Brown for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 0PHI 14
  3. Q2 · 7:58PHI Field goal

    (7:58) 4-J.Elliott 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-8-A.Siposs.

    Score after this play: DAL 0PHI 17
  4. Q2 · 1:51PHI Field goal

    (1:51) 4-J.Elliott 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-8-A.Siposs.

    Score after this play: DAL 0PHI 20
  5. Q2 · 0:33DAL Field goal

    (:33) 19-B.Maher 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 3PHI 20
  6. Q3 · 8:26DAL Touchdown

    (8:26) 21-E.Elliott right tackle for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 10PHI 20
  7. Q4 · 14:45DAL Touchdown

    (14:45) 68-M.Farniok reported in as eligible. 10-C.Rush pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 17PHI 20
  8. Q4 · 7:06PHI Touchdown

    (7:06) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 6-D.Smith for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DAL-7-T.Diggs, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 1 yard, enforced between downs.

    Score after this play: DAL 17PHI 26

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCowboysEagles
Offensive plays6467
Total yards315 (edge)270
Yards per play4.9 (edge)4.0
Expected points added / play-0.060.02 (edge)
Success rate44%45% (edge)
Dropback rate59%45%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.220.15 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.16 (edge)-0.09
Third downs4/106/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)6 (edge)4
First downs gained on snaps20 (edge)19
Sacks taken0 (edge)4
Turnovers30 (edge)

Cowboys outgained Eagles 315–270 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Cooper RushQB

18/38, 181 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT

-8.4 expected points added · -17.3% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

15/25, 155 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

3.2 expected points added · -5.3% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Ezekiel ElliottRB

13 att, 81 yds, 1 TD

5.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Miles SandersRB

18 att, 71 yds, 1 TD

-1.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

5/10 for 68 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · -1.1 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

5/8 for 67 yds, 1 TD

36% of team targets · 5.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 16591:49Punt
2PHIPHI 296152:25Punt
3DALDAL 246173:15Punt
4PHIPHI 2016757:36Touchdown +7
5DALDAL 25200:08Interception
6PHIDAL 448444:07Touchdown +7
7DALDAL 25591:16Turnover on downs
8PHIDAL 34411:31Field goal +3
9DALDAL 96172:39Interception
10PHIDAL 468353:27Field goal +3
11DALPHI 4110291:18Field goal +3
12PHIPHI 25230:29End of half
13PHIPHI 256152:13Punt
14DALDAL 2110794:28Touchdown +7
15PHIPHI 307-91:33Punt
16DALDAL 716937:07Touchdown +7
17PHIPHI 2515757:37Touchdown +6
18DALDAL 255151:59Interception
19PHIPHI 475122:24Punt
20DALDAL 1211471:31Missed field goal
21PHIPHI 49441:08End of game

8 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 93 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Cooper Rush18/38181130-8.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Ezekiel Elliott13816.215.0
Tony Pollard11444.00-0.7
CeeDee Lamb294.50-0.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
CeeDee Lamb51068027%-1.1
Jake Ferguson4640116%2.7
Peyton Hendershot2522014%-3.4
Michael Gallup2718019%-6.4
Sean McKeon111003%0.7
Noah Brown131008%0.4
Tony Pollard23808%0.0
Ezekiel Elliott11503%0.8
Kavontae Turpin01003%-1.6

Defense (top contributors)

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts15/251552043.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Miles Sanders18713.91-1.0
Jalen Hurts9273.00-3.0
Kenneth Gainwell5255.000.3
Boston Scott6162.70-0.0
Quez Watkins1-3-3.00-1.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
A.J. Brown5867136%5.2
DeVonta Smith5544123%3.6
Dallas Goedert2622027%1.5
Jack Stoll112105%2.2
Miles Sanders11105%-0.6
Quez Watkins11005%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
T.J. Edwards580.001
Kyzir White440.001
Marcus Epps500.001
K'Von Wallace220.000
James Bradberry300.004
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson210.022
Avonte Maddox110.000
Josh Sweat110.000
Darius Slay110.012
Kyron Johnson200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -6.5
Closing total
42.5
DAL moneyline
+252
PHI moneyline
-292

Eagles closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 9.

Total closed 42.5; the game landed 43 — over by 0.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
Referee
John Hussey
Rest
DAL 7 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches
Mike McCarthy vs Nick Sirianni

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.